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  #1  
Old 10-31-2006, 04:56 PM
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banter banter is offline
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Default BC singles

I've enjoyed reading about everyone's longshot picks to run well in the BC, but what about the locks?

What horses do you intend to use as singles in a DD, P3, P4, or P6?

Are most of you looking at Bernardini as your single?

The 2004 BC was a walk in the park compared to this year and last because bettors could confidently single five of the eight races with Ghostzapper, Ouija Board, Speightstown, Sweet Catomine, and Ashado.

And although bettors couldn't count on much last year, at least they knew that St. Liam could be reasonably singled in the Classic and that a Euro invader stood to win the Turf.

But this year's BC card is looking very tough, especially for those who don't want to go with chalk in the Classic. Still, I don't see much of an alternative; at the end of the day, no doubt a lot of bettors are going to depend on Bernardini as their "get-out" horse. Dollars to doughnuts his odds will be bet down to nothing.
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  #2  
Old 10-31-2006, 05:12 PM
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2MinsToPost 2MinsToPost is offline
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Lava Man

Training well, been in Kentucky for 3 weeks, ready to rock and roll

I hope
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  #3  
Old 10-31-2006, 05:23 PM
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King Glorious King Glorious is offline
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In order of which I'd be most likely to single, by race:

1. Bernardini is a lock.
2. Principle Secret
3. Henny Hughes
4. Pine Island
5. Hurricane Run
6. Ouija Board
7. Araafa
8. Cash Included
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  #4  
Old 10-31-2006, 05:33 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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I'm considering singling Dreaming of Anna so I can go deep elsewhere (like the Sprint) and try and catch a bomb. I feel like a lot of people are going deep in the BC Juv Fillies that I'll be abe to get better odds on Dreaming of Anna in the multi race pools than I could in the actual race.
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  #5  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:01 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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The best single is Circular Quay.
If you look at his races on the REAL dirt and compare it to the other horses in this race....he looks like a class above to me. Plus, he has already won twice on this track.
He is as close to a lock as a horse can be in a BC race.
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  #6  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:02 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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the race won most often by the fave is the distaff, so i'd imagine fleet indian would be the logical lock. but i really don't think any of them are a 'lock'. each race has many top notch horses, any of which can win. it's a watch only day for me anyway, one to enjoy purely as a spectator.
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  #7  
Old 10-31-2006, 10:59 PM
cloud_break cloud_break is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by King Glorious
In order of which I'd be most likely to single, by race:

1. Bernardini is a lock.
2. Principle Secret
3. Henny Hughes
4. Pine Island
5. Hurricane Run
6. Ouija Board
7. Araafa
8. Cash Included
1. Bernardini
2. Circular Quay
3. Ouija Board
4. Henny
5. Dreaming of Anna
6. Aragorn
7. Pine Island
8. English Channel
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  #8  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:05 PM
Cunningham Racing
 
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Bernardini is a single....I invested in over a $3,300 ticket and singled him and wound up singling Ouija Board - which makes me extremely nervous....I wanted to use Wait a While but we decided to go deep other places...
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  #9  
Old 11-01-2006, 09:35 AM
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2Hot4TV 2Hot4TV is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
Bernardini is a single....I invested in over a $3,300 ticket and singled him and wound up singling Ouija Board - which makes me extremely nervous....I wanted to use Wait a While but we decided to go deep other places...
Joel isn't a rule to take the best older and younger horses when they face each other like this time of year. It would be hard to leave Wait a While out. Good Luck.
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  #10  
Old 11-01-2006, 10:00 AM
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SCUDSBROTHER SCUDSBROTHER is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 2Hot4TV
Joel isn't a rule to take the best older and younger horses when they face each other like this time of year. It would be hard to leave Wait a While out. Good Luck.
If it makes you feel better,I was gunna single Wait a While (until I saw some of O.B.'s races this year.)Unfortunately was also impressed with Satwa.Hard to get lean with these turf races.
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  #11  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:10 PM
avance2000 avance2000 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by banter
but what about the locks?
my signature says it all.
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  #12  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:15 PM
SniperSB23 SniperSB23 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by avance2000
my signature says it all.
I love Invasor to win too but I can't say I have the balls to single him.
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  #13  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:26 PM
avance2000 avance2000 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I love Invasor to win too but I can't say I have the balls to single him.
then you must find them.
who else might win the race? bernardini? i would rather lose every cent i bet on saturday than cash a winning pick-6 ticket if it meant i had to bet on that freaking horse.
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  #14  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:31 PM
Danzig Danzig is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by avance2000
then you must find them.
who else might win the race? bernardini? i would rather lose every cent i bet on saturday than cash a winning pick-6 ticket if it meant i had to bet on that freaking horse.

lol

i have to admit i'd rather see lava man win, or maybe invasor--been high on both of them all year. but it won't bother me to see bernie win it if he does.
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  #15  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:35 PM
skippy3481 skippy3481 is offline
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Hell , let me cash a winning pick six ticket it doesnt matter how wins. Bernadini invasor, flower alley, alfeet alex, ghostzapper... i just want to cash the ticket. Beyond that why would you rather lose all your money then see a horse win. Its just a horse and its still your money?
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  #16  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:37 PM
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miraja2 miraja2 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by avance2000
then you must find them.
who else might win the race? bernardini? i would rather lose every cent i bet on saturday than cash a winning pick-6 ticket if it meant i had to bet on that freaking horse.
WOW.
I am no fan of Bernardini.....but I think you must be the biggest Bern-hater around!!
Other than CQ, there are no singles I would feel real good about. I actually like Aragorn a lot in the mile, but I think playing a single in that race would be insane.
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  #17  
Old 10-31-2006, 06:44 PM
avance2000 avance2000 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by miraja2
I think you must be the biggest Bern-hater around!!
i shall wear the title proudly!!!
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  #18  
Old 10-31-2006, 07:33 PM
mclem10011 mclem10011 is offline
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Default I agree Miraja.....

At this point, I may play some singles, and even as much as I love Bernardini in the Classic, feeling comfortable about no singles. I feel like we're going to see a bunch of wide open races. I do want to see tomorrow's draw, see where the speed is slotted. I wish everyone who are playing singles good luck.
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  #19  
Old 10-31-2006, 07:40 PM
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Thunder Gulch Thunder Gulch is offline
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Ouija Board is the best single, IMO. Wait A While is really the only one that scares me unless OB doesn't show, and she's showed almost everytime against the best turf horses around the world in open company. Besides, I really don't think that field is very strong top to bottom.
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  #20  
Old 11-01-2006, 12:22 AM
repent repent is offline
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well,
you have to look at what we are talking about.
CQuay seems like a single to me.
but its not part of the pick 6.
for the early pick 4, Im not sure I need to single in that race.

the 2 most likely winners of the day, imo, are in the last 2 races.
HRun and Bernardini.
that makes me nervous b/c I hate not having a lot of coverage in the last legs of the pick 4 or pick 6.
but thats just the way it gets carded sometimes.

most likely winners of the day:

Hurricane Run
Bernardini
CQuay
Dreaming of Anna
Wait A While
Bordonaro

Distaff and Mile are going to take a lot of coverage from me I think to get through those legs.

I go back and forth on the Mile.
sometimes its clear, sometimes not.
will not know for sure until early Sat morning.


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