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#1
10-16-2010, 07:55 AM
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10/16: Keeneland, Woodbine (Late P4's)
Hollywood carryover sequence Friday played out almost identically to the Belmont skien 24 hours earlier as 4 logicals were accompanied by 2 tougher to include winners. The result returned a similar payout as well, as successful tix earned a quality cash of $12.8k. And to fill out the similarities, I went 4 of 6... 5th race winner Achak ($19.20) scuttled the P6 and P4 plays, but I started a late P3 out of frustration and caught an pleasant return of $130 via 2-1 Zasu, 3-2 Tiz Argent and 8-1 Miss Buxley. The carryover in the Super Hi-5 ended up being the most lucrative action of the day with 34-1 runner up Mrs. Card tripping the $51k score-o. Fun afternoon at the 'hood and I hope you did well!
Woodbine, Calder, Charles Town and Delaware all feature multi-stake cards of varying quality and depth Saturday, with Belmont (G3 Athenia), Keeneland (G1 QE II) and Oak Tree/HollyPark (G2 Derby) all offering nice fare to start the weekend.. KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 7th (4:21p): ALW/N2X, F&M-3+, 12f-T (P4, P3, DD, Super) Take out the 3 impossible players and you're left with some good ALW distaffers in an event made more interesting by the request of 12 panels.. Most Likely: #8 Pearly Blue 3-1 3rd-DH Next Best: #3 Clarinet 5-1 WON ($13.00) Best Value: #5 Tarrip 5-2 6th Super Add: #4 My Sugar Bear 12-1 5th 8th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 9f (P3, DD, Super) No 50-1 auto-tosses in this head-spinning ALW for boys.. Most Likely: #5 Heart Butte 7-2 5th Next Best: #10 Guys Reward 4-1 WON ($21.80) Best Value: #4 Indianapolis 10-1 9th Super Add: #11 Lentenor 3-1 7th 9th: 27th QE II Challenge Cup (G1), 3yo-F, 9f-T (DD, Super) Top to bottom, a classy set for this important soph test. Evening Jewel, in the mix for the 3yo missy Eclipse, is the horse to beat, but this is a well-matched group offering a variety of running styles to guarantee an honest race.. Most Likely: #3 Evening Jewel 5-2 3rd Next Best: #1 Zagora 3-1 2nd Best Value: #7 Perfect Shirl 6-1 8th Super Add: #6 Harmonious 4-1 WON ($7.00) 10th: MSW, 2yo, 7f (Super, Super Hi-5) As if prior troika aren't challenging enough, here's a nightcap filled with some nicely bred 2yo including siblings of This One's for Phil & Tap Dancer (Caseros), Lady Joanne & Baghdaria (Shackleford) and Shake You Down (Fifth District).. Most Likely: #1 Perjury 7-2: 3 straight agonizing beats.. 7th Best Value: #7 Excessive Assault 30-1: Upside of previous start.. 5th Next Best: #8 Caseros 3-1: $630k Candy Ride; 2 SW sibs.. 12th Exotics Use: #10 Jojo's Mojo 6-1 3rd Hi-5 Play: #6 Sporting Holiday 15-1 6th <$75 P4 Play: 7: 1-3-4-5-7-8-10 8: 4-5-10 9: 1-3 10: 1-7-8 7x3x2x3 = 126 x .50 = $63 WOODBINE POST-SCRATCHES 8th: 38th Nearctic (G1), 3+, 6f-T (P4, P3, Super) Nothing particularly special about the 7yo imported 3-1 ML choice Balthazaar's Gift.. Most Likely: #3 Bridgetown 4-1 5th Best Value: #8 Sneaking Uponyou 15-1 6th Next Best: #2 Grand Adventure 10-1 2nd Super Add: #7 Signature Red 12-1 7th 9th: 55th E. P. Taylor (G1), F&M-3+, 10f-T (P3, Super) Am quite willing to respect Miss Keller's liklihood for success given the remarkable run of Roger Attfield, whose horses have run consistently well since mid-summer. Note that this race goes at 5:03p and the QE II (KEE 9) at 5:23p. A strong effort from Cumani's Contredanse here reflects well on Zagora there 20 minutes later.. Most Likely: #6 Miss Keller 4-1 2nd Best Value: #5 Reggane 8-1 WON ($22.80) Next Best: #1 Shalanaya 5-2 3rd Super Add: #7 Contredanse 3-1 4th $2 Exactor (5-6) Paid $115.90 $1 Triactor (5-6-1) Paid $263.25 $1 Superfecta (5-6-1-7) Paid $758.60 10th: 73rd Pattison Canadian International (G1), 3+, 12f-T (DD, Super) Bit of an odd assembly for this $2,000,000 fall standard, and I'm interested in the 1-2 finishers from the Bowling Green in Al Khali and Simmard. Both have the look of improving sorts, and are prices from notoriously capable grass conditioners.. Most Likely: #5 Al Khali 6-1 4th Best Value: #4 Simmard 15-1 7th Next Best: #6 Marsh Side 4-1 8th Super Add: #8 Redwood 2-1 3rd 11th: MDN CLM, 3+, 8.5f (Super) Clever way for Woodbine to finish a P4 that starts with 3 G1 races worth $3.5 million with this stupifyingly bad race. As such, it requires a toss of the ML choices who are parked as wide as possible.. Best Value: #6 Vaneasto 20-1 8th Next Best: #8 Repentant Spirit 10-1 3rd Exotics Use: #11 Putyourgamefaceon 30-1 10th Super Add: #2 Tequila Max 6-1 9th <$100 P4 Play: 8: 3-8 9: 1-5-6-7 10: 4-5-6-8 11: 6-8-11 2x4x4x3 = $96 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 10-17-2010 at 06:23 AM. 
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#2
10-16-2010, 10:42 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#3
10-16-2010, 10:48 AM
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__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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