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#1
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![]() I've enjoyed reading about everyone's longshot picks to run well in the BC, but what about the locks?
What horses do you intend to use as singles in a DD, P3, P4, or P6? Are most of you looking at Bernardini as your single? The 2004 BC was a walk in the park compared to this year and last because bettors could confidently single five of the eight races with Ghostzapper, Ouija Board, Speightstown, Sweet Catomine, and Ashado. And although bettors couldn't count on much last year, at least they knew that St. Liam could be reasonably singled in the Classic and that a Euro invader stood to win the Turf. But this year's BC card is looking very tough, especially for those who don't want to go with chalk in the Classic. Still, I don't see much of an alternative; at the end of the day, no doubt a lot of bettors are going to depend on Bernardini as their "get-out" horse. Dollars to doughnuts his odds will be bet down to nothing.
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Favorite Trick--2yo HOY 1997 |
#2
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![]() Lava Man
Training well, been in Kentucky for 3 weeks, ready to rock and roll I hope |
#3
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![]() In order of which I'd be most likely to single, by race:
1. Bernardini is a lock. 2. Principle Secret 3. Henny Hughes 4. Pine Island 5. Hurricane Run 6. Ouija Board 7. Araafa 8. Cash Included
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The real horses of the year (1986-2020) Manila, Java Gold, Alysheba, Sunday Silence, Go for Wand, In Excess, Paseana, Kotashaan, Holy Bull, Cigar, Alphabet Soup, Formal Gold, Skip Away, Artax, Tiznow, Point Given, Azeri, Candy Ride, Smarty Jones, Ghostzapper, Invasor, Curlin, Zenyatta, Zenyatta, Goldikova, Havre de Grace, Wise Dan, Wise Dan, California Chrome, American Pharoah, Arrogate, Gun Runner, Accelerate, Maximum Security, Gamine |
#4
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![]() I'm considering singling Dreaming of Anna so I can go deep elsewhere (like the Sprint) and try and catch a bomb. I feel like a lot of people are going deep in the BC Juv Fillies that I'll be abe to get better odds on Dreaming of Anna in the multi race pools than I could in the actual race.
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#5
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![]() The best single is Circular Quay.
If you look at his races on the REAL dirt and compare it to the other horses in this race....he looks like a class above to me. Plus, he has already won twice on this track. He is as close to a lock as a horse can be in a BC race. |
#6
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![]() the race won most often by the fave is the distaff, so i'd imagine fleet indian would be the logical lock. but i really don't think any of them are a 'lock'. each race has many top notch horses, any of which can win. it's a watch only day for me anyway, one to enjoy purely as a spectator.
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#7
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![]() Quote:
2. Circular Quay 3. Ouija Board 4. Henny 5. Dreaming of Anna 6. Aragorn 7. Pine Island 8. English Channel |
#8
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![]() Bernardini is a single....I invested in over a $3,300 ticket and singled him and wound up singling Ouija Board - which makes me extremely nervous....I wanted to use Wait a While but we decided to go deep other places...
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#9
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#10
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#11
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the great avance has spoken. |
#12
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#13
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who else might win the race? bernardini? i would rather lose every cent i bet on saturday than cash a winning pick-6 ticket if it meant i had to bet on that freaking horse.
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the great avance has spoken. |
#14
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lol i have to admit i'd rather see lava man win, or maybe invasor--been high on both of them all year. but it won't bother me to see bernie win it if he does. |
#15
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![]() Hell , let me cash a winning pick six ticket it doesnt matter how wins. Bernadini invasor, flower alley, alfeet alex, ghostzapper... i just want to cash the ticket. Beyond that why would you rather lose all your money then see a horse win. Its just a horse and its still your money?
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#16
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I am no fan of Bernardini.....but I think you must be the biggest Bern-hater around!! Other than CQ, there are no singles I would feel real good about. I actually like Aragorn a lot in the mile, but I think playing a single in that race would be insane. |
#17
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the great avance has spoken. |
#18
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![]() At this point, I may play some singles, and even as much as I love Bernardini in the Classic, feeling comfortable about no singles. I feel like we're going to see a bunch of wide open races. I do want to see tomorrow's draw, see where the speed is slotted. I wish everyone who are playing singles good luck.
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#19
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![]() Ouija Board is the best single, IMO. Wait A While is really the only one that scares me unless OB doesn't show, and she's showed almost everytime against the best turf horses around the world in open company. Besides, I really don't think that field is very strong top to bottom.
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit. |
#20
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![]() well,
you have to look at what we are talking about. CQuay seems like a single to me. but its not part of the pick 6. for the early pick 4, Im not sure I need to single in that race. the 2 most likely winners of the day, imo, are in the last 2 races. HRun and Bernardini. that makes me nervous b/c I hate not having a lot of coverage in the last legs of the pick 4 or pick 6. but thats just the way it gets carded sometimes. most likely winners of the day: Hurricane Run Bernardini CQuay Dreaming of Anna Wait A While Bordonaro Distaff and Mile are going to take a lot of coverage from me I think to get through those legs. I go back and forth on the Mile. sometimes its clear, sometimes not. will not know for sure until early Sat morning. Repent |