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Old 07-05-2015, 02:27 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,208
Default Woodbine Sunday July 5

Great day of racing all around, especially GP & MTH (and BEL has some good races as well), but found TONS of value I really like and a lot of shorter prices that I don't and will focus mainly at Woodbine.

Race 1:
#3 Behind the Scene: J/T not the best with 2yos or FTS but the pedigree says he's most inclined to win as a FTS in a 5f poly sprint.
#1 Conquest _____
#2 More Mia
#4 Riker

Race 2:
#6 Spanish River
#7 Ninth Symphony
#2 Macho Whiskey
#3 Rexton

Race 3:
#6 Dottins Alley: Charged home late on debut and will improve.
#7 White Gladiator
#1 Contradict
#2 Scorch
Baker is 0/19 with 3 ITM with 3yo second time starters routing for the first time. No thanks with #8.

Race 4:
#3 Play With Passion: Stein chooses this of the two stablemates.
#8 Get'erdonebud
#6 Bright Light
#5 Ruth Less Blue
Very beatable fav with #7. Using mostly underneath but will add into the $0.20 P5.

Race 5:
#2 Constantino: Given an easy run back off two vet scratches. Ridiculous 20-1 ML.
#4 Jolly Dancer
#3 Flashy Margaritta
#6 Puntrooskie

Race 6:
#12 Shot for Shot: Got going too late last out through solid closing fractions and numbers fit. Blinkers back on and has a quick blowout.
#11 Light Em Up
#4 Boyz O Boyz
#5 B C Bud
#3 is bomb FTS that can juice the exotics. #10 probably wants longer but can be ITM.

Race 7:
#1 Winning Rhythm: Closer in So. Cal but chases the speed from the 12 hole in East Coast debut? That had to be a prep and with back to back bullets she's ready for this.
#4 Solid Appeal: Something amiss in the Canadian and not the same without the shades which go back on for this.
#7 Strut the Course: Blocked on the rail in the stretch but had a lovely run otherwise. Needs to continue to improve.
#2 Watsdachances: Didn't beat a strong field on Preakness Day and Chad doesn't have a great record north of the border.

Race 8:
#8 Cito: Legitimate reasons for his three poor performances in his career. Third off the shelf and has tracking speed.
#10 The Feather Lands
#1 Born in a Breeze
#4 Bold Espresso

Race 9:
#7 Money Talker
#8 Hyper
#4 Dynamic Sky
#2 Aldous Snow

Race 10:
#3 Something Extra: Easiest field he's faced in some time. Comes in sharp.
#7 Katie's Eyes: Filly comes in four for four in turf sprints. Musn't bounce off two careers bests.
#4 Sharp Sensation
#6 Shrinking Violet

Race 11:
#5 Billy's Star: Got interfered with more than #8 did and I think he'll also stay the 10f better. Not ridden out the last 16th to save some in the tank for this.
#1 Shaman Ghost: Flew past in the Marine and has been training sharply for this. Three for three with the shades off.
#9 Breaking Lucky: Ignore dirt debut. Two back loss was a strangely run race and he was way too sharp heading into the last (open ALW vs older). Expecting a more relaxed effort with the blinkers off.
#8 Conquest Boogaloo: Had no chance of running two back and had that aforementioned trouble last out. However, was a big price in those two races and will be much shorter in this where the distance is a bit of a question.
#7 escaped the trouble last time but I wasn't really impressed with his run in the Marine either. I'll let him beat me for the win.

Race 12:
#11 Money Talks: Has some turf pedigree and that shows in his works on the surface.
#9 Lucky Lindy
#5 Long Johns
#4 Niigon Express
#1 "held bravely" last time over a career maiden. I'll take him on.

Race 13:
#13 Still Searching: Took action on debut off some quick works but broke last and that was it. Sent to the lead going two-turns and expectedly faded. Back sprinting with the blinkers on and hope she'll hold on.
#2 Another Girl: Bounced off the double Beyer top and can return to form this time around.
#11 Garafraxa
#1 She's a Ringer
#3 and #9 also have chances in a dart throwing affair.

$0.20 Pick Five
Race 2: 6, 7
Race 3: 6, 7
Race 4: 3, 5, 6, 7, 8
Race 5: 2, 3, 4, 6
Race 6: 4, 5, 11, 12
$64
$0.60 ticket: 6, 7/6, 7/3, 8/2, 4/4, 5, 11, 12 $38.40 ($102.40 total)

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 4: 3, 5, 6, 8
Race 5: 2, 4
Race 6: 4, 5, 11, 12
Race 7: 1, 4, 7
$57.60

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 10: 3, 7
Race 11: 1, 5, 8, 9
Race 12: 4, 5, 9, 11
Race 13: 1, 2, 11, 13
$76.80
$0.20 cover: 3, 7/1, 5, 8, 9/4, 5, 9, 11/3, 9 $12.80 ($89.60 total)

Good luck!

Last edited by Kitan : 07-05-2015 at 10:44 AM.
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