4/15: Keeneland (6th-10th); Oaklawn (7th-10th)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Privy Council 1-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Verve's Tale 6-1 2nd
Best Value: #11 Construe 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Upstage 12-1 8th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Fascinating situation here includes 5yo debut runaway Apologynotaccepted moved to Mott after Happy Alter brought on Gary Barber as a partner v. Mandy's Pope's $2.2MM I'll Take Charge returning as a 4yo under watch of GoldMark Farm trainer Todd Quast..

Most Likely: #5 Apologynotaccepted 7-5 2nd
Next Best: #4 Improv 4-1 5th
Best Value: #7 I'll Take Charge 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Purim's Danawa 8-1 6th


8th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1m (P3, DD)

Wild roundup of really solid ALW runners. Almost none look impossible and given the option of narrow use in earlier races, you could spread wide here..

Best Value: #5 Flatlined 12-1 6th
Next Best: #8 Chipit 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #10 Quiet Ruler 5-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Afford 15-1 11th


9th: 28th Maker's 46 Mile (G1), 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Terrific assembly here and Heart to Heart should have real company up front to keep things honest for everybody. Another spot to cast a wide net..

Best Value: #9 Reload 6-1 4th
Next Best: #4 Tourist 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Are You Kidding Me 12-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Itsaknockout 6-1 6th


10th: MCLM/$30k, 3yo, 8.5f (Super Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Dynamo Ridge 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #1 Regulatory 9-2 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Big Joe Candy 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 L T's Best Tale SCR
Hi-5 Play: #6 Going Strong 7-2 WON ($7.00)


P5 Grid:

6: 3-9 (A), - (B), 4-11 (C)
7: 5 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 5-8-10 (A), 3-4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-9 (A), 1-3-7-8 (B), 2 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), - (B), 4-6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x6x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x1x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)


P4 Grid:

7: 5 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
8: 5-8-10 (A), 3-4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 1-4-8-9 (A), 3-7 (B), 2 (C)
10: 1-8 (A), 4-7 (B), 5-6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x4x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)



OAKLAWN PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


7th: 29th Bachelor, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3)

Most Likely: #6 Counterforce 2-1 WON ($9.00)
Next Best: #7 Morning Fire 5-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Will Munnings 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #2 I Will Score 5-2 2nd


8th: OC/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Sweet Platinum 9-2 9th
Next Best: #9 Tapit Wicked 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Political Justice 8-1 10th
Super Add: #12 Bo Talon 15-1 6th


9th: 52nd Apple Blossom (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD)

"Horses aren't durable anymore".. except for these 6 fillies and mares I guess who are a combined 94/33-19-13 for $6MM..

Best Value: #5 Forever Unbridled 6-1 WON ($10.40)
Next Best: #4 Untapable 6-5 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Tara's Tango 9-5 3rd
Super Add: #1 Call Pat 9-2 5th


10th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f

Most Likely: #8 War Ride 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Front Pocket Money 7-2 WON ($7.80)
Best Value: #7 El Venue 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Rapid Red 8-1 3rd


P4 Grid:

7: 6-7 (A), - (B), 1-2 (C)
8: 1-4-9-12 (A), 2-3-5-7 (B), - (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 3 (B), 1 (C)
10: 6-8 (A), 7 (B), 1-3-4-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x8x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x2x2 = $32 ($16 for .50)

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/5/5/6) Paid $660.00


Good luck!
Steve