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Old 02-19-2010, 08:18 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,956
Default 2/19: Santa Anita (5th-8th)

Thought $11, $13 and $111 winners of the first half of Thursday Santa Anita P6 meant a carryover was in the offing for Friday. But 3 subsequent victors that were obvious 'on top' Most Liklies kept the sequence within reach of one ticket that scored on the $80k+ prize.

54-1 El Nadia, a 7yo Kiwi making a first NA start, was Steve Knapp's first winner of the meet after 35 tries. She was a 1 for 25 turf mare in NZ running 7f to a mile; had been off 229 days with Knapp 8% "Off >180 days" and 0 for 17 "First time with trainer". In other words, she was tough to use...

Hope you did OK yesterday as the next three winners "on top" produced a $50 P3 that defrayed the P4 beat a tad. Huge Saturday on deck, and ATR preview will include DRF's Mike Welsch (GP, TAM) and Marcus Hersch (FG). Carryover of $25k looms at Aqueduct today, but with a potential $160k pot at Arcadia, I looked West instead and the P4 appears approachable and possibly lucrative.


SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


5th: OC/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Warren's Appeal 5-2 3rd-DH
Best Value: #1 Win Allison Win 8-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Playa Bonita 9-2 3rd-DH
Super Add: #2 G. I. Betty 6-1 6th


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Victory With Honor 5-2 8th
Best Value: #2 Silk Street 6-1 5th
Next Best: #3 Stephen's Got Hope 4-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Close to the Edge 3-1 4th


7th: OC/N2X, F&M-4+, 9f-T (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #1 Devine Actress 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 My Aunt Fanny 6-1 8th
Next Best: #4 Jealous Woman 3-1 WON
Super Add: #5 Welken 5-2 2nd


8th: Cal-bred MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #11 Saltwater M D 4-1 WON
Next Best: #5 Kalookan Commando 7-2 4th
Best Value: #8 Jacob's Tiger 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #12 Slew City Grinder 8-1 7th
High 5 Play: #1a (POE) Unusually Lucky 5-1 2nd


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-6
6: 2-7
7: 1-3-4-5
8: 5-8-11

3x2x3x4 = $72


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 02-19-2010 at 08:16 PM.
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Old 02-19-2010, 08:31 AM
mclem0822 mclem0822 is offline
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Location: Jacksonville, Florida
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-6
6: 2-7
7: 1-3-4-5
8: 5-8-11

3x2x3x4 = $723
Wow Steve, expensive P4, I may have to quit playing if they cost that much lol.

Last edited by Kasept : 02-19-2010 at 08:47 AM.
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  #3  
Old 02-19-2010, 08:35 AM
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South Beach Luv South Beach Luv is offline
The Curragh
 
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Location: Chicago W Burbs
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Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
54-1 El Nadia, a 7yo Kiwi making a first NA start, was Steve Knapp's first winner of the meet after 35 tries. She was a 1 for 25 turf mare in NZ running 7f to a mile; had been off 229 days with Knapp 8% "Off >180 days" and 0 for 17 "First time with trainer". In other words, she was tough to use...
Owner Cecil Barber who took down the P6 pool yesterday and owned the winner in the night cap, said he only included El Nadia because he had thought of buying her awhile ago. Crazy
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Old 02-19-2010, 08:50 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by mclem0822
Wow Steve, expensive P4, I may have to quit playing if they cost that much lol.
Hey... They say you have to spend money to make money!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #5  
Old 02-19-2010, 08:56 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,956
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Quote:
Originally Posted by South Beach Luv
Owner Cecil Barber who took down the P6 pool yesterday and owned the winner in the night cap, said he only included El Nadia because he had thought of buying her awhile ago. Crazy
There ya go! That tells you everything you need to know about how it goes sometimes...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #6  
Old 02-19-2010, 09:06 AM
mclem0822 mclem0822 is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2008
Location: Jacksonville, Florida
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Hey... They say you have to spend money to make money!
Yeah, I keep telling the wife that, over, and over again.
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