7/20: Saratoga (CCAO; $66k C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Thirst for Glory 8-1: Trounces Kimmel Fri. winner mornings.. 3rd
Best Value: #3 Thank You 15-1: T2D & blinks 2nd start a potent trick.. 2nd
Next Best: #6 Tax Package 5-2 WON ($9.50)
Exotics Use: #7 Sandler 7-2 8th


2nd: CLM, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Groomedforvictory 7-5 5th
Next Best: #2 Tizmas 3-1 WON ($8.20)
Exotics Use: #4 Most Happy Fella 12-1 4th
Super Add: #7 Le Deluge 7-2 2nd


3rd: OC/N3X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Interested in Premium in 2nd start as 4yo and in U.S., but KMc's runners have been dreadful here early..

Most Likely: #3 Gathering 2-1 2nd
Best Value: #1 Mariel N Kathy 5-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Scampering 9-5 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #4 Premium 6-1 5th


4th: CLM/N3L, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely #4 Glickman 3-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Denzel 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Carolinian 6-1 3rd


5th: 1st Lucky Coin, 4+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Spring to the Sky 9-5 WON ($3.80)
Best Value: #5 Go Blue or Go Home 6-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Strong Impact 2-1 3rd


<$75 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $12.00
3 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
5 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $4.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $6.00
8 $0.50 pick P5: 3,6,7 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $12.00
9 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 5 with 4 with 5,6 - $1.00
10 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 4 with 1,3 with 4 with 2,3 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 5 with 4 with 2,3 - $2.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P5: 1,2,4,5 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 5,6 - $16.00
13 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 4 with 4 with 5,6 - $2.00
14 $0.50 pick P5: 8 with 1,2 with 1,3 with 4 with 1,4 - $4.00

Total: $75.00


<$50 P4 Play:

2: 1-2-4
3: 1-3-5
4: 4
5: 1-2-3-5-6

3x3x1x5 = $45


6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

$66k C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #9 Dreaming of Danny 7-2 3rd
Best Value: #1 Nineinthenine 15-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Treasury Devil 3-1 WON ($9.10)
Exotics Use: #6 Mia Poppy 12-1 5th


7th: MSW, 3+, 5.5f-T (G/S, P3, DD)

Tricky reads add more difficulty to already tough lawn dash..

Most Likely: #2 Eternal Bull 4-1: Experience edge; Showed speed in last.. 5th
Best Value: #4 Ireland's Eye 15-1: Sharp works for 2nd start per Mike Welsch.. 6th
Next Best: #1 Hidden Candy 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #7 T Sizzle 10-1 2nd


8th: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Fiona's Hero 7-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Sir Leslie 4-1 4th
Best Value: #7 Beautyinthepulpit 5-1 WON ($15.80)
Exotics Use: #1e Jacobson entry 3-1 7th


9th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 9.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #11 Crown Queen 7-2 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #5 Silky 5-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Fizzy Pink 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #9 Princess Mara 15-1 10th


10th: 97th Coaching Club of America Oaks (G1), 3yo-F, 9f (DD)

Unbridled Forever looks to break through after minor awards in the best 3yo filly races of the year..

Most Likely: #2 Unbridled Forever 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Miss Besilu 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Stopchargingmaria 8-5 WON ($4.40)
Exotics Use: #6 Taketheodds 8-1 5th


11th: NY-MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-IT

All trip here with perhaps 7 of the 12 within 5 lengths..

Best Value: #6 Island Therapy 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #11 Hushhushmushmush 3-1 4th
Exotics Use: #1 Downgoesfrazier 7-2 6th
Super Add: #10 Tsonga 12-1 11th


<$150 P6 Play:

All A Entries

1 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00

A's with One B

2 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
3 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
4 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
5 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
6 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $2.00

A's with Two B's

7 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
8 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
9 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
10 $2.00 pick P6: 1 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
11 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 6,11 - $8.00
12 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $16.00
13 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 1,4 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 1 - $4.00
14 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 1,3 with 6,11 - $8.00
15 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 5 with 2 with 1 - $2.00
16 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 1,3 with 1 - $4.00

A's with One C

17 $2.00 pick P6: 3 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
18 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 7,8,9 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $12.00
19 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $12.00
20 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 12 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00
21 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 5,6 with 6,1 - $8.00
22 $2.00 pick P6: 9 with 2 with 5 with 11 with 2 with 10 - $2.00

Total: $136.00


<$60 P4 Play:

All A Entries

1 $1.00 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $2.00

A's with One B

2 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $3.00
3 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 2 with 6,11 - $2.00
4 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $4.00
5 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 2 with 1,10 - $1.00

A's with Two B's

6 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 5,12 with 2 with 6,11 - $6.00
7 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $12.00
8 $0.50 pick P4: 1,6,7 with 11 with 2 with 1,10 - $3.00
9 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 1,3,5,6 with 6,11 - $8.00
10 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 5,12 with 2 with 1,10 - $2.00
11 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 11 with 1,3,5,6 with 1,10 - $4.00

A's with One C

12 $0.50 pick P4: 3 with 11 with 2 with 6,11 - $1.00
13 $0.50 pick P4: 5 with 1,2,3,9 with 2 with 6,11 - $4.00

Total: $52.00


Good luck!
Steve