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#41
07-27-2007, 01:39 PM
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Love Fairbanks here. If it's wet, I'd be tempted to go with Brass Hat, but so will everyone else and he'd be 7-1. Odds on Fairbanks would not be effected by an off track, as he's 0-0, but pedigree and front running style makes me stay with Fairbaks, even if on wet
Last edited by Mike : 07-28-2007 at 11:02 AM. 
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#42
07-27-2007, 01:52 PM
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__________________
please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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#43
07-27-2007, 04:32 PM
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Past Performances:
http://www.drf.com/row/pps/07whitney.pdf http://ntra.equibase.com/eqbNTRAGetF...USA&de=D&rn=10
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#44
07-27-2007, 06:08 PM
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I hope you're sitting down. Wonder of wonders... I totally agree!!!!!!!!!
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#45
07-27-2007, 06:37 PM
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#46
07-28-2007, 01:21 AM
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I'm going to play an exacta box of Magna Graduate, Fairbanks, and Diamond Stipes.
I'm going to play a five horse box of Brass Hat, Fairbanks, Diamond Stripes, Magna Graduate and Lawyer Ron for the tri. I'll bet Brass Hat and Fairbanks to win. I'll play a super of: Magna Grad, Fairbanks Magna Grad, Fairbanks Diamond Stripes, Brass Hat, Lawyer Ron Brass Hat, Papi Chulo, Diamond Stripes, Wanderin Boy, Lawyer Ron My prediction on the order of finish is: Magna Graduate Fairbanks Diamond Stripes Lawyer Ron Brass Hat Wanderin Boy Papi Chullo Sun King Awesome Twist Flashy Bull Student Council Dry Martini
__________________
The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine
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#47
07-28-2007, 01:24 AM
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No one gives Flashy Bull any respect! He runs a 105 range beyer everytime!
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#48
07-28-2007, 11:46 AM
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Brass Hat has had his prep after recovering from a fractured sesamoid last year. Obviously, after such a long layoff, he was not fully cranked up for the race at Churchill; it was designed to improve his fitness and the fact that he won was an unexpected bonus. (He suffered a codylar fracture in Texas as a 3yo, was off for a year, had a turf prep in which he ran nowhere, then won 3 in a row.)
Let me remind you of this: Brass Hat is intrinsically a better horse than the other horses in this race. He's beaten Magna Graduate by open lengths whenever they have met. He made highly touted East Coasters like Suave and Pollard's Vision look like allowance horses. Ignore him at your peril.
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#50
07-28-2007, 01:07 PM
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Five horses in here have run a BSF of 110 or higher. Brass Hat is not one of them.
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#52
07-28-2007, 05:26 PM
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thanks, i knew i'd get good odds on him b/c he was the forgotten horse even though his sheet numbers where the best in the race and he was up against a huge bias in his last at Monmouth which he closed into. hope you used him too
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#53
07-28-2007, 05:34 PM
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#54
07-28-2007, 05:37 PM
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KY Sas,
Nice call! Lawyer Ron set a track record. Stamps himself as the leader of this division. My picks didn't pan out in this one. LR beat some very nice ones today.
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#55
07-28-2007, 06:10 PM
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The track was a bit tilted today. Closers who tried to close deserve more attention next time -- horses like Dry Martini who were parked out and ran okay despite a tough track on the closers.
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#56
07-28-2007, 06:30 PM
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Lawyer Ron winning is not a big surprise, he was arguably the most accomplished horse in the race.
What I can't figure though is the time. Where in the hell did that come from? Was the track playing that fast today? I'm suspicious because if Lawyer Ron blew away the track record today, I believe it means basically that Wanderin Boy approximately equaled the track record finishing less than 5 lengths back. That just doesn't seem possible to me. Maybe the speed figure experts on here can shed more light on it.
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#57
07-28-2007, 07:05 PM
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It could happen.
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#58
07-28-2007, 07:23 PM
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That's why it's called "horse racin"!
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#59
07-28-2007, 08:09 PM
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I think the girls where two seconds and 1/5 seconds behind the record. And that was Ginger Punch in a romp. So I guess that gives a bit of relativity. Diabolical was 6/10 ths of a second off the track record at 6f. Lawyer Ron did go wider than the rest. So that makes the run a bit more impressive although he appearred to get to the first turn without trouble and had a clean race. So I think he popped a pretty impressive time on a track that was faster.
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#60
07-28-2007, 08:18 PM
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We've been having t-storms lately, after a couple of rainy days. I don't know what was done to the track, though I guess it was rolled. Those track conditions were the same for all of the horses that ran over it today. Lawyer Ron ran a clean race, and good for him and his connections.
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