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#1
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![]() !!
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. |
#2
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![]() ![]() Wowza!
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"An Absolute Thriller!!" - Grassy wins a six-way photo finish, Saratoga 9th, 8-22-09 |
#3
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![]() That was the same figure I projected for Ruffian in her debut - albeit that one coming as a 2yo.
http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/sho...82&postcount=1 I would have expected the 110-to-113 range for MM. With six dirt sprints - and it coming near the middle of the card - you know it's a solid number. |
#4
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![]() Next race?
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#5
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#6
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![]() Really, really fast debut, but anyone else think they kicked it up a couple of points when the buzz started everyone scrambling to find the highest debut at 112?
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit. |
#7
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![]() Quote:
They are wrong. Completely wrong.
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#8
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![]() The preliminary figure, as Steve posted, came back at 110. So you can say with definitively and with absolute authority that you can differentiate between a 112 and a 114? Wish I was that sharp.
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit. |
#9
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![]() Quote:
Do you make your own figures? Did you make them for Santa Anita this week? Where is your credibility here that you felt it was OK to take a random shot at the people that have spent their lives making speed figures?
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#10
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![]() just another fly by
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#11
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![]() Quote:
I guess I was "completely wrong".. I wasn't taking a shot at anyone...look, we all know Beyer's group- who I have a lot of respect for- has become more and more subjective and less mechanical through the years, so that his figures are different than those he produced with Formal Gold. Maybe they're better, but there is more of a human element now and humans are apt to push for superlatives instead of a near miss.
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Do I think Charity can win? Well, I am walking around in yesterday's suit. Last edited by Kasept : 03-21-2011 at 03:46 PM. |
#12
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![]() Quote:
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Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB |
#13
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![]() Why would Andy Beyer care if this horse ran the top 1st out figure?
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#14
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![]() * ?
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Tom Cooley photo |
#15
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![]() I know I don't care.
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#16
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![]() well, now that's a good question, isn't it?
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#17
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![]() For the record, I do my own figs and I also came up with a 114. Of course, my all-time highest fig went to Zanjero in the Risen Star. He got a 146. My math may have been off that day, however. I went with a quadruple split variant and things got ugly.
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#18
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![]() The video of Forest Music's Calder preview is no longer available on the Internet... but here was the Bloodhorse write-up on it. (The Tale of the Cat-Mr. Leader colt turned out to be Lion Heart - the Hennessy-Time To Blossom filly never raced)
Quote:
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#19
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#20
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![]() Number makes a lot of sense in context with the 1st and 2nd races- which it was 26 and 40 points faster than, respectively- and the winners of those races were 85-90 and 75-78 type animals. I was in the sportsbook and was only casually watching and thought it was the stakes race.
Forest Music's debut was freakish, too. Went 1:08.53 at Laurel, which is basically unheard of at any level there. http://www.equibase.com/premium/eqbP...try=USA&race=4
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you |