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Old 02-14-2011, 10:23 AM
Clip-Clop Clip-Clop is offline
The Curragh
 
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Default Betting against bridge jumpers

After seeing the payouts from Tapizars race, I was curious if anyone ever looked into this as a possible angle? Seems you could have a pretty high failure rate and still a positive ROI.
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Old 02-14-2011, 11:59 AM
cloud_break cloud_break is offline
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I don't know what the long term ROI is, but it's a fun way to cash every now and then.
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Old 02-14-2011, 12:04 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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DrugS is on the case. He will report shortly.
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Old 02-14-2011, 12:22 PM
Clip-Clop Clip-Clop is offline
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Originally Posted by randallscott35 View Post
DrugS is on the case. He will report shortly.
Kinda was directed that way.
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Old 02-14-2011, 12:24 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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Originally Posted by Clip-Clop View Post
Kinda was directed that way.
I mean who else has that much time on his hands.
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Old 02-14-2011, 02:23 PM
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VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
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I mean who else has that much time on his hands.
Some guy named Randall Scott.
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Old 02-14-2011, 02:26 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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Some guy named Randall Scott.
If only.
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Old 02-14-2011, 02:29 PM
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randallscott35 randallscott35 is offline
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I mean who else has that much time on his hands.
Exhibit A http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=40967
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  #9  
Old 02-14-2011, 02:36 PM
PatCummings PatCummings is offline
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Actually, that got my day rolling on Saturday. If you see it and the show pool is about 90% on one horse, it's well worth it, especially in races with smaller fields. You lose maybe $4 or $6, in bigger fields, maybe $18 or $20. So the smaller the field, the greater the chances...and there are rarely 90% show jumpers in a race with a big field, so you are more often to lose $4 or $6 or $8.

Any time I see them jump, I play against. But is often especially lucrative in harness racing with their smaller fields anyway. I have seen the Meadowlands pay $200+ per horse before, smaller venues, sometimes bigger.
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Old 02-14-2011, 03:05 PM
Clip-Clop Clip-Clop is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by PatCummings View Post
Actually, that got my day rolling on Saturday. If you see it and the show pool is about 90% on one horse, it's well worth it, especially in races with smaller fields. You lose maybe $4 or $6, in bigger fields, maybe $18 or $20. So the smaller the field, the greater the chances...and there are rarely 90% show jumpers in a race with a big field, so you are more often to lose $4 or $6 or $8.

Any time I see them jump, I play against. But is often especially lucrative in harness racing with their smaller fields anyway. I have seen the Meadowlands pay $200+ per horse before, smaller venues, sometimes bigger.
Thank you. Well explained and totally logical.
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Old 02-14-2011, 06:39 PM
ranger5830 ranger5830 is offline
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With the introduction of net pool pricing, it makes even more sense to try and beat the bridgejumpers, because even if the favorite does come in, and unfortunately they usually do, if a longshot comes in with him, you can still get a decent show price on the other horse, maybe in the $5-6 range, whereas back in the old days everybody would have paid $2.10. Saturday was a bad day to take a plunge, as both Tapizar and Comma to the Top had huge show wagers on them, totalling over $300,000, and of course both lost.
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