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Old 10-03-2025, 10:32 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
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BELMONT AT THE BIG A


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Jockey Club Derby (G2), 3yo, 11f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hill Road 7-5: Reunited with David Egan.. 3rd
Next Best: #2 Asbury Park 5-2 WON ($6.96)
Best Value: #6 Noble Confessor 6-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Crudo 4-1 4th


5th: MDN/OC, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Outer (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Rose Lisa 10-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Devilish Grin 5-2 WON ($5.52)
Exotics Use: #9 Pan Pan 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 River Empress 8-1 4th


6th: Frizette (G1), 2yo-F, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Carmel Coast the filly to beat and Five Bars gets the pace for her late run..

Most Likely: #2 Carmel Coast 7-2 6th
Next Best: #9 Five Bars 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Chopsticks 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #6 Iron Orchard 3-1 WON ($6.90)


7th: Champagne (G1), 2yo, 1m (P6, P3, DD)

Understand eagerness to beat even money It's Out Time, but am honestly rooting for Spa sparkler to successfully follow up his stunning debut and Amoss gave him an appropriate 7 weeks into today. Talkin, Stradale, Curtain Call and Napolean Solo all ran figures that make them the next set of logical inclusions..

Most Likely: #6 It's Our Time 1-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Napoleon Solo 8-1 WON ($15.94)
Next Best: #9 Talkin 5-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Stradale 8-1 5th


15% T/O, All Stakes, Retail Only Cross Country P5 Grid:

BAQ 7: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
KEE 6: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
BAQ 8: 3-9-12 (A), - (B), 5-11-13 (C)
KEE 7: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
KEE 8: 1-3 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (5-11-13 in BAQ 8th)


P4 Grid:

4: 2-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6 (A), 8 (B), 1-2-9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x2x2 = $24 ($12 for each .50)
All A's: 2x3x2x1 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


8th: Miss Grillo (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Deep Learning 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #3 Ground Support 12-1 WON ($26.86)
Next Best: #12 Quiet Street 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #13 Dyna 10-1 7th


9th: Opt. CLM/C, 3+, 6f-Outer (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Gaslight Dancer 12-1 8th
Next Best: #3 Big Invasion 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Alder 8-1 WON ($14.32)
Super Add: #6 Waralo 3-1 2nd


P5 Grid:

5: 3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6 (A), - (B), 8 (C)
8: 3-9-12 (A), 5-11-13 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x1x6x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (8 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

6: 2-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6-8 (A), - (B), 1-2-9 (C)
8: 3-9-12 (A), 5-11-13 (B), - (C)
9: 3-8 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACAA): 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-2-9 in 7th)


10th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Double Act 9-2: $850k SAR yearling out of Shuvee/Turnback the Alarm winner.. 3rd
Best Value: #3 Twenty Two Black 5-1 4th
Next Best: #8 My World 9-5 WON ($3.94)
Exotics Use: #6 Active Measures 6-1 6th


11th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Risk Tolerance 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Main Beach 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Brit's Wit 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #9 Pass the Hat 8-1 3rd


12th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Outer

Best Value: #5 Victoriously 8-1 -
Next Best: #10 Wrigleyville 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #11 Peak Hype 5-2 WON ($7.44)
Super Add: #1 Obeissante 5-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

8: 3-9-12 (A), - (B), 5-11-13 (C)
9: 3-8 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-10 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
12: 5-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (CAAAA): 3x2x2x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (5-11-13 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

9: 3-8 (A), 2-6 (B), - (C)
10: 3-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 3-10 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
12: 5-10 (A), - (B), 1-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-11 in 12th)



KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


6th: Woodford (G2), 3+, 5.5f-T (All Stakes P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Arrest Me Red 9-2 5th
Next Best: #5 Doncho 3-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Khaadem 4-1 WON ($8.54)
Super Add: #9 Script 20-1 2nd


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 1-3-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x4x3 = 24 x $3 = $72


7th: TB Club of America (G2), F&M-3+, 6f (All Stakes P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Zeitlos 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Vahva 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Halina's Forte 8-1 7th
Super Add: #6 Praying 12-1 WON ($21.74)


8th: First Lady (G1), F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Nanda Dea 15-1 11th
Next Best: #1 Choisya 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Segesta 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Dynamic Pricing 4-1 7th


9th: Breeders Futurity (G1), 2yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

SCR #7 Ewing..

Most Likely: #6 Ted Noffey 4-5: Doesn't have to win, but the one to beat.. WON ($3.84)
Next Best: #2 Big Dom 4-1 6th
Best Value: #4 Spice Runner 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #1 Blackout Time 10-1 2nd


10th: Coolmore Turf Mile (G1), 3+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #10 Brilliant Berti 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Program Trading 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #4 Diego Velazquez 7-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Howard Wolowitz 6-1 7th


All Stakes P5 Grid:

6: 1-5-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
10: 4-8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x1x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (2 in 9th)


All Stakes P4 Grid:

7: 5-7 (A), 3-6 (B), - (C)
8: 1-3 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-8-10 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x2x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-5-7 in 10th)


11th: MSW, 2yo, 6f (Hi-5)

Best Value: #8 Stormforged 6-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Heartily 3-1 WON ($3.76)
Exotics Use: #7 Fortius 4-1 10th
Super Add: #11 Liberty Valance 5-1 2nd


P4 Grid:

8: 1-3 (A), 5-9 (B), - (C)
9: 2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 4-8-10 (A), - (B), 3-5-7 (C)
11: 2-7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACA): 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-5-7 in 10th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 10-04-2025 at 09:59 PM.
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  #2  
Old 10-04-2025, 09:16 AM
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Will we get that 99-1 on ground support again? lol
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  #3  
Old 10-04-2025, 02:57 PM
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Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
Will we get that 99-1 on ground support again? lol
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Old 10-04-2025, 03:15 PM
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Originally Posted by casp0555 View Post
That horse is going to pay for Tampa trip next year lol
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  #5  
Old 10-04-2025, 03:18 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
That horse is going to pay for Tampa trip next year lol
thats a big thumbs up
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  #6  
Old 10-05-2025, 04:08 AM
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Originally Posted by knickslions2 View Post
That horse is going to pay for Tampa trip next year lol
That is an all timer
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  #7  
Old 10-04-2025, 09:19 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
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BAQ SCR/CHG'S

KEE SCR/CHG'S
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.

Last edited by Kasept : 10-04-2025 at 09:30 AM.
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  #8  
Old 10-04-2025, 10:04 AM
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Steve, best of luck today!

Your All Stakes, Retail Only Cross Country P5 Grid should start with Race 7 , not race 6 as listed.

Thanks as always for your time and insights.
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  #9  
Old 10-04-2025, 10:22 AM
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Kasept Kasept is online now
Steve Byk
 
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Quote:
Originally Posted by atolunch View Post
Steve, best of luck today!

Your All Stakes, Retail Only Cross Country P5 Grid should start with Race 7 , not race 6 as listed.

Thanks as always for your time and insights.
THX Larry! Fixed.. Let's get lucky..
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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