Tampa Saturday 2-9-08

[Rudeboyelvis]

Race 1
5 Brown Eyed Cat
7 Seventeen Above only way Kate Demasi gets a win at this meet is to claim one off Ness for 16K and drop it in for 5K after a start WON
4 Cariacturist 2nd
6 Fine Madamoiselle

Race 2
10 Luna Del Gato 2nd
2 Rough'm Up
5 Sensei Bill
11 Sweet Adare

Race 3
8 Excellent Job
6 Navy Pier WON
9 Dennis's Dream gotta use him, but ready for a clunker 2nd
4 Crazybook

Race 4
8 Buck Up a Storm
9 Show Me Baby
13 Mitzi's Gamble
5 Irish Becky WON

Race 5
9 Gulchic 2nd
4 Mary Louhana WON
10 Si Si Mon Ami 3rd
7 Hurricane Nikki 4th

Race 6
1 Sacrifice Bunt
2 Andromeda Gardens WON
9 A Fleet Prospector 2nd
5 Greycliff Exchange

Race 7
9 Robyn's Maid WON
3 Red Pride 3rd
4 Miss Approval 4th
1 Do it in Dixie

Race 8
3 Stormy Ballad
8 Raised for Speed 2nd
4 Straight Count WON
6 Flater Me Blue

Race 9
10 Tytus WON
1/1A Load a Chronic/Quite Acceptable SCR 4th
4 Fleet Appeal 3rd
7 Nicky the Cat SCR

Race 10
3 Paradise Dancer 2nd
8 Lookin for the Secret WON
6 He's So Chic SCR
7 Storm in May SCR

Race 11
9 Minersville 5th
5 Skippinganddancing WON
3 Face in the Mirror 3rd
8 Storm Walker 4th

Big = 3,4,6,8//1,4,10//3,6 SCR,8//3,5,8,9,10,12 144.00 839.50
Small = 3,4,6,8//1,10//3,6 SCR,8//3,5,9 48.00 839.50

Good Luck everone

[the_fat_man]

Originally Posted by Rudeboyelvis

Race 3
8 Excellent Job
6 Navy Pier
9 Dennis's Dream gotta use him, but ready for a clunker
4 Crazybook

This is a very interesting race. Hope you don't mind if I comment on it a bit.

I'm going to assume that Dennis's Dream is done and the winner is going to come from one of your top two choices.

They ran on the same day, same distance:

Navy Pier 1/24/08 R 6 --Fractions 22.77 46.29 58.35 1:12.40

Excellent Job 1/24/08 R 10 --Fractions 23.00 46.79 59.32 1:12.37

Race 6 is the 'better' race, given the faster fractions

Individual fractions:

Navy Pier 24.19 23.21 11.70 13.47

Excellent Job 24.34 23.20 12.39 12.90

Navy Pier gets the edge here as well, running alot faster on the turn

Additionally:

Navy Pier had an inside trip, however (maybe explaining his turn run)

Excellent Trip was pinched coming out of the gate, losing a couple of lengths, and was widest throughout, 4 path + on the turn.

Navy Pier's race was won wire to wire

Excellent Job's race winner came from 3rd, with EJ running down the lone speed just before the wire.

Hard decision, if you ask me ---especially with typically inconsistent cheap horses. But one of these 2 will win and the price should be okay.

[Bigsmc]

Thanks for "weighing" in fat man. It's always nice to hear another's perspective.

I'm not leaving out the 5 - Touch of Quality, this gelding is a horse for the course. He's been working very well and looks to be happy to be back at Tampa. May lead them all the way at a huge price.

I'm leaning towards another slice for Excellent Job and Navy Pier. Neither has been able to hit the wire first at Tampa, but often hit the board.

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by Bigsmc

Thanks for "weighing" in fat man. It's always nice to hear another's perspective.

I'm not leaving out the 5 - Touch of Quality, this gelding is a horse for the course. He's been working very well and looks to be happy to be back at Tampa. May lead them all the way at a huge price.

I'm leaning towards another slice for Excellent Job and Navy Pier. Neither has been able to hit the wire first at Tampa, but often hit the board.

Throw out those three starts over the all weather track at Woodbine and he looks to fit here - I'm not sure who M.J. Mcmullen is to Marllyn G. Mcmullen, but it's his/her first start in Tampa and as quirky as the track can play would prefer to see someone used to riding here on him for his return. The horse hasn't shown any interest whatsoever since early August, maybe the return to Oldsmar is the wake up call - going to be interesting (as interesting as a clm 6250 can be anyway )

[Bigsmc]

Pick 4

Race 8

3 - Stormy Ballad
7 - Wascally Wabbit - 1/2 to Spanish Chestnut with unknown trainer....

Race 9

1/1A - Load a Chronic/Quite Acceptable
3 - Curious Tiger
4 - Fleet Appeal
6 - Shanclif - Manny Cruz used to rule this roost...
10 - Tytus

Race 10

3 - Paradise Dancer
8 - Lookinforthesecret

Race 11 - impossible race filled with horses stuck at the N2L level

4 - Darned Bird - positive trainer and jockey switch may be just what the doctor ordered.
6 - Puunene
9 - Minersville

Small Ticket:

3,7/1,3,4,6,10/3,8/4,6,9 = $60

Big Ticket:

3,4,7,9/1,3,4,6,10/3,8/3,4,6,9 = $160

GL

[IrishofNDMan]

If Dennis's Dream wins will he be back on the track in a week or under?

[Rudeboyelvis]

Originally Posted by the_fat_man

This is a very interesting race. Hope you don't mind if I comment on it a bit.

I'm going to assume that Dennis's Dream is done and the winner is going to come from one of your top two choices.

They ran on the same day, same distance:

Navy Pier 1/24/08 R 6 --Fractions 22.77 46.29 58.35 1:12.40

Excellent Job 1/24/08 R 10 --Fractions 23.00 46.79 59.32 1:12.37

Race 6 is the 'better' race, given the faster fractions

Individual fractions:

Navy Pier 24.19 23.21 11.70 13.47

Excellent Job 24.34 23.20 12.39 12.90

Navy Pier gets the edge here as well, running alot faster on the turn

Additionally:

Navy Pier had an inside trip, however (maybe explaining his turn run)

Excellent Trip was pinched coming out of the gate, losing a couple of lengths, and was widest throughout, 4 path + on the turn.

Navy Pier's race was won wire to wire

Excellent Job's race winner came from 3rd, with EJ running down the lone speed just before the wire.

Hard decision, if you ask me ---especially with typically inconsistent cheap horses. But one of these 2 will win and the price should be okay.

Great analysis TFM - based strickly on current form, I may have to give the nod to NP. As hard as it is for me to bet Mary Bennett to win a race, the horse certainly has made a nice correction in form under her care. EJ seems to be going the wrong way since Slomkowski claimed him for 10K - and either doesn't care for the Tampa surface or is out of form - either way he should be able to get it done for 6250, like you said a tough call to be sure...