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Old 11-17-2007, 08:44 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,956
Default 11/17: Big A (C/O); CD (Late P4)

$25k carryover into Aqueduct 4th-9th today with card highlighted by some tough maiden sets and the Gr. III Stuyvesant. Very tough looking sequence for the sextet... Churchill features the Gr. III Cardinal and also has a modest carry for its' less popular P6... Hollywood has a $125k carry as well, and we may get to it later this a.m.


AQUEDUCT


4th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P6, P3)

Difficult to read maiden affair with all but three making career bows..

Best Value: #7 Put Him Back 12-1 8th
Most Likely: #5 He's the Commander 9-2 4th
Exotics Must: #4 Mint Lane 4-1 3rd
Other Add: #10 Bang Bang Bang 3-1 5th


5th: NYB-ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, G/S, Super)

Also eligible Haze My Man the strong choice if he gets in.. Otherwise it's a spread race for multis..

Best Value: #9 Stormy Success 6-1 7th
Most Likely: #12 SCR
Exotics Must: #1 Highly Spoken 3-1 5th
Super Add: #7 Dubliner 8-1 10th


6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P4, DD, Super)

Best Value: #10 Final Resolution 8-1 8th
Most Likely: #8 POST EXCHANGE 4-1 5th
Exotics Must: #4 Walker's Cay 12-1 6th
Super Add: #5 New York Style 15-1 10th

.10 SUPER PLAY: 8 over 2-4-5-10 over 1-2-4-5-6-9-10-11 (1x4x7x6 = 168/10 = $16.80)


7th: NYB-OC/N2X, 3+, 7.5f (P3)

Best Value: #4 DON'T KNOCK AMERICA 15-1 8th
Most Likely: #6 Bayou Timber 5-2 7th
Exotics Must: #8 Run With the Lark 3-1 4th


8th: 57th Stiyvesant H. (Gr. III), 3+, 9f (DD)

Best Value: #7 Who What Win 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #8 Barcola 5-2 6th
Exotics Must: #2 SCR


9th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-T (Super)

Best Value: #11 SCR
Most Likely: #5 VIVACIOUS VIVIAN 7-2 7th
Exotics Must: #10 Kristi With a K 3-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Eurodollar 8-1 8th


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1e-2e-4-5-7-10
5: 1-9
6: 8
7: 4-6
8: (2/SCR)7-8
9: 5

6x2x1x2x2x1 = 36 x $2 = $72


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 2-4-5-8
7: 4-6-8
8: (2/SCR) 6-7-8
9: 5

4x3x3x1 = $36



CHURCHILL DOWNS


7th: MSW, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD, O/U, Super)

Best Value: #1 Cleverdale 8-1 10th
Most Likely: #10 Even Tempo 7-2 4th
Exotics Must: #8 SCR
Super Add: #5 Lauren's Music 5-1 WON


8th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, O/U, Super)

Best Value: #3 CITY NUMBER 9-2 5th
Most Likely: #6 Elite Squadron 7-2 WON
Exotics Must: #4 Deputy Glitters 8-1 8th
Super Add: #5 Carnack's Choice 5-1 3rd


9th: Cardinal H. (Gr. III), F&M-3+, 9f-T (DD, O/U, Super)

Best Value: #3 Nottawasaga 12-1 3rd
Most Likely: #6 Argentina 2-1 2nd
Exotics Must: #4 Criminologist 8-5 WON
Super Add: #8 Love Handles 12-1 5th


10th: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (O/U, Super)

Best Value: #3 Cielo Song 10-1 2nd
Most Likely: #1 Mama's Lil' Mon 4-1 3rd
Exotics Must: #10 Chief Export 3-1 WON
Super Add: #9 Delta Charlie 6-1 7th


<$50 P4 Play:

7: 1-5-(8/SCR)-9-10
8: 3-6
9: 6
10: 1-3-5-9-10

4x2x1x5 = $40


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-18-2007 at 04:55 AM.
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