12/26: AQU $159k C/O Contest/Discussion

[golfer]

Originally Posted by Kasept

Based on the lack of interplay, I guess no one has dug into these PP's...


7th is an ALW/N1X mile for NYB F&M's which doesn't look that mysterious. 7-2 Dynamite Jewel is going to be played heavy, gets Lopez and will hustle early, but I don't think she's much horse. "C.C." is a winter go to guy for Galluscio, and the 4yo does own the tactical edge. Your call. Madam Commander and Warrior Miss look best to me quality-wise at 4-1 and 3-1 respectively. Linda's Baby is 10-1, has a little speed and is mildly appealing as a "C" inclusion on your P6. She's been a much better horse since the weather turned colder.

Featured 8th is a nice affair of solid older ALW types going three-quarters. Darley and Albertrani's Noble Sound was impressive in his delayed debut, and has since come back with 4 well-spaced drills indicating soundness, if there was concern. By Vindication, (out of the late Serena's Tune who was a nice horse for Bob and Bev Lewis), stalker may be a horse with plenty more upside. M J's Enchanteur disappointed last out in overnight stake versus slightly better, but is a winner on his best. On With It from Linda Rice showed continual improvement in fall versus state-breds and steps up off a freshening. Iwinski's Run With Me could be a sneaky horse in here at 20-1 with his April 6 effort behind Lieutenant Ron more than competitive against these.

Nightcap 9th is a group of conditional claiming suspects going 1m-70y. Not sure I can embrace 2-1 on the ordinary Cool Tales, but he did get a heady ride from Mig last out v. similar, will save ground, has 'back class' and is a pace plus. Of the "possibles", All in No Outs, 5-1 from Galluscio, is regularly competitive this level; Red Demon (20-1) has won his only 2 on this strip but comes from miles back; 5-1 Fly the North Wind either went backwards off effects of career best effort October 2 at Belmont, found state bred ALW company too stiff in next three, or both. Good news is he's run well this surface (60% of earnings came here), and pace scenario/company should be to his liking. Sumphin is first the AE list, and while nothing special, is 0-2-2 in these events his last 4.

Not much of an opinion on the 7th, other than Warrior Miss took a big step forward last time, albeit on the turf with a very good trip.

In the 8th, I would add Cloud Nine to my ticket. Ran a big one out of nowhere 2 back, then improved on that last time, against far weaker competition, but at 15-1ML, usable. Obviously Noble Sound is the one to beat.

In the last, I really like All Ins No Outs. His race 2 back was exceptional, then came back very quickly and regressed. Now freshened, if he runs his best (and the track is playing fairly) he should win. Possibly a very agressive single.