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Old 11-25-2016, 06:28 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,009
Default 11/25: Aqueduct (4th-10th); Churchill (8th-12th)

AQUEDUCT


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: NYSS-Thunder Rumble, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)

If Jet Black is going to be 8-1, he's a key. Sciacca-Parcells' rare black colt still improving and will vie up front with solid Loki's Vengeance. Empire Dreams, 3rd off the long break, cuts back from the 9f Empire Classic. Hard-knocking Becker's Galaxy dangerous first off the Rudy Rod claim..

Best Value: #5 Jet Black 8-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Loki's Vengeance 3-1 WON ($8.90)
Exotics Use: #4 Empire Dreams 5-2 4th
Super Add: #7 Becker's Galaxy 12-1 2nd


5th: NY-OC/N1X, 2yo, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Mo Maverick 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #9 Shiraz 3-1 5th
Best Value: #8 Hamptons Holiday 8-1 11th
Exotics Use: #1 e Broman entry 5-1 7th/8th


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Bustin It 5-2 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #10 Toohottoevenspeak 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Mr Curiousity 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #2 New York's Zip 12-1 4th



7th: NY-MSW, F&M-3+, 6f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Kathryn the Wise 5-1 WON ($5.70)
Next Best: #1 Play Me a Memory 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Tough Old Bird 7-2 4th
Super Add: #3 Shimmering Moon 3-1 3rd


8th: Winter Memories, 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 My Impression 3-1 WON ($7.50)
Best Value: #12 Insta Erma 10-1 6th
Next Best: #11 Noble Beauty 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #6 Danilova 6-1 7th


9th: Key Cents-NY, 2yo-F, 6f (DD)

This has the look of a mad scramble, so you have to be looking towards the back for a gal to pick up the pieces..

Most Likely: #7 Overnegotiate 7-2 2nd
Best Value: #6 Kim Royale 5-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Filibustin 4-1 WON ($8.50)
Exotics Use: #4 Tainted Angel 3-1 5th


10th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T

Best Value: #7 Lillie's Answer 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #2 Hudson River Gal 4-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Stormin Saratoga 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #10 Bareeqa 3-1 5th


P5 Grid:

6: 1-10 (A), - (B), 2-6-7-8 (C)
7: 2 (A), - (B), 1-3-8 (C)
8: 1-6-11-12 (A), - (B), 3-10 (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 4-10 (B), 1-2-6 (C)
10: 2-4-7 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x1x4x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x1x4x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 PICK FIVE (1,3/2/1,7,9,13/10/2,8) Paid $221.50


P4 Grid:

7: 2 (A), 1 (B), 3-8 (C)
8: 1-6-11-12 (A), - (B), 3-10 (C)
9: 6-7 (A), 4-10 (B), 1-2-6 (C)
10: 2-4-7 (A), 10-11 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 1x4x2x3 = $24 ($12 for .50)

$0.50 PICK FOUR (2/1,7,9,13/10/2,8) Paid $120.87



CHURCHILL DOWNS


POST-SCRATCHES


8th: Dream Supreme, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 I'm a Looker 5-1 7th
Next Best: #6 Finley'sluckycharm 1-1 WON ($3.00)
Exotics Use: #5 Moiety 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #3 Fioretti 6-1 6th


9th: OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #10 Ciaran's Prize 15-1 4th
Next Best: #11 Royal Obsession 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #13 Tiger Moth 5-1 6th
Super Add: #6 Improv 7-2 3rd


10th: Mrs. Revere (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Ian Wilkes got first of what could be a few weekend stakes wins Thursday with Thatcher Street. Linda (12-1) has leaped forward with move to grass and could be this good..

Best Value: #6 Linda 12-1 WON ($10.00)
Next Best: #8 Harmonize 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #11 Hawksmoor 5-2 6th
Super Add: #13 Shelbysmile 10-1 5th


11th: Clark H. (G1), 3+, 9f (DD)

Noble Bird may prove tough to run down if left unattended..

Most Likely: #6 Noble Bird 7-2 7th
Best Value: #1 Gun Runner 4-1 WON ($6.20)
Next Best: #2 Effinex 4-1 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Hoppertunity 5-2 4th


12th: CLM, 3+, 1m (Hi-5)

Most Likely: #2 Ainar 6-1 5th
Next Best: #5 High Dollar Kitten 8-1 WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Cy Seven 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #12 Man of Quality 12-1 6th


P5 Grid:

8: 2-6 (A), - (B), 3-5 (C)
9: 10-11-13 (A), - (B), 3-4 (C)
10: 6-8-11 (A), - (B), 5-13 (C)
11: 1-6 (A), 2 (B), 4-7-9 (C)
12: 2 (A), 5 (B), 1-10-11-12 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x3x3x2 = 108 x .50 = $54
All A's: 2x3x3x2x1 = 36 x .50 = $18


P4 Grid:

9: 10-11 (A), 6-13 (B), 3-4 (C)
10: 6-8-11 (A), - (B), 5-13 (C)
11: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), 4-7-9 (C)
12: 2-5 (A), 1-12 (B), 10-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (4/6/1/5) Paid $1,045.75 (C-A-A-A: $138)


Good luck!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : 11-25-2016 at 05:38 PM.
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