Tampa Tuesday 3/4/08 P4

[Rudeboyelvis]

Race 7
5 Two Spot Club – Won handily at the condition in Dec, slight cut back in distance can help 3rd
6 Remember Shirley – Centeno opts off the Ness horse??!! Probably a good reason 4th
7 Native Dress – 3 of 3 in the money at the distance – figures with these SCR
4 Photo Image – Ness; 32% on the cutback, 30% turf to dirt – can never leave him off a ticket WON
2 Another Month - Draws Rosemary on the late jock switch; should take to the cutback in distance; Nice bullet last week should have her tight and ready to pounce 2nd

Race 8
4 Tight Precision – Velez aboard again after the heatbreaker last time WON
8 Dixiana Darling – Joan Scott’s Meadowlake firster shows a ton in the morning 2nd
6 Omniti – Zayat/Mott/Centeno; no match for Moonshine Alice last time, better placed here 3rd
1 Lethal Quality – KOC first start from the McGauhey barn; certainly enjoys Tampa in the morning, watch out if the pace falls apart

Race 9 “The Hanging Rat” Stakes OFF the TURF - edit for off turf....
2 Beaufort 3rd
1 Jim’s Smokin Pinot - tough stretch run last, gutsy closer figures
4 Bachicho
7 Greycliff Exchange 2nd


Race 10
11 Go’ Xango – Craig Phillip can not screw this up – break out the champagne for his first victory of the meet (and I get to change my sig )
6 Sweet Notes – Lrl invader seems to have all the form, and the drop to 12.5 may be just the ticket SCR
12 Cruise to the Moon – Tough post, but not much here – 3rd off the layoff for Monte Thomas tried to menace in the slop last time, should be close the front by the stretch to watch CPF coming back to him
5 Fresh Call - pretty bad when a 22 time maiden is the best of the rest...goes to show how poor this field is

BIG - 2,4,5,6//1,4,6,8//1,2,4,7//5,11,12 = 192.00
Small - 4,5,6//1,4,6,8//1,2//5,11,12 = 72.00

[docicu3]

On or off the turf for tomorrow guys?.....I guess the forcast has rain as a likely possibility.

The sequence doesn't look too bad until the "SPLAT" 10th race could have anyone winning!!

Race 7 6.5F Ladies

All the usual suspects have an entry but I am looking for the upset late with #7 Native Dress though #3 Remember Shirley and Centeno will also be coming late. Likely bronze to early speed #1 Itchy Toes and possibly #4 Photo Image for Mr Ness

Race 8 7F's MSW for fillies

I am going to favor the closers here after the ES in the form of #1 Lethal Quality and Mott's high priced Zayat entry #6 Omynti lead from the gate but look for Lynne Scarce to get her #3 Eventful Halo home with Rosie or #4 Tight Precision of Proctor's though deeper tickets would be wise in the P4 to use #8 Dixiana Darling as 18% first Sire Meadowlake is worth widening on multi's for a price

Race 9 THE AE Sweepstakes.....opinions are fragile til entries are known

But for now....#1 Jims Smokin #2 Beaufort and #9 Royal Wall Academy have my attention #10 Mr Seabra is my fourth unless 11,12 or 13 draw in......a tough bunch of coconuts!!

Race 10 6.5 F's 12.5 MCL or the" who am I going home with" sweepstakes??

In know particular order 4,6,10,11 and maybe 12 will be on my ticket. This race could be won by anyone....

Big Ticky.....1,3,4,6,7/1,3,4,6,8/1,2,7,9,10/4,6,10,11

Ittle bitty ticky....5,6,7/3,4,8,11/1,2,9/6,11/4,6,11

We will be reasonable about trimming these in the morning based on surface and AE's with goals for Big $200 and Little $100

Good Luck DT'ers

[Bigsmc]

So far, they are saying the rain may hold off until 5pm or so. The last turf race may be in trouble but the early ones should be fine.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Tuesday, March 4, 2008

TRACK: Fast
TURF: Firm
Portable rail: at 0

Weather: Cloudy – mid 70’s

Pick 6 CARRYOVER: $18,828.38


RACE 1 #4-+2
Post Time 12:35

RACE 2 No Changes
Post Time 1:02

RACE 3 No Changes
Post Time 1:29

RACE 4 #8-Scratched(Carvajal)
Post Time 1:56

RACE 5 No Changes
Post Time 2:23

RACE 6 #2-+2 #3-1st Time Lasix
#4-+1 #5-+1 #8-1st Time Lasix
Post Time 2:50

RACE 7 #1-+1
#2-jockey R. Homeister Jr.
#7-Scratched(Native Dress)
Post Time 3:17

RACE 8 No Changes
Post Time 3:44

RACE 9 (Turf)
#11-Scratched(Green Turtle Cay)
#12-Scratched(Sumphin)
#13-Scratched(Hot Apple Cider)
#14-Scratched(Nount Nebo)
Post Time 4:11

RACE 10 #6-Scratched(Sweet Notes)
#7-+2
Post Time 4:38

[tiggerv]

Just started looking at the finale and it has to be CPF day. He has the best horse in there.

[Bigsmc]

Rain is almost here, although it seems to be lightening up a bit. Proceed with caution regarding the track condition.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by tiggerv

Just started looking at the finale and it has to be CPF day. He has the best horse in there.

Tigger - this is not the first time he's managed to screw up a post time fave, but I agree. This field is so abismal and with the 6 scratching, leaves only him and the horse outside him in what should be an ugly match race..throw in a slightly off track and the fact that he only missed by 3 1/2 lengths last fron the 10 post over a sloppy track and, as scary as it sounds, might be a logical single

Time for a GPK intervention

EDIT: Fresh Call ran a career best 50 bsf over the off going @ Calder back in Oct...and the 12 showed up a bit in the slop last out... Wouldn't single CPF as the other 2 logical horses appear to be a bit more live if the track goes away...

[tiggerv]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Tigger - this is not the first time he's managed to screw up a post time fave, but I agree. This field is so abismal and with the 6 scratching, leaves only him and the horse outside him in what should be an ugly match race..throw in a slightly off track and the fact that he only missed by 3 1/2 lengths last fron the 10 post over a sloppy track and, as scary as it sounds, might be a logical single

Time for a GPK intervention

That field is so unbelievably bad that I am spreading but if Centeno or Rosemary was on that horse he would probably be a single. That post position is doing him no favors though.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

So far, they are saying the rain may hold off until 5pm or so. The last turf race may be in trouble but the early ones should be fine.

It's on it's way - hope they call the 9th off the grass before the friggin P4 starts....They're sorta notorious for waiting until the last minute....

http://www.tbo.com/weather/radar/animatedradar.htm

Spot play
Race 2
5 Parisian Cowboy wps

[tiggerv]

The CPF pre-rain edition of the P4. If they are off the turf in the 9th or if it is super sloppy then I am not sure I will play at all.

R7: A) 5 B) 2,4,6
R8: A) 4,6,8
R9: A) 1,5,9 B) 2
R10: A) 4,5,11,12 B) 2,10

The all A ticket 2 times and backups for $2 is $306

3 of 4 actually paid $664.20 +$358.20