8/21: Saratoga ~ Day 27 (Lake Placid)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Born for a Storm 9-5 WON ($4.30)
Best Value: #5 J. J. Jake 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #4 Samedi Sky 5-2 4th
Exotics Use: #2 Gorelli 9-2 5th


2nd: MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 Wake Island 3-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Jetsam Six 12-1 4th
Next Best: #1 Defrock 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #6 Thunderon the Nile 8-1 5th


3rd: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Sebonack 9-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Starry Messenger 6-1 7th
Next Best: #3 Saratoga Charlie 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Fullback Foye 5-1 4th


4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1e Klaravich entry 2-1 2nd/4th
Next Best: #11 Zennor 4-1 5th
Best Value: #4 Security Risk 8-1 WON ($19.80)
Exotics Use: #5 Captain Moss 5-1 7th


5th: CLM, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 You Know I Know 4-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Gambler's Ghost 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Galardonado 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Blame Jim 9-2 6th


P5 Grid:

1: 1-5 (A), 4 (B), 2-6 (C)
2: 4-10 (A), - (B), 1-6-7-9 (C)
3: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-4-5-6 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 4-5-11 (C)
5: 1-4-7-8 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x4x1x6 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16


P4 Grid:

2: 4-10 (A), 1-6 (B), 7-9 (C)
3: 7-8 (A), 1-3 (B), 2-4-5-6 (C)
4: 1 (A), - (B), 4-5-11 (C)
5: 1-4-7-8 (A), 2-5 (B), 3-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x1x4 = $16 ($8 for .50)


6th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, DD)

If you're not playing multis here, it's a good spot to swing for the fences. Looks wildly competitive..

Most Likely: #2 Montauk Man 10-1 9th
Best Value: #1 Balfe's Corner 15-1 7th
Next Best: #7 River of Dreams 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Mr Harlan 12-1 2nd


7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 6f (G/S, P3, DD)

Okinawa as good or better in the mornings working with Saturday MDN-breaker Favorable Outcome..

Most Likely: #5 Okinawa 3-1 6th
Best Value: #7 Tazkeya 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Vertical Oak 5-1 WON ($11.80)
Exotics Use: #1 Culpa Mia 8-1 4th


8th: Lake Placid (G2), 3yo-F, 9f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Catch a Glimpse 8-5 2nd
Next Best: #1 Time and Motion 3-1 WON ($5.50)
Best Value: #3 Outsider Art 15-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Elsyea's World 5-1 4th


9th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Doctor J Dub 3rd
Next Best: #13 Saratoga Heater WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #12 True Bet 2nd
Super Add: #14 Pop the Hood 5th


10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #2 Big Zip 5-2 WON ($8.50)
Next Best: #9 Nobody Move 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #10 E J's Legacy 10-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Here Comes Tommy 4-1 2nd


11th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-OFF THE TURF

Most Likely: #8 Smarty's Pal 7-2 6th
Best Value: #9 Le Grand Warrior 12-1 WON ($19.00)
Next Best: #7 Fled 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Shiraz 5-1 Late SCR


P4 Grid:

8: 1-2 (A), 3-5 (B), 6-7 (C)
9: 2-13 (A), 6-12-14 (B), - (C)
10: 2 (A), - (B), 1-8-9-10 (C)
11: 8-9 (A), 1/SCR-7-15-16/SCR (B), 4-6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x6 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x1x2 = $8

$0.50 Pick-4 (1/1,3,7,8,9,10,11,13,15,16/2,7/9) Paid $292.00


Good luck!
Steve