Arlington Park Saturday Aug. 15 Stakes Pick Four

[Kitan]

Race 7 (St. Leger):
#3 Lucky Speed: Prepped at 9f at Woodbine with a good first up run when just nosed out of third. Twice beaten by only three lengths as the FAV by Protectionist...5-1 ML looks a gift but won't get that with The Pizza Man SCR. Trainer had this to say regarding American horses and is therefore quite confident..."They say in the US, the further the race, the worse the horses."
#1 Panama Hat: A little scared of not using this one as connections have always thought highly of his ability and think he is finally putting it together. Progressed very well through the handicaps and had no business winning last when being scrubbed at for most of the race and looking disinterested. Even though he won the blinkers backfired and are OFF this time. 2nd to Kingfisher (ran in most of the 3yo Classics last year and was just 2nd in a G1 at Royal Ascot) as the fav should not be overlooked. They want this horse to lead and should use the inside gate to his advantage.
#5 Az Ridge: Maybe he hasn't beaten anything but at least he romped in his two runs going 11f+.
#2 Roman Approval: Leaving him in for 4th as he seems to run better on the lead and could run huge again if the inside runner doesn't try to take them all the way.

$1 Tri 3/1, 5/1, 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11 $14
$1 Tri 1, 5/3/1, 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11 $14

Race 8 (Secretariat):
#7 War Dispatch: American Owner/Breeder will keep him here afterwards for rest of the year and for his 4yo season and Rouget seems to think he will like the American style better. Rank when wanting to lead in Prix du Jockey Club at much lower odds than #6 (DRF is incorrect). No reason he can't wire them.
#3 Goldstream: Obviously talented and bought with Cox Plate in mind but have seen Italian 3yo champs flop elsewhere before. I like Avdulla as a rider and will be rooting for him.
#1 Closing Bell: Nothing wrong with a 4th placed effort in the Belmont Derby in his third career start coming off a maiden victory. Mott will keep him improving.
#2 Force the Pass: 22 flat final quarter in the Bel Derby but that win will cost him here. If he wins with 126 lbs I'll tip my hat and acknowledge a superstar.
#6's dam is a half to Aussie champs Elvstroem and Haradasun and his sis ran 2nd in a couple of Aussie 3yo filly Classics. Hasn't seemed to have improved as a 3yo and wasn't overly impressed when finishing ahead of my top choice even though he did have a wide trip. Will use underneath.

$1 Tri 7/1, 3/1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 $10
$1 Tri 1, 3/7/1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6 $10

Race 9 (Beverly D):
#10 Secret Gesture: Has shown she can run Stateside and was beaten by good 3yos giving them 12 lbs last out. She may be affected by some of the speed inside of her as she likes to be prominent but has at times shown she can pass runners.
#8 Euro Charline: Never has there been a repeat winner of this race but she has a huge chance of being the first. Fantastic 4th on seasonal bow in Dubai and sandwiched between Amazing Maria and Avenir Certain who are both top females. Have her second because the price will be much shorter than last year.
#1 Lacy: Unproven against this class but does her best running on firmer courses and I think the race will be run to suit.
#6 Carla Bianca: 2nd to champion Australia as a maiden and 4-5 vs #9 giving 17lbs in April. Beat Million runner Elleval last time out. Just put off by the fact that Weld is 14 0-1-1 in the past five or so years in North America and most took a lot of $$$.
Maybe #3 isn't effective with a rabbit, or maybe she just isn't as good anymore. I think she's a tough bet as one of the lower prices. #9 isn't one of the top 3yos for Coolmore let alone England. 3yo seems a cut below the rest of the Euros.

$1 Tri Box 1, 6, 8, 10 $24

Race 10 (Million):
#4 Big Blue Kitten: Guessing on who gets first run here...it was him in the UN and Slumber in the Manhattan, but with it being a Ramsey rabbit and a near 50% win rate I'll stick with him on top.
#2 Slumber: No knocks, the pace will suit, and he'll be rolling late.
#3 Bookrunner: Obviously unproven but he showed them something to make them want to have run him in his third career start vs Kingman and Australia. Won debut at similar distance and jockey/trainer aren't slouches. Euros seem weakest in this race.
#6 Legendary: I used him at a price last time and he might have run the best race given how the pace collapsed. May want a tad shorter but I can't leave him out at juicy odds.

$1 Tri Box 2, 3, 4, 6 $24

$1 Pick Four
Race 7: 1, 3
Race 8: 1, 3, 7
Race 9: 1, 6, 8, 10
Race 10: 2, 3, 4, 6
$96

Good luck!