10/3: Keeneland (3rd-10th)

[Kasept]

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Respect the Cox fave (#6 Sneakily), but feels like both Brendan Walsh runners (#1 Turner's Charm/#5 Trust Account) are players..

Best Value: #1 Turner's Charm 8-1 WON ($4.98)
Next Best: #5 Trust Account 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Live Your Dreams 6-1 8th
Super Add: #8 Mankaure 12-1 7th


4th: ALW/N2L, 2yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Kingsolver 3-1 WON ($5.46)
Next Best: #4 Spa Prospector 6-1 4th
Best Value: #8 Tiz in Sight 12-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Prowess 10-1 5th


5th: MSW, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Divine Justice 9-5: Hate eating chalk, but lone speed at 7f is deadly.. WON ($7.56)
Best Value: #10 Barb 5-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Nu What's New 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Morluck 6-1 5th


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, P3, DD

Golden Gamble SCR'D is competitive coming in and looms a winner with a forward move..

Most Likely: #6 In the Stars 5-2 WON ($5.44)
Best Value: #10 Eunomia 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Hear the Queen 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #12 Modern Sound 5-1 3rd


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

6: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2-10-12-13 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-10-11 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 2x4x3 = 24 x $3 = $72


7th: Phoenix (G2), 3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Now may be the time to get Skelly who looks like he'll get a clear lead..

Most Likely: #3 Skelly 3-1 6th
Best Value: #6 Here Mi Song 10-1 4th
Next Best: #4 World Record 8-5 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Nakatomi 5-2 WON ($5.20)


8th: Jessamine (G2), 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Time to Dream has to work out a trip, but is the filly to beat having won at the trip and with Irad. After her, there are easily 6 win candidates (1-2-3-9-10-11), as well as McPeek's Soloist (#13) who draws in..

Most Likely: #12 Time to Dream 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 Red Beretta 20-1 9th
Next Best: #2 Mackinac 9-2 10th
Exotics Use: #13 Soloist 10-1 4th


9th: Alcibiades (G1), 2yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Tommy Jo 2-5: First of weekend's many short-priced juvenile faves.. WON-Up via DQ ($2.88)
Next Best: #1 Percy's Bar 3-1 WON-DQ'd to 2nd
Best Value: #6 Wonzee Weather 30-1 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Go to Girl 20-1 4th


10th: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Impossible-looking finale with credible firsters and a number of experienced candidates that can win..

Best Value: #11 Island Girl 20-1 6th
Next Best: #10 Market Chill 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Empress New Groove 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #9 Lotta Alpha 30-1 8th
Hi-5 Play: #6 Cove Spring 12-1 10th


P5 Grid:

6: 6-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 2-10-12 (A), - (B), 1-8-13 (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-10-11 (A), 6-8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (1-8-9 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

7: 3-6 (A), 4-5 (B), - (C)
8: 2-10-12 (A), - (B), 1-8-13 (C)
9: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-9-10-11 (A), 6-8 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x6 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (ACAA): 2x3x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1-8-9 in 8th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve