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Old 11-22-2007, 05:52 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
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Location: Greenwich, NY
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Default 11/22: CD 9-12; AQU/FG/HOL Stakes

Wish everyone a Happy Thanksgiving.. Thursday's action a prelude to an amazing 3 days to follow.. Challenging CD P4 the focus with a glance at the Fall Highweight (AQU) and Gr. III Prevue (HOL) below..


CHURCHILL DOWNS

Very quirky late P4 at the Downs today with potential for more than one price on the heels of Wednesday's late P3 which featured $60 and $101 winners ($25,252).. Panty Raid a clear bet-against within the featured Falls City (Gr. II)..

9th: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, DD, O/U, Super)

Most Likely: #4 TIME FLIES 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Clear Thinking 5-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Somethingintheway 4-1 6th
Super Add: #1 St Lo 15-1 10th


10th: OC/N$Y, 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #7 Hold the Salt 9-2 6th
Best Value: #1 Cowboy Hardware 10-1 WON
Next Best: #6 Storm Marcopolo 5-1 4th
Super Add: #9 Man of Danger 7-2 2nd


11th: Falls City Handicap (Gr. II), F&M-3+, 9f (DD, O/U, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Tessa Blue 3-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Kettleoneup 4-1 WON
Next Best: #7 Delicate Dynamite 8-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Panty Raid 6-5 3rd


12th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (Super)

Most Likely: #1 League of Nations 3-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Dictina's Boy 10-1 5th
Next Best: #10 Lemon Custard 8-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Xela 5-1 9th


P4 Play:

Main ticket:

9: 4
10: 1-6-7-9
11: 1-2-6-7
12: 1-3-8-10

3x4x4x4 = $64


Backup:

9: 6-8
10: 1-6-7
11: 1-2-6-7 $1 P3 (8-1-1) $656.00
12: 1

2x3x4x1 = $24


AQUEDUCT


8th: 94th Fall Highweight H., 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 City Attraction 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Joey P. 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Grand Champion 5-2 WON
Trifecta Add: #2 Around the Cape 12-1 7th



FAIR GROUNDS


9th: 82nd Thanksgiving H., 3+, 6f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 STORMIN BAGHDAD 15-1 WON
Best Value: #8 Zarb's Dahar 8-1 9th
Next Best: #3 Going Wild 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #1 Thunder Mission 7-2 3rd



HOLLYWOOD


7th: 26th Hollywood Prevue (Gr. III), 2yo, 7f (DD, Super)

Most Likely: #4 Massive Drama 7-2 WON
Best Value: #10 Bob Black Jack 10-1 4th
Next Best: #7 Into Mischief 5-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Courageous Son 20-1 7th


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-23-2007 at 04:45 AM.
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  #2  
Old 11-22-2007, 09:26 AM
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hoovesupsideyourhead hoovesupsideyourhead is offline
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how the hell is church gonna run 12 races if they start at 2.30 ct
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Old 11-22-2007, 09:37 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hoovesupsideyourhead
how the hell is church gonna run 12 races if they start at 2.30 ct
Hooves, CD starts at 10:30am CT today, early post for the Big A as well. Happy Thanksgiving
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Old 11-22-2007, 09:41 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Bogey
Hooves, CD starts at 10:30am CT today, early post for the Big A as well. Happy Thanksgiving
damn it said 2.30 on bris....thanks bogey
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Old 11-22-2007, 09:52 AM
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I thought I might give Holly a look today and go after the carry.

Tough sequence, could get expensive...distinct possibility for a two day carry tomorrow....
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Old 11-22-2007, 09:56 AM
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TheSpyder TheSpyder is offline
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Default Aqua 1st

Gigawatt shows no real form BUT been running against monsters most the last year. Alot of early pace but can't help but believe this ones going to be close.

Spyder
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Old 11-22-2007, 10:36 AM
ceejay ceejay is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept
CHURCHILL DOWNS

Very quirky late P4 at the Downs today with potential for more than one price on the heels of Wednesday's late P3 which featured $60 and $101 winners ($25,252).. Panty Raid a clear bet-against within the featured Falls City (Gr. II)..
Is today's late P4 a $6200+ carry?
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