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#1
01-23-2011, 07:34 AM
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1/23: Gulfstream (6th-10th)
Saturday proved to be lucrative as chalk-filled sequences at Gulfstream and Aqueduct gave way to juicy totes at Fair Grounds and Santa Anita. The day hinged on the strength of just one 'clever' opinion, as tabbing Wild About Marie in the Leggio Memorial tripped returns of more than $2,000. 10-1 at post time, Jeff Thornbury's Wildcat Heir filly was an ideal key horse at the 20-1 ML price, as she was dangerous with a repeat of her 12/20 NoLa ALW turf sprint effort. She couldn't have been more determined in victory under red-hot Richard Eremia, gutting out the wire to wire effort by a neck over Chantilly Nayla.
The $22.60 mutuel was at the core of the $1,018 .50 P4 with $14.00 Recapturetheglory (Louisiana H.), $5.20 Bouquet Booth (Silverbulletday) and $8.20 Gran Estreno (Col. Bradley). In addition to the P4 return which was four times the parlay, the Recapturetheglory-Wild About Marie-Bouquet Booth P3 returned an outstanding $632.50 ($1), more than 3 times the parlay. At Santa Anita, there is a $104k P6 carryover thanks in part to the Palos Verdes heroics of veteran Euroears, the 7yo upsetter of the G2 stake in his first start from the Bob Baffert barn. A long time favorite of mine, keying off Euroears at his 9-1 overlay odds made for an ideal play with Smiling Tiger an insane 2-5. The results were amazing considering the 6 betting interest field with $1 exotics of $115 (Exacta), $281 (Triple) and $844 (Super). Fair Grounds and the Palos Verdes returns more than made up for the parade of low prices at New York and Florida, and I hope you did great! Am not that enthused about the cards today, but with things going nicely, I looked at the late GP action. Dee Tee sends Ausable Chasm in the Aqueduct 6th today, and she certainly is up against it as a win candidate. As with Lloydobler's excellent turnaround effort Thursday, we are looking for an improved try today. The blinkers come off and C.C. Lopez gets on to try to get her into the race earlier after three poor performances since her summer win at Saratoga. Good luck today.. Enjoy the racing and the Championship games! GULFSTREAM POST-SCRATCHES 6th: 2nd GP Turf Sprint, 4+, 5f-Inner Turf (P5, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #6 Stradivinsky 7-5 WON ($4.20) Next Best: #5 Great Attack 3-1 2nd Best Value: #3 Ahvee's Destiny 12-1 3rd Super Add: #7 Retire to What 6-1 4th 7th: MSW, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Interesting sprint MSW that features debut of Storm Cat son out of Turko's Turn, #1 Turnofthecat, making him a half to Point Given; #11 Free Entry is a half to the MSW Thunders Dove.. Best Value: #11 Free Entry 12-1 WON ($7.60) Next Best: #6 Rocked 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #8 Meistersinger 12-1 9th Super Add: #13 Escort 6-1 4th 8th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f-Outer Turf (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #8 Bluegrass Jet 5-1 10th Next Best: #7 Data Link 4-1 WON ($12.00) Exotics Use: #3 Beachcombing 3-1 2nd Super Add: #10 Terminal One 8-1 8th $1 Pick 3 (6/11/7) Paid $120.60 9th: OC/N2X, 4+, 1, (DD, Super) It's a returnee festival with Mission Impazible ('10 LA Derby), Homeboy Kris ('09 Champagne), William's Kitten, and more working their way back toward career resumption.. Best Value: #4 Caixa Electronica 8-1 WON ($15.40) Next Best: #9 Royal Tricon 8-1 5th Exotics Use: #5 Moe Man 4-1 3rd Super Add: #3 Homeboy Kris 6-1 4th $1 Pick 3 (11/7/4) Paid $263.40 10th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 8.5f-Inner Turf (Super) Best Value: #1 Nelson Avenue 10-1 9th Next Best: #3 Volunteer Kitten 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #8 Schoolyard Cat 6-1 WON ($6.60) Super Add: #12 Carbon County 4-1 3rd $1 Pick 3 (7/4/8) Paid $118.90 <$50 P5 Play: 6: 3-5-6 7: 6-11 8: 3-7-8 9: 4-9 10: 1-3 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36 $0.50 Pick 5 (1,2,6/11,12/7/4/8,13,14,15,16) Paid $14.60 (4 OF 5) x 2 = $29.20 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 6-8-11-13 8: 3-7-8 9: 3-4-5-9 10: 1-3-8 4x3x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72 $0.50 Pick 4 (11,12/7/4/8,13,14,15,16) Paid $431.80 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 01-24-2011 at 05:13 AM. 
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#2
01-23-2011, 10:39 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#4
01-23-2011, 04:04 PM
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Apparently, as we would say in the baseball community, they are looking like "beach balls" right now.....g/l!!!!!!!!!
__________________
"Let the whiners and lazy cry about how impossible "they've" made it to win at this game." - Steve Byk
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#8
01-23-2011, 04:36 PM
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En Fuego, Steve! Pat and I poached your pk5 and pk4 plays and we really appreciate it. Lets face it, there really is not much need to handicap whatever track you are posting as you are giving out all the winning plays anyway!!
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#9
01-23-2011, 05:02 PM
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Great job the last 2 days Steve. Thank you very much.
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#11
01-23-2011, 05:15 PM
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Thanks again Steve, with me screaming for each winner, you are getting more followers here in AZ. Thanks,AZ Dave
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#12
01-23-2011, 05:32 PM
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 Just a redonkulous run Steve, Congrats!
__________________
Felix Unger talking to Oscar Madison: "Your horse could finish third by 20 lengths and they still pay you? And you have been losing money for all these years?!"
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#14
01-24-2011, 04:56 AM
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Thanks all. Am happy so many cashed, but obviously I left $1,000 on the table by omitting Carlos' horse from the P5 play. The good P3 prices helped assuage that a bit, but it was bad short-arming the P5. I can't seem to settle on an approppriate budget for the Five, which was a problem I had with it at MTH as well. But a good day, a great weekend and outstanding fortnight overall. Glad as always that many seem to be benefitting from the way I'm seeing races.
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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