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Old 08-29-2014, 12:36 AM
Kitan Kitan is offline
Gulfstream Park
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Other side of the globe
Posts: 1,208
Default Saratoga Friday Aug. 29

Not a lot that is overly captivating on this card…

Race 1:
#3 Tacones: Winner at the meet already against older. Can get a second returning to the main track.

Race 2:
#10 Herd Mentality: Has speed and should handle the turf.
#3 Kid Blast: Good effort in only turf try against tougher.

Race 3:
#6 Path to Power: Lewis has them ready when they start out for a tag. Solid work on the turf. Hoping for 15-1 ML to hold.
#4 One More Song: Acceptable excuse for hitting a brick wall in the stretch after a huge early move. Clement has a great record in these spots. Key Trakus info.
#7 Rachel’s Temper: Back up in class after a good performance behind a runaway winner. Will throw her in.

Race 4:
#3 Springcourt: His pedigree should kick in as they stagger home in the final furlong.
#1 Coupled Entry: Both are last out winners at 9f.
#7 Village Warrior: May get away with an easy lead.

Race 5:
It’s essentially #4 Lady Kreesa by default, but it’s a big barn change for #9 Life’s a Stage (don’t like the two weeks since the last work though) and Rocco owes me one…don’t think #1, regardless of a potential loose lead, can last the full 8.5f…

Race 6:
#10 Decisive Move: Completely bottled up last time full of run. This isn’t necessarily tougher.
#3 Flashlight: Showed speed in England, and was fired up routing with the blinkers on. Longshot chance for Lynch on the cutback.

Race 7:
#6 Joe Mooch: A little short last time. Cutback even further should suit.
#8 Be Bullish: If he gets out of the gate and is sound, he’ll be extremely tough to beat.

Race 8:
#8 Milkyyourway: 1 for 23 isn’t inspiring, but she’s been much improved on the turf. Unlucky loser in April, and in May she ran behind a good one in Summer Solo. Feel like this will be her day.
#7 Takeoff Your Hat: Was beaten when she got in tight last time. Both wins at GP…the one to beat, but can be beat.
#3 Thatza Wrap: Improver closed well in last and can continue on her upward slope.
#9 Keen Katana: Needs to show that her last wasn’t a fluke.

Race 9:
#9 Madoo: Eskendereya hasn’t had much success with his 2yo debutants, but Violette has had his babies primed. Guessed on his FTS on Wednesday but in hindsight that one didn’t seem to be training as well as his winners have. Prefer this of the two stablemates.
#5 Alexandrie: Pletcher hasn’t won with a 2yo filly FTS in a MSW yet at the meet. Now or never.
#7 Dream On: Shows quick blowouts with dirt on the bottom side.
#15 and #16 warrant serious consideration in the unlikelihood that they draw in.

Race 10:
#3 Fashion Fund: European form kills these. Shug has her primed for this. Hoping that this won’t be a classic grabfest.
#1 Prayed For: Can’t ignore anything for Jerkens at the moment.
Also using #’s 2, 4, 5, 6 in some capacity.

Race 11:
#10 Miadora: Ran well on her first turf try against a solid bunch. Further improvement to come and should get a good pace set-up.
#7 Golden Maria: May be dreaming with this one, but her form really isn’t that bad when you take into consideration the conditions and situations. Has speed and that can be potentially harnessed with the improved jock. I’ll either be laughing or laughed at.
#1 Galroyale: Dam won two Listed events sprinting on the green.
#6 only has three short blowouts off the extended layoff…#8 seems to run better fresh…#10 will be overbet as a Chad firster but this is a 3yo sprinting…


$0.60 Pick Five
Race 1: 3
Race 2: 3, 10
Race 3: 4, 6, 7
Race 4: 1, 3, 7
Race 5: 4, 9
$21.60…this and the early P4 aren’t great sequences so I’m not heavily investing.

$0.60 Early Pick Four
Race 2: 3, 10
Race 3: 4, 6, 7
Race 4: 1, 3, 7
Race 5: 4, 9
$21.60

$0.60 Late Pick Four
Race 8: 3, 7, 8
Race 9: 5, 7, 9 (will restructure ticket if #15 and #16 draw in)
Race 10: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6
Race 11: 1, 7, 10
$97.20

Good luck!
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