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#1
10-15-2016, 06:17 AM
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10/15: Keeneland (5th-10th); Belmont Park (6th-9th)
Keeneland action continues to be very entertaining with excellent wagering opportunities and Friday was more of the same. As suggested when putting out multi grids, ticket-building was a maddening exercise and I failed to reach the juicy $1,190 P4 (.50) despite it being well within reach. Mistake was going 4x2 in the front half when I really liked Goats Town in the 7th and 2x4 was the right approach. Saturday offers another round, while Belmont's late P4 is anchored by a terrific Pebbles.
I'm at Far Hills today for the biggest event of the steeplechase season and may not be able to do post-SCR changes.. Hope everyone enjoys what should be a fabulous fall afternoon! KEENELAND PRE-SCRATCHES 5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Always Right 8-1 2nd Next Best: #10 Mighty Souper 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #5 Miner's Cat 15-1 9th Super Add: #6 Res Ipsa 6-1 5th 6th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Star Quality 2-1 2nd Best Value: #6 Leorific 6-1 4th Next Best: #2 Our Track 5-2 WON ($10.00) Exotics Use: #8 Pitch Count 5-1 5th 7th: ALW/C, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #4 Nun the Less 12-1 9th Next Best: #2 Edge of Reality 10-1 8th Exotics Use: #7 Allied Air Raid 4-1 2nd Super Add: #1 Cammack 10-1 4th 8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD) Best Value: #9 Yockey's Warrior 10-1 WON ($18.60) Next Best: #7 Squadron A 7-2 5th Exotics Use: #2 Viva Majorca 4-1 3rd Super Add: #8 Crewman 20-1 2nd 9th: 33rd QE II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD) As always, a terrific edition of this fall standard. A host of these gals have caught up to Catch a Glimpse, but she loves this course and that's always a huge advantage. Have to cover On Leave in everything and not sure what to do with Hawksmoor. Nick Luck gave her a good chance yesterday on ATR.. Best Value: #3 Stays in Vegas 12-1 6th Next Best: #4 Harmonize 8-1 2nd Exotics Use: #1 Catch a Glimpse 2-1 7th Super Add: #7 Time and Motion 5-2 WON ($8.00) 10th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (Hi-5) Most Likely: #5 Bellows 5-1 5th Best Value: #1 Speightstime 12-1 9th Next Best: #4 Rockshaw 6-1 WON ($16.00) Exotics Use: #6 Takeoff 9-2 3rd Super/Hi-5: #9 Dilettante 5-1 11th P5 Grid: 6: 3 (A), - (B), 2-6-8 (C) 7: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 9: 3-4 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C) 10: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $62.50 All A's: 1x3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 P4 Grid: 7: 2-4-7 (A), - (B), - (C) 8: 2-4 (A), 7 (B), - (C) 9: 3-4 (A), 1-2-7 (B), 5-6-8-9 (C) 10: 1-4-5 (A), - (B), 6-9 (C) Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x3 = 135 x .50 = $62.50 All A's: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 BELMONT PARK PRE-SCRATCHES 6th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD) Most Likely: #5 Hothersal 3-1 7th Next Best: #6 Tombelaine 4-1 3rd Best Value: #1 Changewilldoyagood 12-1 4th Exotics Use: #10 Light the Night 6-1 6th 7th: NY-MSW< 2yo-F, 6.5f (P3, DD) Most Likely: #6 Stonecoldfox 5-2 WON ($3.20) Best Value: #4 Easy Way Out 8-1 2nd Next Best: #1 Paz the Wine 7-2 6th Exotics Use: #10 Quiet Beauty SCR 8th: 24th Pebbles, 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD) Most Likely: #8 Insta Erma 6-1 8th Next Best: #4 Ancient Secret 3-1 3rd Best Value: #7 Welcoming 10-1 11th Exotics Use: #12 She Doesn't Mind 7-2 6th 9th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT Most Likely: #7 Late Night Mark 3-1 2nd Best Value: #4 Crafty Colonel 12-1 10th Next Best: #6 Space Oddity 6-1 WON ($7.30) Exotics Use: #1 Cotton Town 6-1 3rd P4 Grid: 6: 5-6 (A), - (B), 1-4-10 (C) 7: 4-6 (A), 1 (B), 9-10 (C) 8: 4-7-8 (A), 10-12 (B), 2-3-9 (C) 9: 4-7 (A), 1-5-6 (B), 9-10 (C) Simple (A+B): 2x3x5x5 = 150 x .50 = $75 All A's: 2x2x3x2 = $24 ($12 for .50) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-17-2016 at 05:55 AM. 
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#2
10-15-2016, 09:33 AM
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Good stuff here Steve. Keeneland looks fun again plus adding another juicy late pick 4 at Santa Anita today should make the day fun.
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#3
10-15-2016, 09:43 AM
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Maybe you could ask the jumper people about the ridiculousness involving getting rid of the all important final jump at Saratoga
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#4
10-15-2016, 10:42 AM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#6
10-17-2016, 06:58 PM
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Very large pick 6 carry for keeneland on Wednesday..over 100k dollar minimum
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#8
10-18-2016, 10:18 AM
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Quote:
If not, Why is it a chase ? 6 winners in a row is popcorn for a capper like you or Joe Rockhead, so it must be possible for others too
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#9
10-18-2016, 10:21 AM
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Quote:
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#10
10-18-2016, 01:55 PM
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Quote:
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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