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#1
02-26-2009, 06:53 AM
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2/26: Santa Anita ($704k C/O)
Santa Anita carryover spun out of control Wednesday as favorites fell race after race, right through the entire sextet. The tricky sequence turned out impossible to negotiate because even if you caught a surprise like Headache ($19.40) in the opener, you likely couldn't find room on your play for a Sunny Peace ($11.60) in the 5th or Broken Record ($15.00) in the maiden claiming 6th. And even though Real Fancy Runner finished off the board in the feature to next likeliest winner Air Fair ($12.00), how were you supposed to get to Paddlin Mud ($46.40) in the nightcap?
So, the results have produced a $704,000+ pot for Thursday, and the skien has a remarkably similar feel to yesterday's affair. Expect the pool to soar past $3,000,000. Hope you did OK yesterday as there was some success to be had in the early P3 ($340) using the tabs, though I myself was beaten up most thoroughly. Let's dig in! SANTA ANITA POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD) Most Likely: #3 Defense King 2-1 3rd Best Value: #5 Just Heat 7-2 2nd Next Best: #1 Vague Notion 5-2 4th Exotics Use: #7 Rochelle's Jimmy 10-1 WON 4th: ALW/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD, Super) Tough ALW heat... Not entirely convinced #1 Herr Mozart turned the corner in MDN win last, and am inclined to pass on #3 Jeranimo stretching out of his diploma score.. Most Likely: #6 Active Duty 5-1 7th Best Value: #7 African Gray 12-1 4th Next Best: #1 Herr Mozart 7-2 5th Super Add: #5 Advice 6-1 3rd 5th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Cold Ruler 9-5 4th Best Value: #2 Haughty Topper 4-1 WON Next Best: #7 Eddie the Hat 7-2 3rd Super Add: #6 Cole's Favorite 4-1 6th 6th: Cal-bred MSW, 3yo, 6f (P3, DD, Super) Howie Zucker cuts favored #10 Charlie and Chris back a half furlong here, a move that rarely seems to work. Obvious as 'most likely' in field of barely raced types, but I'm dubious about him with 'bore out' notation especially disconcerting.. Best Value: #5 Mountain Guide 15-1 4th Most Likely: #10 Charlie and Chris 5-2 2nd Next Best: #9 Tamarack Smartly 7-2 5th Super Add: #6 Spendamillionbux 6-1 6th 7th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f-T (DD) Frankel's favorite looks like an obvious single, but note that Motion's #2 Slam Dunk was quite OK in North American debut, and isn't far off the HollyPark Derby place pony's Racing Post Ratings on his best.. Most Likely: #7 Midships 3-5 4th Best Value: #2 Slam Dunk 8-1 3rd Next Best: #4 Icemancometh 6-1 2nd 8th: MDN CLM, 4+, 6.5f (Super High 5) Most Likely: #8 Pacific Halo 9-5 4th Next Best: #5 Judge Kent 3-1 2nd Best Value: #4 Gold Stock 12-1 5th Exotics Use: #10 Winterscore 12-1 High 5 Play: #3 Smart of War 12-1 WON <$300/<$150 P6 Plays: 3: 1-3-5 4: 5-6-7 5: 2-5 6: 5-6-9-10 7: 7 8: [5]-8 3x3x2x4x1x2 = 144 x $2 = $288 (For $144 play, single 8 in 8th race) <$75 P4 Play: 5: 2-5-7 6: 5-6-9-10 7: 2-7 8: 4-5-8 3x4x2x3 = $72 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 02-26-2009 at 06:53 PM. 
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#2
02-26-2009, 07:10 AM
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1-3
1-4-5 1-5-6 1-5-6 2-5-7 3-5-7-8-10-12 alot cheaper if you single the 7 and 8 in the last 2 as Steve pointed toward... however while the 7 in the 7th is pretty secure..... The 8th race could be the carryover whammy waiting to happen.... Good luck... My actual ticket with 3 others.... 1,3 / 1,5 / 1,5,6 / 1,6 / 7 / 3,5,8,10 $192 50 bucks a piece... kinda scared of the 12 in the last... trying to work together a saver.... edited after scratches....
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I feel sorry for people who don't drink. They wake up in the morning and that's the best they are going to feel all day. Frank Sinatra Last edited by swedejxn : 02-26-2009 at 12:35 PM.
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#3
02-26-2009, 07:37 AM
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^^^Good luck today Willie... !!
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#7
02-26-2009, 11:54 AM
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Quote:
Thanks HH
__________________
"Be who you are and say what you feel, because those that matter don't mind, and those that mind, dont matter." Theodore Seuss Geisel "Dr. Seuss"
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#8
02-26-2009, 11:58 AM
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SA SCR'S
Race 3 #2 Capt. Pike, #4 Pemba At U. T. K. Race 4 #2 Unbridled Roman, #8 Balfour Park Race 6 #2 Patriotic Soldier Race 8 #11 Kickin Caper, #9 Red Commander
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#9
02-26-2009, 12:32 PM
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Thank You!
__________________
"Be who you are and say what you feel, because those that matter don't mind, and those that mind, dont matter." Theodore Seuss Geisel "Dr. Seuss"
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#11
02-26-2009, 01:54 PM
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Anyone give Major Rock Star a chance in the 4th if he can clear Jeranimo early? Or is he up against it today? Class hike off of the trainer switch is an angle I like.
Didnt want to create own thread for Gulf late 4...Split larger ticket with brother, looking for a hit here... .50 1,4,10 5,9,10 1,2,4 1,5,7 $1 1,5,10 5,7 2 5,7,11 58 for me...GL all who are attempting SA P6!!!
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"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel Last edited by declansharbor : 02-26-2009 at 02:31 PM.
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#13
02-26-2009, 06:46 PM
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Quote:
__________________
"A person who saw no important difference between the fire outside a Neandrathal's cave and a working thermo-nuclear reactor might tell you that junk bonds and derivatives BOTH serve to energize capital" - Nathan Israel
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