As for your sequence, I don't know if I'd devote serious money to trying to beat Banrock. He loves soft turf and while he wasn't spectacular at Saratoga, he still got the job done over a horse that had a cozier trip. Pennington is tough to swallow at 7-2 or 4-1 considering he was 13-1 last time and he never seems to put two good races together. Straight Story is a little interesting and would probably be the only other horse I'd use, though he'll probably get pressure from Pennington and Hills appears to be trying to put speed into Gimme Credit.
Grand Couturier is more likely to lose IMO. He obviously crushes these on his best day, I've just been pretty disappointed with his races this year. I'm hoping to get a better price on Americain than the 4-1 he was last time, as I'm drawing a line through his Sword Dancer because of the pace dynamic. The fractions should be much softer in this race and he can clearly run all day. Not sure what the hell Winchester was doing in an 8 1/2-furlong race in his return and he would obviously be no surprise. I'd give Colony another shot too but the way Seventh Street was bet today worries me as to what kind of price he'll be.
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09-12-2009, 10:59 PM
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