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Old 01-05-2008, 08:50 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 1/5: Count Fleet; Hutcheson; &..

Back to Derby Trail roots today as 3yo acton starts in earnest..

AQU 8: 33rd Count Fleet, $75,000, 3yo, 1m-70y

Schosberg's undefeated Giant Moon (#7) appears the one to beat sporting the Funny Cide Juvenile sweep (MDN debut/Sleepy Hollow/Runyon) pattern. Will have his hands full with the pair inside him, but sharp conditioner believes he's got a rare talent in this Giant's Causeway bay, and we will get the chance to see a how rare in this sophomore bow. Homebred connections campaigned route-loving dam who banked $250k and first foal will need to raise game in first open company test. WON

Barrier Reef (#5), a Darley that's still in the US, comes from Tom Albertrani who kicked off what could be an "I'm back!" weekend Friday when Host annexed the Canadian Turf at GP. $350k at Barrett's 2yo sale last March, Mizzen Mast grey dusted maiden foes in 2nd start after troubled debut 3rd behind the very nice He's Solid Gold. Late style not exactly best this oval, and lack of early pace could compromise chances, but a serious soph to keep on watch lists.

Empire Maker bay Roman Emperor (#6) has steadily progressed under super savvy helmsman Klesaris, crushing PHA foes after finding Cool Coal Man far too tough in his unvieling at DEL Park. Half brother of Doc Cheney showed gameness in ALW win last overcoming early trouble, and appears capable of adjusting to pace scenarios under Afleet Alex pilot Rose. Likely ready to fire.

Sprint-oriented pedigree looms question mark for Pletcher state-bred Spanky Fischbein (#2) who didn't miss an exacta in half dozen juvy starts. Fruitlessly chased 'Moon' in Runyon (two turn debut), and will likely find these waters even deeper. 2nd

Aptly-named Tony Dutrow chestnut Red Reef (#1) may be overlooked in this race off trio of highly similar sprint efforts that produced 2-0-1 mark. FL-bred son of Red Bullet bested Matz' impressive GP ALW winner Visionaire (1/4/08) in career debut, but had no answer for Hutcheson entrant Grand Minstrel in 12/12 Capote this oval. Two turns should suit stalker-closer type, yet another running in the increasingly familiar powder blue of Ahmed Zayat. Upset chance at a price with forward move and an exotics must use.

Ritvo candidate Run With Me (#3) has already developed quite a bit, and note placement last behind Hutcheson upset chancer Smooth Air while still Miami-based. Needs best try yet and concerned that Delaware Township get won't relish second turn.

Philly gelding Atta Boy Andy (#4) makes trip up turnpike and appears to be bringing knife to gunfight. Broke maiden this trip at Bensalem, but would be inclined to look for son of Atticus on lawn come spring.


Selections:

1. #6 Roman Emperor (4-1)
2. #7 Giant Moon (5-2)
3. #1 Red Reef (6-1)
4. #5 Barrier Reef (7-2)



GP 9th: Hutcheson S. (G2), $150,000, 3yo, 7f

1. Tiz It (Velazquez JR/Terranova) 8-1: Bold, and potentially brilliant, decision by Terranova to try graded event for maiden Tiznow colt that has run pair of outstanding races to start career only to finish 2nd to excellent Massive Drama and nice Accredit; Working sharp at Palm Meadows and though plenty of speed signed on, may prove capable of laying back enough to have something left for final furlong; Upset chance at price that should float higher in great betting race..

2. SCRATCHED Grand Minstrel (Coa/J. Jerkens) 6-1: Ned Evans homebred has won only when getting an easy lead, and that won't be easy versus this bunch; Reacted significantrly when 'topping' in maidenbreaker, and similar regression off last strongly suspected for Jerkens' runner that was a late arrival down south; Likely to take some money, and others appear as capable at better numbers..

3. SCRATCHED Cool Coal Man (Bravo/Zito) 6-1: $200k Mineshaft bay took three tries for diploma and demolished increasingly key event in doing so while routing for first time; KY JC (Gr. II) waters were too much too soon, and ace soph trainer moved him to Boynton early to prep for '08 campaign; Interest in attending pace the major question; Prefer others more..

4. Halo Najib (Desormeaux/Romans) 3-1: Zayat purchase under Romans' watch another returning to one turn in attempt to rebuild confidence after KY JC beat to end juvy season; Kent D. found self on undesired lead at CD, and return to stalk/press style should mean return to winning ways; Likes GP surface according to Dale (At the Races, 1/4/06); ML fave offers no value but looks capable of earning odds.. 3rd

5. Smooth Air (Cruz/Stutts) 10-1: Watch board for hints on Calder-based player that totally fits with this bunch; Returned from 90 days break (Aug-Nov) a different horse and effort close to last pair crosstown earns laurels at bonus price today; Moves from slower strip at Miami to speedway, and doesn't need the lead; Surprise package especially embraceable should Ritvo's 'Run With Me' perform admirably at AQU earlier in the day (8th, 3:50p).. WON

6. Silver Edition (Douglas/Lukas) 8-1: Lukas Silver Deputy bay alternating efforts and may be sitting on one with applicable style/post for this undertaking; Faced quality group in season-ender at CD and merits inclusion in exotics at square price.. 2nd

7. Big Truck (Castellano/Tagg) 12-1: Third entrant of four in set going back to one turn following off-the-board finish in season-ending juvy stake; Remsen fiasco a toss according to Tagg, but bigger question is ability to stay with these and state-bred's quality in open company; Another whose chances could be boosted by Count Fleet results (reference Giant Moon)..

8. Notgivinmyloveaway (Prado/Baker) 15-1: Trust top Canadian conditioner's judgment, but PA-bred looks in over head despite impressive Penn Nursery score at this trip 11/24; Gets Pradio for try, but forward move off last imperitive to chances; Siding with others..

9. Golden Spikes (Castro/Wolfson) 10-1: Regally bred Wolfson bay being brought along slowly and son of Seeking the Gold via an A.P. Indy mare should continue to improve with added distance; Calder ALW score last out was best yet, and near pace style from outside launch always a plus this distance; Price is right on baseball star-connected colt from always dangerous J-T tandem.. 4th

10. Coal Play (C. Velasquez/Zito) 4-1: Nick opted to give this one chance at graded money now having passed Friday ALW when coupled with Stevil; Hamilton-bred/LaPenta-owned Mineshaft bay another that yielded in black type 2 turner to end '07, and doesn't exactly draw well in attempt to clear prior to turn; Eligible for any board spot, but tough to love at less than ML tab..


Selections:

1. #1 Tiz It 8-1
2. #4 Halo Najib 3-1
3. #5 Smooth Air 10-1
4. #7 Big Truck 12-1
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 01-05-2008 at 04:10 PM.
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  #2  
Old 01-05-2008, 11:34 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,852
Default

Changes at GP... Sloppy and OFF THE TURF...


2. SCRATCHED Grand Minstrel (Coa/J. Jerkens)
3. SCRATCHED Cool Coal Man (Bravo/Zito)


GULFSTREAM PARK CHANGES
CLOUDY, EARLY RAIN 70"S
TRACK // SLOPPY ---- TURF // OFF P6 CARRYOVER $ 6752.00

!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

2 - ONE MILE MAIN TK.
2 #6 JOCKEY L. COLON
2 SCR. #7 STORMY MIRACLE
2 SCR. #10 CLASSIC LAKE

4 SCR. #3 ROCKGLEN

5 ONE MILE MAIN TK.
5 SCR. # 3 TARATORI GIRLS
5 SCR. #10 SHAKETHEPOSSE
5 SCR. #13 MARGIE ONE
5 SCR. #14 INDY CATE

6 SCR.#1 ELLA BIRD
6 SCR. # 7 JOAN'S ROYAL DAWN

8 ONE MILE MAIN TK.
8 SCR. #2 PURE N SINFUL
8 SCR. #9 NIC'S AMIGO
8 SCR. #10 HEY JOHN
8 SCR. #13 ROCKCASTLE

9 SCR. # 2 GRAND MINSTREL
9 SCR.#3 COOL COAL MAN

10 ONE MILE MAIN TK.
10 SCR. #1 GAELIC SUNRISE
10 SCR.#2 OUR CAT
10 SCR. #3 KING CASSIA
10 SCR. #4 DJ'S LUCK
10 SCR. #7 COLORFUL JUDGEMENT
10 SCR. # 9 WARRIOR'S WAY
10 SCR.#10 TOPSIDE TRADER
10 SCR. #11 SOLEWISHER
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #3  
Old 01-05-2008, 12:03 PM
Borntorun Borntorun is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Bloominton, IL
Posts: 144
Default Off Tracks

Decided to play P3s at GP beginning in the 6th today rather than play SA due to the forecast. Oh well, thanks for the news Steve. I'll just make some win & exacta bets now since I spent the a.m. capping GP assuming a fast track and on the Turf.

I liked #1 Tiz IT and was going to include him in my P3, like him even more now with the sloppy track, check out his Tomlinson #. I'll use him in an exacta #9 and #10.
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  #4  
Old 01-05-2008, 12:05 PM
Bobby Fischer's Avatar
Bobby Fischer Bobby Fischer is offline
Oaklawn
 
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Posts: 2,401
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Nice Rundown
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  #5  
Old 01-05-2008, 12:13 PM
KY_Sasquash KY_Sasquash is offline
Golden Gate
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 365
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Im playing a Roman Emporer - Barrier Reef exacta box and pushing RE over BR in a straight exacta.
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  #6  
Old 01-05-2008, 01:50 PM
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lemoncrush lemoncrush is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Blaine, MN
Posts: 1,408
Default Late Pick 4

Wasn't planning on playing the Big A today, and rarely do,but with Santa Anita under water, and unable to play GP (thanks to youbet), I'll try a late pick 4.


6) 3,4,8,10,11
7) 3,7
8) 5,6
9) 2

Good luck!
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  #7  
Old 01-05-2008, 03:43 PM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,852
Default

Some crazy prices on the Hutch board with 15+ MTP..

Big Truck 8/5... Huh?

Coal Play more atttractive at 6-1 than the 4-1 ML..

Tiz It (5-1) getting bet more than I'd like. Built my plays around him..

Smooth Air 12-1.. Halo 7-2 (!)
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #8  
Old 01-05-2008, 04:01 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
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Default

R Douglas have a plane to catch?
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