This Smells

SCUDSBROTHER · #1 12-06-2006, 11:49 PM

Race 1 at HWD on Thursday has a horse in it that has huge red flags.NO MENTIRA has looked great(despite starting slow) in 2 starts. He was very impressive breaking his maiden by 8 at Oaktree.Too bad he had to go a month before another work.That is one red flag,but the huge one is that C NAK isn't riding him or anybody else in this race,but has the 7/5 chalk mount in the 2nd race.Doesn't make sense.My guess is the horse could win,but may break down instead. Has to be a good reason C NAK isn't trying to make 2k on this horse.

SCUDSBROTHER · #2 12-07-2006, 02:40 PM

Still smells.BTW this was a nice move forward for the son of Lit de Justice(Steal Justice) today.Shows that he is still getting better,and is now able to compete against horses who won straight maiden races.Gotta keep Delgadillo on.

whobet · #3 12-07-2006, 08:24 PM

You were right on, even money favorite,

Finished last.

Nice handicapping
http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbP...&RACE=1&BorP=B

SniperSB23 · #4 12-07-2006, 08:33 PM

Good call, hope you got the tri.

SCUDSBROTHER · #5 12-07-2006, 08:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23

Good call, hope you got the tri.

Didn't play this race,but maybe it helped somebody else toss the even money horse. I love Lit de Justice,and have liked this steal Justice horse for a while now.I thought this was a very tough spot for him though,and so I didn't play the race.He ran well,and I will use him against the same horses next time(if Delgadillo stays on.)I usually don't start a thread to say somebody is going to lose,but if it is an even money (or less) favorite,then I think it could be useful.

SniperSB23 · #6 12-07-2006, 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

Didn't play this race,but maybe it helped somebody else toss the even money horse. I love Lit de Justice,and have liked this steal Justice horse for a while now.I thought this was a very tough spot for him though,and so I didn't play the race.He ran well,and I will use him against the same horses next time(if Delgadillo stays on.)I usually don't start a thread to say somebody is going to lose,but if it is an even money (or less) favorite,then I think it could be useful.

Regardless of odds if you can give out the last place horse in a 6 horse field where the $2 tri pays $563 then it is useful info.