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Old 10-21-2006, 09:04 AM
Dunbar's Avatar
Dunbar Dunbar is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 2,962
Default George Washington's future odds for BC Classic

I was curious how the racebooks would estimate George Washington's chances in the BC Classic. Pinnacle has future odds up again. They have George Washington at 9-1. He is only 7-1 over at VIP/Gameday.

Both Pinnacle and VIP have Bernardini at 6-5. The best on Invasor is 7.3-1 at Pinnacle. The best on Lava Man is 11-2 at VIP/Gameday.

VIP and Gameday have matchups on the Classic. You can get 2.4-1 on Lava Man to finish ahead of Bernardini. Same thing with Invasor vs Bernardini. In each case, you could take Bernardini in the matchup by laying 3-1. (You put up 30 to win 10.)

You can get 3-1 on Geo. Washington to finish ahead of Bernardini. You have to lay 4-1 to take Bernardini. There are also some matchups between 2 of Geo. Washington, Invasor, and Lava Man.

Lastly, there is this interesting prop: "Largest BC win payout based on $2 win bet--BC races only:
over $58.50 -110
under $58.50 -120"

--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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  #2  
Old 10-21-2006, 09:19 AM
Slewbopper Slewbopper is offline
Narragansett Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Connecticut
Posts: 568
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Dunbar
You can get 3-1 on Geo. Washington to finish ahead of Bernardini. You have to lay 4-1 to take Bernardini. There are also some matchups between 2 of Geo. Washington, Invasor, and Lava Man.

Lastly, there is this interesting prop: "Largest BC win payout based on $2 win bet--BC races only:
over $58.50 -110
under $58.50 -120"

--Dunbar
Just did some research...in 12 of the 22 BCs there has been a winner that paid more than 58.50. In three different years there were two. Seems like a silly proposition.
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