Derby Trail Forums

Go Back   Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock
Register FAQ Members List Calendar Today's Posts

Reply
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
  #1  
Old 10-02-2010, 02:39 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default To Honor and Serve

Nice looking 2YO. Final time of his maiden win was only .29 slower than Colizeo's win in the Star of Cozzene.
Reply With Quote
  #2  
Old 10-02-2010, 02:40 PM
Sightseek's Avatar
Sightseek Sightseek is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 11,024
Default

He is nice, the race call was fun too.
Reply With Quote
  #3  
Old 10-03-2010, 06:36 AM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

He looks like a star in the making.

Bill Mott is absolutely brutal with 2yo debuters on dirt - and this horse ran so strong first out. His preformance yesterday was absolutely tremendous.

Bill Mott has 916 starts with 2yo's since 2003 - and his ROI from that huge sample size in a horrid $1.17 - you're talking about a 41.5% loss on the betting dollar.

And with 2yo's on dirt since 2003 - 594 starts and a $1.13 ROI - you're getting into losing triple the takeout. Words can't describe how awful that is.

Mott's two-year-olds tend to improve a whole lot from age two to three when he trains them .. and - if they get transferred to another barn - the improvement is often significant.

Zayat moved some of his 2yo's with Mott to Baffert one year - and several of them saw a big spike in form. Zensational and Pioneer of the Nile most notably. Baffert took POTN from Mott off of a 3rd place finish beaten 8 lengths to Square Eddie at Kee and a 5th place finish behind Midshipman in the BC Juv - POTN won his first four straight for Baffert - all at the Grade 1 and Grade 2 level before the winning streak was snapped with a 2nd place finish in the Kentucky Derby.
Reply With Quote
  #4  
Old 10-03-2010, 09:11 AM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
He looks like a star in the making.

Bill Mott is absolutely brutal with 2yo debuters on dirt - and this horse ran so strong first out. His preformance yesterday was absolutely tremendous.

Bill Mott has 916 starts with 2yo's since 2003 - and his ROI from that huge sample size in a horrid $1.17 - you're talking about a 41.5% loss on the betting dollar.

And with 2yo's on dirt since 2003 - 594 starts and a $1.13 ROI - you're getting into losing triple the takeout. Words can't describe how awful that is.

Mott's two-year-olds tend to improve a whole lot from age two to three when he trains them .. and - if they get transferred to another barn - the improvement is often significant.

Zayat moved some of his 2yo's with Mott to Baffert one year - and several of them saw a big spike in form. Zensational and Pioneer of the Nile most notably. Baffert took POTN from Mott off of a 3rd place finish beaten 8 lengths to Square Eddie at Kee and a 5th place finish behind Midshipman in the BC Juv - POTN won his first four straight for Baffert - all at the Grade 1 and Grade 2 level before the winning streak was snapped with a 2nd place finish in the Kentucky Derby.
That's kind of the way I saw it. He ran a very nice race in his debut rushing up the inside to reach contention and battling all the way. The pedigree is solid to go long as I think we're going to see the Bernardini offspring improve as the distances get longer. His dam was a stakes winner and he's a half to India, who won the Cotillion at Philly Park in 2006.
Reply With Quote
  #5  
Old 10-03-2010, 09:42 AM
blackthroatedwind blackthroatedwind is offline
Jerome Park
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 9,938
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
His dam was a stakes winner and he's a half to India, who won the Cotillion at Philly Park in 2006.

I assume that would be considered the downside?
__________________
Just more nebulous nonsense from BBB
Reply With Quote
  #6  
Old 10-03-2010, 09:54 AM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind View Post
I assume that would be considered the downside?
What a colossal disappointment she was. I had almost forgotten that she was a huge favorite in the Matron that Folklore crushed.
Reply With Quote
  #7  
Old 10-03-2010, 10:56 AM
Betsy Betsy is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,303
Default

I was really hoping the race would come off the turf because I thought his debut was exceptional. I've never rooted against an Indy, but I did root against Astrology that day and after the race I was certain that To Honor and Serve was the better horse. Was that Charlotte Weber in the winner's circle? I thought so, but couldn't be sure.

Anyone know what Beyer fig he got? He's not on the DRF leaderboard.
Thanks!

Last edited by Betsy : 10-03-2010 at 12:12 PM.
Reply With Quote
  #8  
Old 10-03-2010, 07:33 PM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

95
Reply With Quote
  #9  
Old 10-03-2010, 07:34 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK View Post
95
Are you talking about Arian Foster's longest TD run of the season or To Honor and Serve's Beyer?
Reply With Quote
  #10  
Old 10-03-2010, 07:38 PM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
Are you talking about Arian Foster's longest TD run of the season or To Honor and Serve's Beyer?
Beyer.

Wish he would have run like that while at UT.
Reply With Quote
  #11  
Old 10-03-2010, 07:39 PM
NTamm1215 NTamm1215 is offline
Havre de Grace
 
Join Date: Nov 2006
Posts: 5,629
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK View Post
Beyer.

Wish he would have run like that while at UT.
I knew which one. To Honor and Serve has a better future but I like both.
Reply With Quote
  #12  
Old 10-03-2010, 07:40 PM
VOL JACK's Avatar
VOL JACK VOL JACK is offline
The Curragh
 
Join Date: Mar 2007
Location: @VOLJACK79
Posts: 2,578
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by NTamm1215 View Post
I knew which one. To Honor and Serve has a better future but I like both.
I bet Foster will make more
Reply With Quote
  #13  
Old 10-03-2010, 09:01 PM
Betsy Betsy is offline
Randwyck
 
Join Date: Jun 2006
Posts: 1,303
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by VOL JACK View Post
95
Thanks!
Reply With Quote
  #14  
Old 11-06-2010, 02:21 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default

Looked good winning a Graded Stakes at AQU today with a candy trip.

Mott's plan was to run him back in what should be a moderate Remsen Stakes - he basically won't have to worry about Graded earnings next year and can do whatever he wants with him. We'll see if he goes through with that plan.
Reply With Quote
  #15  
Old 11-06-2010, 02:25 PM
gales0678 gales0678 is offline
Oriental Park
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: new york
Posts: 3,670
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS View Post
Looked good winning a Graded Stakes at AQU today with a candy trip.

Mott's plan was to run him back in what should be a moderate Remsen Stakes - he basically won't have to worry about Graded earnings next year and can do whatever he wants with him. We'll see if he goes through with that plan.

DERBY FEVER DRUGS
Reply With Quote
  #16  
Old 11-06-2010, 02:48 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

Anybody want to buy out my future bet?
Reply With Quote
  #17  
Old 11-06-2010, 03:15 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
Anybody want to buy out my future bet?

If your serious, PM ME NOW. Ill be in AC next Friday, easy meet.
Reply With Quote
  #18  
Old 11-06-2010, 03:20 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

No way I'm selling. I got an underlay at the time, but now it doesn't look that way.
Reply With Quote
  #19  
Old 11-06-2010, 03:20 PM
RockHardTen1985 RockHardTen1985 is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Jul 2009
Posts: 11,208
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315 View Post
No way I'm selling. I got an underlay at the time, but now it doesn't look that way.

What odds do you have/
Reply With Quote
  #20  
Old 11-06-2010, 03:22 PM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
Del Mar
 
Join Date: May 2006
Posts: 5,403
Default

When I looked at Wynn's website he was 60-1, but by the time my guy got the bet down he was 30-1.
Reply With Quote
Reply



Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

vB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off
Forum Jump


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 02:24 AM.


Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.