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  #1  
Old 01-21-2008, 08:37 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 43,968
Default 1/21: Santa Anita (P6); Oaklawn (P4)

Some terrific racing on tap for the MLK Holiday including the Winkfield at AQU; Smarty Jones as part of a great late P4 at Hot Springs; 2 soph events at FG; strong late quad of ALW's at GP and the Gr. III Palos Verdes at Santa Anita which boasts a $130,000 carryover from Sunday's difficult sextet..

A few winners and nice 2nd race exotics score were highlight of Arcadian Sunday, but big carry pot looks just as tricky here...


SANTA ANITA

.10 Supers in all BUT R8; Rollings DD's thru R9; Rolling P3's thru R8..

5th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6.5f-DHT (P6)

Best Value: #5 Dakota Padre 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #12 (AE) In the Woods 5-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Congo King 5-1 WON ($11.60)
Exotics Add: #1 Blowout 6-1 10th

$1 Exacta (7-5) $37.10


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f

Best Value: #11 Stately Appeal 6-1 WON ($13.40)
Most Likely: #4 Dish the Dirt 5-2 9th
Next Best: #6 Clever Cochet 10-1 5th
Exotics Add: #10 Tiza Fast Kat 12-1 8th


7th: CLM, 4+, 6.5f (P4)

Best Value: #4 Lord Albion 8-1 5th
Most Likely: #1 Smart Hit 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #7 Trail Mix 7-2 WON ($7.20)
Exotics Add: #5 Indian Weaver 20-1 3rd

$1 Exacta (7-1) $12.70
$1 Trifecta (7-1-5) $229.70



8th: 56th Palos Verdes (Gr. II), $150,000, 4+, 6f

Don't get the fuss over Barbecue Eddie.. Just simply not as fast as the #'s 1-2, and repeat of last by Soul City Slew can get him in the mix at a price..

Best Value: #7 Soul City Slew 12-1 4th
Most Likely: #1 In Summation 9-5 WON ($5.60)
Next Best: #2 Surf Cat 5-2 3rd


9th: CLM, 4yo, 6f

Best Value: #2 Blackfoot Trail 5-1
Most Likely: #3 River Echo 5-2 4th
Next Best: #4 Bitter Bill 7-2 3rd
Exotics Add: #7 American Officer 12-1 5th


10th: Cal-bred MDN CLM, 3yo, 6.5f (Super High 5)

Best Value: #5 Raingear 6-1 2nd
Most Likely: #12 Nitro Active 3-1 WON
Next Best: #11 Benchmark Kid 8-1 4th
Exotics Add: #4 Quacker Jack 12-1
High 5 Play: #3 Duradude 8-1


<$150 P6 Play:

5: 12-AE (looks to be running..)
6: 4-6-11
7: 1-4
8: 1-2
9: 2-3
10: 5-11-12

1x3x2x2x2x3 = 74 x $2 = $144



OAKLAWN


6th: MSW, 3yo, 1m (P4, Super)

Best Value: #1 Makatus 9-2 3rd
Most Likely: #2 Zipped 3-1 2nd
Next Best: #10 Let Me By 6-1 8th
Exotics Add: #7 Racing Bran 12-1 4th


7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3)

Best Value: #8 Wood Be 8-1 10th
Most Likely: #11 Pompeii City 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Tico Breeze 8-1 5th
Exotics Add: #6 City Hall 6-1 6th


8th: The Smarty Jones, 3yo, 1m (DD, Super)

Terrific betting race.. Many values to include with solid key play #5 Liberty Bull.. Asmussen ML fave (#2) MUST move up to compete.. Spread wide underneath..

Best Value: #10 Palmerstown 10-1
Most Likely: #5 Liberty Bull 4-1 WON ($6.00)
Next Best: #10 Saratoga Seven 12-1
Exotics Add: #6 Cape of Storms 20-1


9th: ALW/N1X, 4+, 6f (Super)

Best Value: #3 Garden Gloves 12-1 2nd
Most Likely: #5 Ginger Bay 5-2 WON ($6.80)
Next Best: #4 Upcoming Story 8-5
Exotics Add: #2 Funny Girl Rachel 12-1

$1 Exacta (5-3) $62.10


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 1-2-7-8-9-10
7: 2-6-8-11
8: 5
9: 4-5

6x4x1x2 = $48


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 01-22-2008 at 06:39 AM.
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  #2  
Old 01-21-2008, 08:46 AM
cal828 cal828 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
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What happened to your Oaklawn picks Steve? Did you just not make 'em yet?
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  #3  
Old 01-21-2008, 08:49 AM
Kasept's Avatar
Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
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Quote:
Originally Posted by cal828
What happened to your Oaklawn picks Steve? Did you just not make 'em yet?
Need to do the 7th and 9th... Wasn't going to do the OP P4 but it's 4 terrific races and Chuck has Makutus in the first leg which adds to the fun...

About 30 min. or so..

Have looked at a lot of races as I'll run a bunch on the air this afternoon...

SA 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th.. the Smarty Jones and another from OP.. Probably the 8th from GP..

Should be a fun show...
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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  #4  
Old 01-21-2008, 09:08 AM
cal828 cal828 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 6,007
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
Need to do the 7th and 9th... Wasn't going to do the OP P4 but it's 4 terrific races and Chuck has Makutus in the first leg which adds to the fun...

About 30 min. or so..

Have looked at a lot of races as I'll run a bunch on the air this afternoon...

SA 5th, 6th, 7th, 8th.. the Smarty Jones and another from OP.. Probably the 8th from GP..

Should be a fun show...
Definitely need someone else's opinion because I have overhandicapped every race I've look at of late and I'm sure this one will be no different.
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  #5  
Old 01-21-2008, 09:30 AM
Jax Cajun Jax Cajun is offline
Morris Park
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: Ponte Vedra, FL
Posts: 140
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The #7 - Racing Bran in the 6th at OP will be hard to leave out. Especially with those trainer stats.
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  #6  
Old 01-21-2008, 11:50 AM
cal828 cal828 is offline
Hialeah Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 6,007
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I agree with your top pick in the Smarty Jones and the need to spread. Good luck to Chuck and Mukutus and everyone else playing. I'll be sneaking down there later on today to play the SJ. Wife is sending me get some painting supplies. Sherwin Williams store is across the street from Oaklawn. I can hardly not play something today.
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