7/25: Sartatoga (Amsterdam; 4th-10th)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 True Connection 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #1 Ultimate Strike 4-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Who's the King 8-5 WON ($3.40)
Super Add: #6 I'm Solo N in Love 7-2 6th


5th: MCLM, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 New Issue 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Silver Pearls 5-2 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Parade Ring 9-5 WON ($5.60)


6th: CLM, 3+, 1m (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #5 Styner 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Hero Status 7-2 WON ($5.50)
Exotics Use: #4 J J's Joker 6-1 5th
Super Add: #2 Catch the Smoke 7-2 7th


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 1m-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Red Violet 3-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Curly Q Girl 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Maiora 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Market Chill 6-1 7th


P4 Grid:

4: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
5: 3-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 2-4-5-7 (A), 1-3-6 (B), - (C)
7: 6 (A), - (B), 1 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x7x1 = $42 ($21 for .50)
All A's: 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x4x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (1 in 7th)


8th: MCLM, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Kate Barry 4-1 4th
Next Best: ##6 Darty Time 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 Circuit Court 8-1 WON ($28.40)
Super Add: #3 Sheer Will 5-2 3rd


9th: Amsterdam (G2), 3yo, 6.5f (DD)

Best Value: #3 Smoken Wicked 6-1 WON ($7.50)
Next Best: #5 Gate to Wire 5-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #1 Macho Music 2-1 4th
Super Add: #4 T Kraft 8-1 5th


10th: NY-MCLM, F&M-3+, 9f-T

Best Value: #5 Addagirl Addie 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #2 Dividend Recap 7-2 WON ($6.10)
Exotics Use: #9 Practical Romance 4-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Catholic Edition 3-1 3rd


P5 Grid:

6: 4-5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 6 (A), 1 (B), 4-5 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-5 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

7: 1-6 (A), - (B), 4-5 (C)
8: 1-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 1-3-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
10: 2-5 (A), 3-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x4 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (CAAA): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (4-5 in 7th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve

[moses]

Good luck Steve.

Question about a horse today for anyone who wants to answer.

Sharon Horizons is 2/1 ML in Race 3, a maiden claiming race that’s 1 mile on the inner turf. Brown/Prat.

I put in formulator to see how Chad does with first time starters, on turf, in claiming races and DRF says Chad hasn’t put a horse in a MCL race on turf as a FTS in the last 5 years. Am I filtering it wrong? That seems so unlikely.

[moses]

Originally Posted by moses

Good luck Steve.

Question about a horse today for anyone who wants to answer.

Sharon Horizons is 2/1 ML in Race 3, a maiden claiming race that’s 1 mile on the inner turf. Brown/Prat.

I put in formulator to see how Chad does with first time starters, on turf, in claiming races and DRF says Chad hasn’t put a horse in a MCL race on turf as a FTS in the last 5 years. Am I filtering it wrong? That seems so unlikely.

I spoke too soon. Figured it out. Putting simply “claiming” as the class messed it up. I switched it to “maiden claiming,” and it shows Chad has had 21 starters in the last 5 years who meet that criteria with only 2 winners and 9 ITM. The last horse to win for him in a MCL on turf in their first start was Control Function about 4 years ago.

[Kasept]

SAR SCR/CHG'S

[atolunch]

Thanks and good luck as always!

Please check your race #7 horses:

Curly Q Girl is #3, not #1 as listed and Maiora is #4, not #2 as listed I believe.