2.24-26 (CD): Derby Future (Pool 3); Oaks Future (Lone Pool)

[blackthroatedwind]

Originally Posted by ateamstupid

Stop it. This is all speculation and estimation on your part, just like it is for me. Your 50-1 number for the Derby is totally arbitrary and I reject it. I think he has a good chance to be 6-1 in the Derby and I don't see a reasonable scenario where he's more than 20-1. I could obviously be wrong, but that's the downside of having an opinion. But I look forward to you scribbling math equations on a chalkboard on Talking Horses going forward instead of the current method of roughly discussing and entertaining competing opinions.

I am giving you numbers, while you are saying there is a "good chance," yet you are saying my thoughts are arbitrary.

This is actually a good discussion. You can't say you think some odds, any odds, are reasonable, without at least thinking it through mathematically.

Stop it? Seriously? That's a response to a contrary side to an argument? Then you make the Talking Horses comment? You're much better than this.