Arl. Race 7 7/11

[wac]

What do you guys think about Dark Sky in this one? I know he is only 7/2 but i was at CD for his 1st race and was somewhat impressed i know that the one that beat him got creamed in his next race but i really like his pedigree and am a little surprised that he's not on the turf for his next race but just wanted to know what the opinions are on the horse's chances.

[jwkniska]

From first glance... was my top pick in that race.

If you're capping AP tomorrow, don't forget about the early pick 4 carryover ($12,786).

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by wac

What do you guys think about Dark Sky in this one? I know he is only 7/2 but i was at CD for his 1st race and was somewhat impressed i know that the one that beat him got creamed in his next race but i really like his pedigree and am a little surprised that he's not on the turf for his next race but just wanted to know what the opinions are on the horse's chances.

I think she (it is a filly by the way) has a very big chance.
The recent wet weather should favor her if she flashes that same early speed, and given her dam-side pedigree, the switch to poly could move her up.
I don't like the ML favorite (the Frank Brothers filly) in this race at all. Given her past performances, she just doesn't seem like a polytracker.

The three horses that I see as the biggest contenders are:
#8 Dark Sky - Dallas Stewart (7/2)
#5 Saratoga Summer - Bill Mott (9/2)
#2 E Major - Chuck Simon (8/1)

[miraja2]

Originally Posted by jwkniska

If you're capping AP tomorrow, don't forget about the early pick 4 carryover ($12,786).

1,2,6,7 / 1,2,4 / 2,5,7 / 6 = $36

[jwkniska]

Originally Posted by miraja2

The three horses that I see as the biggest contenders are:
#8 Dark Sky - Dallas Stewart (7/2)
#5 Saratoga Summer - Bill Mott (9/2)
#2 E Major - Chuck Simon (8/1)

Those are my picks too, and in the exact order. Been in a mini slump at AP recently, hoping to break out of it, especially since going tomorrow. Hopefully I don't jinx you.
Don't hit many slumps with AP (if I break even for a day I'm normally upset), but guess we all have to go thru it at one time or another.

here's my pick 4:
1,2,7/1,2/2,7,9/6,10 $36

[Scav]

Dark Sky scratched along with Saratoga Summer....

[Bogey]

Early PK4

R2 - 1 6 / 2 3 4 5 / 7 / 3 6 = $16

[Scav]

Today's early P4 at Arlington is very interesting. Very chalky also. It would be my guess that between 80% and 90% of the pool will be on the 1 or 7 in the first leg, now if you beat either of them, it will be an outstanding payoff, even with what will probably be 3/5 in the 4th race (7 horse).

Now, if you single either the 1 or 7 in the first leg, you could knock out 50% of the tickets, which is pretty cool if you have a solid opinion on either of them, and the payoff will be better then normal with what will be 8/5 winning the race.

[jwkniska]

that pick 4 will pay a TON! Thought I had it after the first 3 legs.

$11,425

[Scav]

Originally Posted by jwkniska

that pick 4 will pay a TON! Thought I had it after the first 3 legs.

$11,425

Things are so confusing there right now. Karllson got a little too confident on the lead in that race, she should have won that race for fun with the lead that she had......23/46/111 going 8f, when she was like 4 lengths in front......