8/7: Saratoga ~ Day 15 (Alydar)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MCLM/$75k, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Conquest Lucknlove 6-5 3rd
Next Best: #2 Stormy Alexis 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Wicked Fun 10-1 5th


2nd: CLM, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 No Contingency 4-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 You Know I Know 8-5 WON ($5.40)
Best Value: #3 Seve 10-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Finding Candy 6-1 2nd


3rd: CLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Magsamelia 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Pret Say Eye 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Uncle Southern 3-1 WON ($5.20)
Exotics Use: #1a Katie O 2-1 4th


4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 First Service 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Melodic 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Midnight Champagne 7-2 5th


5th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Tricky read with Degrees of Freedom a wire threat if left alone too long..

Most Likely: #6 Wild Chatter 3-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Degrees of Freedom 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Hudson River Gal 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Khaleesi Kat 8-1 6th


P5 Grid:

1: 5 (A), 2-4 (B), 1-6 (C)
2: 1-2 (A), - (B), 3-6-7 (C)
3: 1-3-5-7 (A), - (B), 6 (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
5: 5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x1x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x2x4x1x2 = $16 ($8 for .50)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-2 (A), 3-6-7 (B), - (C)
3: 1-3-5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 4 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)
5: 5-6 (A), 3-4 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x5x1x4 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A's: 2x5x1x2 = $20 ($10 for .50)


6th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Cherry Lodge 3-1 WON ($4.90)
Next Best: #9 Amapola 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 In It for the Gold 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 Go Glam 6-1 7th


7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 1m-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Kerjillion 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 The J Y 20-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Cliffs of Dover 9-2 WON ($12.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Prophet's Cat 6-1 2nd


8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Mighty Souper 9-2 3rd-DH
Next Best: #9 Fourstar Crook 2-1 WON ($4.90)
Exotics Use: #5 Montalcino 6-1 3rd-DH
Super Add: #4 Dea 8-1 2nd


9th: Alydar, 4+, 9f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Far From Over 8-5 6th
Best Value: #7 Honorable Duty 12-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Touchofstarquality 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Mylute 6-1 4th


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT

Most Likely: #9 Coasted 5-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #7 So Fancy 8-1 6th
Next Best: #6 Joust 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 Sugar and Te 8-1 8th


P4 Grid:

7: 5 (A), 1-8 (B), 2-3-4-6-9 (C)
8: 5-9-10 (A), - (B), 2-4-6 (C)
9: 2-7 (A), 1-4-8 (B), 3-6 (C)
10: 6-7-9 (A), - (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $67.50
All A's: 1x3x2x3 = $18 ($9 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (8/1,9,11/1/1,9,12,13,14) Paid $479.50


Good luck!
Steve