12/26 (SA): Malibu, La Brea (G1's); Beaufort (G2); CA Champion (R)

[Kasept]

5th (2:00) California Breeders' Champion S..

7 Furlongs (Main Track) | Open | 2 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $100,000

1 Contemplated Rosario J 117 L
2 Woodmans Luck Flores D R 117 L
3 Gab Power Valenzuela P A 115 L
4 Thirtyfirststreet Bejarano R 117 L
5 Tappin Tough Nakatani C S 117
6 Offlee Wild Boys Gomez G K 115 L
7 Real Cool Dude Pedroza M A 117 L
8 Make It Cozy Espinoza V 115 L
9 Arresting Officer Talamo J 117 L



6th (2:30) La Brea S. (G1)

7 Furlongs (Main Track) | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $250,000

1 Pica Slew Talamo J 118 L
2 Tornado Betty Valenzuela P A 118 Blk-On L
3 Switch Rosario J 118 L
4 Patriotic Viva Smith M E 118 L
5 La Nez Espinoza V 118 L
6 It Tiz Flores D R 118 L
7 Malibu Pier Gomez G K 118 L
8 Hard Way Ten Solis A 118 L
9 Always a Princess Bejarano R 118 L
10 Shotgun Gulch Quinonez A 118 L
11 Champagne d'Oro Baze M C 123 L
12 Arte Viva Blanc B 118 L
13 Bonnie Blue Flag Nakatani C S 118 L



7th (3:00) Sir Beaufort S. (G2)

1 Mile (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $150,000

1 Blue Panis (FR) Talamo J 118 L
2 Nextdoorneighbor Espinoza V 118 Blk-Off L
3 Bogie (IRE) Gomez G K 118 L
4 Sebastian Flyte (GB) Leparoux J R 118 L
5 Sidney's Candy Rosario J 123 L
6 Indian Firewater Bejarano R 118 L
7 Stephen's Got Hope Pedroza M A 118 L
8 Make Music for Me Smith M E 118 L
9 Accelerant Quinonez A 118 L



8th (3:30) Malibu S. (G1)

7 Furlongs (Main Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $250,000

1 Paris Vegas Nakatani C S 118 L
2 Alcindor Bejarano R 118 L
3 Thiskyhasnolimit Gomez G K 118 L
4 Caracortado Talamo J 118 L
5 Noble's Promise Leparoux J R 118 L
6 Setsuko Solis A 118 L
7 Don Tito Valenzuela P A 118 L
8 Thomas Baines Pedroza M A 118 L
9 Twirling Candy Rosario J 118 L
10 Our Minesweeper Blanc B 118 L
11 Smiling Tiger Baze R A 123 L

[RockHardTen1985]

The 4th has at least 2 runners in there.

[my miss storm cat]

That's a really nice field for the Sir Beaufort.

As an aside, isn't Tyler due back right around now?

[randallscott35]

Setsuko back from the dead, sure to take way too much money!

[RolloTomasi]

Originally Posted by merasmag

guess u haven't been watchin his works...
whoops...ive said 2 much already!

To tack on to my earlier post (on another thread) regarding Setsuko:

He's also eligible for a first-condition allowance, making this entry in a Grade 1 a pretty bold move. There was a two-turn allowance the 2nd to last day at HP (won by Tweebster) he could have started in. Furthermore, having started favorite in the Crown Royal Turf on Kentucky Oaks Day and with a solid effort on turf previously, he also could have shown up in the Sir Beaufort.

Again, he hasn't shown sprint speed previously (though his bottom side is loaded with it--Souvenir Copy, Gold Tribute, Doneraile Court), so this has the look of merely a tune-up race and he'd need a total meltdown to get it done. Noble's Promise and Caracortado should get the jump on him and be tough to run down.

Regardless of the outcome in the Malibu, hopefully he's improved from the spring and will be a presence in the handicap ranks next year.

[letswastemoney]

Anyone have thoughts on Twirling Candy?

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

That's a really nice field for the Sir Beaufort.

As an aside, isn't Tyler due back right around now?

I dont think its that nice at all. I would love to try and beat Sidney, but with who?

[my miss storm cat]

Sebastian, Nextdoorneighbor, Blue Panis...

Maybe I'm insane for thinking any of them could win this but I do.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

Sebastian, Nextdoorneighbor, Blue Panis...

Maybe I'm insane for thinking any of them could win this but I do.

I respect it, but dont see it. Maybe I will before Sunday. Thats really the only sequence I will play in the next week. I would like to come up with something more clever then keying Sidneys Candy.

[my miss storm cat]

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat

Sebastian, Nextdoorneighbor, Blue Panis...

Maybe I'm insane for thinking any of them could win this but I do.

The good news for me is that I didn't play this race.

The bad news is I was all over Caracortado.

[RockHardTen1985]

Originally Posted by Kasept

5th (2:00) California Breeders' Champion S..

7 Furlongs (Main Track) | Open | 2 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $100,000

1 Contemplated Rosario J 117 L
2 Woodmans Luck Flores D R 117 L
3 Gab Power Valenzuela P A 115 L
4 Thirtyfirststreet Bejarano R 117 L
5 Tappin Tough Nakatani C S 117
6 Offlee Wild Boys Gomez G K 115 L
7 Real Cool Dude Pedroza M A 117 L
8 Make It Cozy Espinoza V 115 L
9 Arresting Officer Talamo J 117 L



6th (2:30) La Brea S. (G1)

7 Furlongs (Main Track) | Fillies | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $250,000

1 Pica Slew Talamo J 118 L
2 Tornado Betty Valenzuela P A 118 Blk-On L
3 Switch Rosario J 118 L
4 Patriotic Viva Smith M E 118 L
5 La Nez Espinoza V 118 L
6 It Tiz Flores D R 118 L
7 Malibu Pier Gomez G K 118 L
8 Hard Way Ten Solis A 118 L
9 Always a Princess Bejarano R 118 L
10 Shotgun Gulch Quinonez A 118 L
11 Champagne d'Oro Baze M C 123 L
12 Arte Viva Blanc B 118 L
13 Bonnie Blue Flag Nakatani C S 118 L



7th (3:00) Sir Beaufort S. (G2)

1 Mile (Turf) | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $150,000

1 Blue Panis (FR) Talamo J 118 L
2 Nextdoorneighbor Espinoza V 118 Blk-Off L
3 Bogie (IRE) Gomez G K 118 L
4 Sebastian Flyte (GB) Leparoux J R 118 L
5 Sidney's Candy Rosario J 123 L
6 Indian Firewater Bejarano R 118 L
7 Stephen's Got Hope Pedroza M A 118 L
8 Make Music for Me Smith M E 118 L
9 Accelerant Quinonez A 118 L



8th (3:30) Malibu S. (G1)

7 Furlongs (Main Track) | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $250,000

1 Paris Vegas Nakatani C S 118 L
2 Alcindor Bejarano R 118 L
3 Thiskyhasnolimit Gomez G K 118 L
4 Caracortado Talamo J 118 L
5 Noble's Promise Leparoux J R 118 L
6 Setsuko Solis A 118 L
7 Don Tito Valenzuela P A 118 L
8 Thomas Baines Pedroza M A 118 L
9 Twirling Candy Rosario J 118 L
10 Our Minesweeper Blanc B 118 L
11 Smiling Tiger Baze R A 123 L

What will the 12/5/2 or 9 pick 3 pay?

Horizontally I would add Bogie and Indian Firewater.

It will help if Race 3 stays on the turf to get some grasp of how it is playing...plus someone sending with the fave, who has the speed?

[JerseyJ]

I think Sidney's Candy gets some serious pressure in the Sir Beaufort, and I see the race melting down a bit late. Bogie looks like the best closer, and looks like the horse to key in there as I don't really see all the hype in Sidney's Candy off of 1 good turf race where he set a reasonable pace on that quirky Del Mar turf course against a bunch of tomato cans.

I think in the Malibu it's strictly between Caracortado, Noble's Promise, and Smiling Tiger, the three big time proven dirt horses in the race. I'll let the others beat me, especially if they are short prices.

[GPK]

Originally Posted by JerseyJ

I think Sidney's Candy gets some serious pressure in the Sir Beaufort, and I see the race melting down a bit late. Bogie looks like the best closer, and looks like the horse to key in there as I don't really see all the hype in Sidney's Candy off of 1 good turf race where he set a reasonable pace on that quirky Del Mar turf course against a bunch of tomato cans.

I think in the Malibu it's strictly between Caracortado, Noble's Promise, and Smiling Tiger, the three big time proven dirt horses in the race. I'll let the others beat me, especially if they are short prices.

You have to believe that Talamo is gonna have Blue Panis right up on the front end with Sidneys Candy. I think Gomez and Lep will have their mounts towards the rear. This may be a bit of a stretch in my thinking, but I think if Espinoza can have Nextdoorneighbor sitting just a couple lengths behind the dueling frontrunners, he can get first jump and may still have enough to hold off the late closers. Of course, Bejerano will most likely be in the same position with Indian Firewater. They are both making their first turf starts and should be pretty decent prices.

Nextdoorneighbor, Indian Firewater and Bogie (huge jock switch) would be the 3 I use.

[JerseyJ]

Originally Posted by GPK

You have to believe that Talamo is gonna have Blue Panis right up on the front end with Sidneys Candy. I think Gomez and Lep will have their mounts towards the rear. This may be a bit of a stretch in my thinking, but I think if Espinoza can have Nextdoorneighbor sitting just a couple lengths behind the dueling frontrunners, he can get first jump and may still have enough to hold off the late closers. Of course, Bejerano will most likely be in the same position with Indian Firewater. They are both making their first turf starts and should be pretty decent prices.

Nextdoorneighbor, Indian Firewater and Bogie (huge jock switch) would be the 3 I use.

I don't think Indian Firewater is going to be lagging far behind at all. I see Blue Panis on or pressuring the pace like you said, Nextdoorneighbor I expect to be forwardly placed on the stretchout, Sidney's Candy obviously, and the La Jolla was a fluky race because of Del Mar's turf course where fractions are often wacky, as well as Indian Firewater on the stretchout, and I bet Quinonez uses Accelerant early and puts him into the race because he won't want to be too far behind in the early going while losing ground from the 9 hole. I think Bogie is going to get a perfect setup.