Clean Move or Dirty Play?

[packerbacker7964]

Your in a Handicapping Contest that pays $100 grand to the winner. Your plays are over and you have a $20 or so dollar lead. The only person who can catch you has a play in the last race with a longshot. Do you try and bet a couple grand on it to make it pay less if it wins to secure your win or just let the race play out. I'd consider playing a 1k or 2k on it myself just to see if the odds would change any in my favor.

[The Indomitable DrugS]

Clean move.

Even if it doesn't knock the odds down low enough to secure victory....it's seems like a good hedge that will sucure a decent profit no matter what the outcome is.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by packerbacker7964

Your in a Handicapping Contest that pays $100 grand to the winner. Your plays are over and you have a $20 or so dollar lead. The only person who can catch you has a play in the last race with a longshot. Do you try and bet a couple grand on it to make it pay less if it wins to secure your win or just let the race play out. I'd consider playing a 1k or 2k on it myself just to see if the odds would change any in my favor.

How do you know what his bet is?

[packerbacker7964]

At the ones where I play after the contest starts they'll post what they played thru out the day. I don't know if all are like this or not. Maybe someone on here will know if it holds water.

[randallscott35]

Originally Posted by packerbacker7964

At the ones where I play after the contest starts they'll post what they played thru out the day. I don't know if all are like this or not. Maybe someone on here will know if it holds water.

They wouldn't announce someone's play in this situation. In fact, if they did, they would do it as the horses are in the gate.

[eajinabi]

it depends on what track you are playing. a grand or two wont make a difference at Big leauge tracks but if you play something like portland meadows then yes it will change dramaticaly in your favour.

It seems like if you were in a handicapping contest with a substantial prize to be awarded, this type of thing would be against the rules. The way I see it, if you're a participant in the contest, you're trying to make the best selections based on what the betting public gives you. For some reason, in my mind I've always pictured those in the handicapping contest excluded from the betting public making their picks that way. I think rigging the odds in small pools should be against the rules of any handicapping contest because it gives the guy with deep pockets an unfair advantage in the contest. When, in actuality, the winner should be determined by the person that has the best picks.

So, I vote dirty move.

[randallscott35]

Again, guys there are no tournaments where your picks are public knowledge. Further, the tracks chosen for the major ones have big time pools....