6/5: Belmont Park (Belmont Stakes Day)

[Kasept]

BELMONT PARK ~ BELMONT DAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

As Ron Anderson mentioned this week on ATR, Wit already tagged as being talented..

Most Likely: #4 Wit 8-5 WON ($2.90)
Best Value: #8 Too Much Action 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Keepcalmcarryon 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1e Ostrager/Nevin entry 10-1 4th/5th


2nd: MSW, 3+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Pipeline 3-1 5th
Best Value: #10 Mach One 6-1 8th
Next Best: #7 King James 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #4 Migrate 8-1 4th


3rd: Woody Stephens (G1), 3yo, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Jackie's Warrior 7-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Tulane Tryst 20-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Dream Shake 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Caddo River 4-1 6th


True North/Woody Stephens 2-Day DBL Grid:

FRI 7: 1-6 (A), - (B), 2-5-7 (C)
SAT 3: 3-5 (A), - (B), 1-4-6 (C)

All A's: 2x2 = 4 x $12 = $48
Backups: $6 (1-6 w/ 1-4-6) + $6 (2-5-7 w/ 3-5)


4th: Brooklyn (G2), 4+, 12f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Lone Rock 9-2 WON ($8.90)
Next Best: #6 Moretti 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Musical Heart 9-2 8th
Super Add: #7 Ajaaweed 5-1 7th


5th: Acorn (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Dayoutoftheoffice 4-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Search Results 1-1 WON ($3.80)
Exotics Use: #2 Obligatory 6-1 2nd


Bed O' Roses/Acorn 2-Day DBL Grid:

FRI 8: 5-8 (A), - (B), 1-4-5 (C)
SAT 5: 4-6 (A), 3 (B), 1-2 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3 = 6 x $5 = $30 $1 Double (8/6) Paid $8.50 x 5 = $42.50
All A's: 2x2 = 4 x $5 = $20 $1 Double (8/6) Paid $8.50 x 5 = $42.50
Backups: $4 (5-8 w/ 1-2) + $6 (1-4-5 w/ 4-6)


P5 Grid:

1: 4 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 3-5 (A), 1-4-6 (B), - (C)
4: 5-6-9 (A), 4-7-8 (B), 1-2-3 (C)
5: 4-6 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x1x5x6x4 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A's: 1x1x2x3x2 = $12 ($1) ~ Press: 12 x $3 = $36
Backup (1-2-3 in 4th): 1x1x2x3x2 = 12 x .50 = $6


P4 Grid:

2: 6 (A), - (B), - (C)
3: 3-5 (A), 1-4-6 (B), - (C)
4: 5-6-7-9 (A), - (B), 2-4-8 (C)
5: 4-6 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x6x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 1x2x4x2 = $16 ($1)
Backup (2-4-8 in 4th): 1x2x3x2 = 12 x .50 = $6


6th: Jaipur (G1), 3+, 6f-Inner ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Bound for Nowhere 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Gregorian Chant 10-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Fast Boat 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #10 Stubbins 6-1 4th


7th: Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

With Swiss & Valiance out, ML's rendered moot..

Most Likely: #7 Bonny South 2nd
Next Best: #5 Shedaresthedevil 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Letruska WON ($4.40)


P4 Grid:

4: 6-9 (A), 4-5-7 (B), 2-8 (C)
5: 4-6 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
6: 6-8 (A), - (B), 2-4-10-12 (C)
7: 5-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x4x2x2 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = $16 ($1)
Backups: $8 (2-8 in 4th) + $16 (2-4-10-12 in 6th)


8th: Just a Game (G1), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Colicky Sweet Bye and Bye & Blowout (foot) are SCR's here leaving no clear speed. With Saez aboard, could envision Summer Romance being forward as well as Abscond (Rosario) and Daddy Is a Legend..

Most Likely: #4 Regal Glory 8-1 4th
Best Value: #3 Daddy Is a Legend 30-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Pocket Square 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #10 Tamahere 6-1 9th


9th: Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Knicks Go 6-5 4th
Best Value: #2 Dr. Post 9-2 5th
Next Best: #3 Silver State 7-2 WON ($13.40)
Exotics Use: #5 By My Standards 10-1 2nd


New York/Metropolitan 2-Day DBL Grid:

FRI 9: 1-5-6-9 (A), - (B), 2-7 (C)
SAT 9: 2-3-6 (A), - (B), 1-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3 = 12 x $5 = $60
Backups: $6 (2-7 w/ 2-3-6) + $8 (1-5-6-9 w/ 1-5)

$1 NY-MET DOUBLE Paid $29.75


10th: Manhattan (G1), 4+, 10f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Domestic Spending 3-1 WON ($5.00)
Next Best: #10 Colonel Liam 5-2 8th
Best Value: #5 Master Piece 6-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Gufo 5-1 3rd


11th: Belmont S. (G1), 3yo, 12f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Hot Rod Charlie 7-2 2nd
Next Best: #3 Rombauer 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #8 Overtook 20-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Essential Quality 2-1 WON ($4.60)


$1 P6 Grid:

6: 6 (A), - (B), 3-4-8 (C)
7: 5-7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
8: 3-4-6 (A), 7-9-10 (B), - (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
10: 4 (A), 10 (B), 5-9 (C)
11: 4 (A), 3 (B), 2-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x2x6x1x2x2 = $48
All A's: 1x2x3x1x1x1 = $6
Backups: $18 (3-4-8) + $3 (3) + $6 (2) + $12 (5-9) + $12 (2-8)


P5 Grid:

7: 5-7 (A), - (B), 3 (C)
8: 3-4-6 (A), 7-9-10 (B), 1-5-8 (C)
9: 6 (A), - (B), 2-3 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
11: 3-4 (A), 2-8 (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x6x1x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x1x2x2 = $24 ($12 for .50)
Backups: $6 (3) + $12 (1-5-8) + $24 (2-3) + $12 (6-7)


P4 Grid:

8: 3-4-6 (A), 7-9-10 (B), 1-5-8 (C)
9: 6 (A), 2 (B), 3 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
11: 2-3-4-8 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x1x2x4 = $24 ($12 for .50)
Backups: $12 (1-5-8) + $12 (3) + $6 (6-7)


Belmont Gold Cup/Stakes 2-Day DBL Grid:

FRI 10: 8 (A), 3 (B), 5 (C)
SAT 11: 3-4 (A), 2-8 (B), 6-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4 = 8 x $6 = $48
All A's: 1x2 = 2 x $8 = $16
Backups: $2 (8 w/ 6-7) + $2 (5 w/3-4)

$1 GOLD CUP/BELMONT DBL (8-2) Paid $5.70 x 6 = $34.20


$2 2-Day P4 Grid:

FRI 9: 1-5 (A), 6-9 (B), 2-7 (C)
FRI 10: 3-8 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
SAT 10: 4-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
SAT 11: 3-4 (A), - (B), 2-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x2 = 48 x $2 = $96
All A's: 2x2x2x2 = 16 x $2 = $32
Backup: $32 (2-7) + $32 (2-8)


12th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Spungie 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #5 English Breeze 6-1 7th
Next Best: #11 My Lips Are Sealed 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Runaway Rumour 5-1 WON ($10.20)


13th: OC/N2X, 4+, 9f-Inner

Most Likely: #1e Klaravich Ownership entry 5-2 3rd/7th
Best Value: #5 Journeyman 12-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Opry 8-1 11th
Exotics Use: #8 Forever Mo 20-1 10th


P5 Grid:

9: 6 (A), 2 (B), 3 (C)
10: 4-10 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
11: 2-3-4-8 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
12: 3-5 (A), - (B), 2-11 (C)
13: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 1x2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $24 (3) + $12 (6-7) + $24 (2-11)


P4 Grid:

10: 4-10 (A), 5 (B), - (C)
11: 2-3-4-8 (A), - (B), 6-7 (C)
12: 3-5 (A), 2-11 (B), - (C)
13: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), 8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backups: $12 (6-7) + $8 (8)


Good luck!
Steve

[Kasept]

All races ON THE TURF today.. Listed as GOOD..

Main track should be FAST by early in the card..

[moses]

Big scratch - Blowout to scratch from the Just A Game.

[Bigdaddychance]

Thanks for all the work Steve. Good Luck

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by moses

Big scratch - Blowout to scratch from the Just A Game.

Best betting race today. Always shopping could have some good value here

[moses]

Originally Posted by knickslions2

Best betting race today. Always shopping could have some good value here

Do you like her at this distance? That’s my big question mark for her.

[Kasept]

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by moses

Do you like her at this distance? That’s my big question mark for her.

I’m a sucker for cutbacks and with scratches should be right up front. Worth a shot at nice number as I think this race will pay. Good luck

[moses]

Originally Posted by UncleBenelli

Was That horse scratched yesterday for today?
Thanks

Yes.

[casp0555]

looks like the rails will stay in....I can see maintenance working on the widener in the stretch so hopefully no impact to the racing. Man it looks beautiful there this morning

[Kasept]

BEL SCR/CHG'S

[knickslions2]

Originally Posted by casp0555

looks like the rails will stay in....I can see maintenance working on the widener in the stretch so hopefully no impact to the racing. Man it looks beautiful there this morning

Going to be hot as hell today. But no rain

[casp0555]

Wow...that was impressive (Wit)

[ranger5830]

For anyone playing the pick 5 for races 7-11, the A+B ticket is $72, not $48 (should be 3 horses in the 10th instead of 2)

[ADJMK]

BEL R10

$2 EXACTA Box
4,6,9,10

$10 DAILY DOUBLE
4,6,9,10 / 2

$10 WIN,PLC,SHW
6