4/27: Churchill Downs (5th-9th); Parx (8th-10th)

[Kasept]

CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: MSW, 3+, 10f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Continuation 9-2 4th
Next Best: #3 Happy American 7-2 WON ($6.80)
Exotics Use: #10 There Goes Harvard 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #5 Ghost of the Mambo 6-1 6th


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Nope 9-2 4th
Best Value: #5 Urban Fairytale 5-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Prairie Wings 3-1 6th
Exotics Use: #11 Bullseye Beauty 5-1 9th


7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Sir Alfred James 9-2 WON ($7.60)
Next Best: #1 Verb 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Coltonator 4-1 2nd
Super Add: #6 Straight Shot 5-1 4th


8th: Issac Murphy, 4+, 12f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Lone Rock 8-5 WON ($3.80)
Next Best: #4 Portos 6-1 3rd
Best Value: #7 Plus Que Parfait 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Dack Janiel's 6-1 6th


9th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #6 Optimistic Valor 10-1 6th
Next Best: #4 Chantry Flats 9-2 WON ($16.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Natural Power 5-2 5th
Super Add: #9 Surf and Turf 10-1 8th


P5 Grid:

5: 2-3 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
6: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), - (B), 4-7 (C)
9: 2-4-6 (A), 5-8-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x2x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: $6 (11) + $36 (4-7)


P4 Grid:

6: 2-5-6 (A), - (B), 11 (C)
7: 1-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 2 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
9: 2-4-6-9 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x6 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 3x2x1x4 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: $4 (11) + $6 (1-11)



PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: PA-Unique Bella, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Chub Wagon 4-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #3 Trolley Ride 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Ujjayi 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #8 I'm the Talent 6-1 5th


9th: PA-Page McKenney H., 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Chilly in Charge 5-1 2nd
Best Value: #2 Wait for It 8-1 WON ($17.60)
Exotics Use: #4 Breezy Gust 4-1 3rd
Super Add: #10 Hockey Puck SCR


10th: PA-ALW/NW1R, 3+, 6f (DD)

Most Likely: #3 Geebert 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #6 Danzafied 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Gravel Road 8-1 WON ($15.00)
Exotics Use: #4 Kidnapped 9-2 6th


P3 Grid:

8: 5 (A), 3 (B), 2-8 (C)
9: 1-2 (A), 4-10 (B), 11 (C)
10: 3 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x1 = 8 x $3 = $24
All A's: 1x2x1 = 2 x $5 = $10
Backups: 2-8 with 1-2 with 3 = $4; 5 with 11 with 3 = $1


Good luck!
Steve