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#1
04-16-2010, 07:44 AM
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4/16: AQU ($19k C/O); KEE (Late P4)
Aqueduct quad try was dashed early, but Keeneland P4 slipped away achingly when Lynch returnee Bay to Bay could not real in Motion's Check the Label in the G3 Appalachian. Josie Carroll's 'first time synth' Valli With a Vow, whom I used as 4th choice Super Add, lit the board for close to $24 in the MSW sequence opener. I used the finishers behind her as the top three tabs, but failed personally to take advantage of the $411 tri ($1) and $366 super (.10). Hope someone got a piece!
At the Big A, other than a nice little hit with Little Wise Guy in the 8th, it was a case of one horse after another running second. Mind Boggling couldn't get to Old Kit Bag in the 6th, and no one could get to wire job Writinonthewall in the 7th or end to end High Lion in the 9th. In that nightcap, Ramon Dominguez on High Lion (Jacobson) again demonstrated why he's a good as there is closing the door on Victor Santiago who was moving fastest of all up the rail on Sciacca's Tutti Va Bene (13-1). Santiago had extracted his mount from a troubled start and saved ground to get in position to steal the race, but chose the wrong guy to try and get by inside. Look for Tutti Va Bene, who was primed enough for her seasonal return to grass to run a career best 71 Beyer Thursday, next time out with Prado. $19k carryover at Aqueduct and another P4 at Keeneland today! AQUEDUCT POST-SCRATCHES 3rd: NYB-CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Every Little Thing 3-5 WON Best Value: #6 Sand and Song 12-1 3rd Next Best: #1 Tomorrow's Roses 5-1 4th 4th: NYB-MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P6, P3, DD) Best Value: #5 Refinery Fire 6-1 3rd Most Likely: #9 Glory in Motion 2-1 WON Next Best: #7 Es Mia 5-2 5th Exotics Use: #4 Nurse Dolce 5-1 6th 5th: NYB-CLM/N3L, 3+, 7f (G/S, P3, DD) Most Likely: #1 C'Est Qui Ton Pere 1-1 WON Best Value: #2 Her Latest Flame 6-1 2nd Next Best: #5 Nolite Timere 5-1 4th Exotics Use: #3 Bryan Kicks 12-1 5th 6th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #7 Avenging Spirit 5-2 2nd Best Value: #3 Too Big to Fail 6-1 5th Next Best: #1 Zio Tony 3-1 WON Super Add: #4 World Record 8-1 7th 7th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #5 Distant Strike 9-5 2nd Next Best: #3 Lt. John 3-1 WON Exotics Use: #10 Interference 15-1 7th Super Add: #2 Roma Di Notte 15-1 8th .10 SUPER PLAY: 3-5 with 3-5 with 2-4-6-8-10 with 2-4-6-8-10 (2x1x5x4 = 4- x .10 = $4.00) 8th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (DD) Best Value: #1 Exiled Princess 10-1 2nd Next Best: #2 Dancing Daisy 7-2 WON 9th: NYB-MSW, 3+, 1m-T (Super) Most Likely: #8 N P Cat 4-1 7th Next Best: #7 Tapitdar 3-1 3rd Best Value: #1 Leatherhead 9-2 WON Super Add: #5 Storiesinthedark 12-1 5th <$75 P6 Play: 4: 5-9 5: 1 6: 7 7: 3-5 8: 1-2 9: 1-5-7-8 2x1x1x2x2x4 = 32 x $2 = $64 $2 P6 (9-1-7-3-2-1) 5 Correct Paid $21.40 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 3-7 7: 3-5 8: 1-2-4 9: 1-3-5-7-8 2x2x3x5 = $60 KEENELAND POST-SCRATCHES 7th: MSW, 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super) Note Pletcher debuter #6 Tetelestai (9-2) out of MSW mare Starry Dreamer who has produced litany of stakes runners including Ecclesiastic, War Front, Teammate and Riviera Cocktail.. Most Likely: #2 Leading Candidate 7-2 2nd Best Value: #8 McCandy Man 15-1 7th Next Best: #3 New Pais 5-2 WON Super Add: #6 Telestai 9-2 5th 8th: ALW/C, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Best Value: #2 You Go West Girl 4-1 3rd Most Likely: #5 Rainbow View 7-5 WON Next Best: #6 My Baby Baby 4-1 2nd 9th: Doubledogdare (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Striking Dancer 2-1 3rd Exotics Use: #2 Funny Moon 3-1 2nd 10th: CLM, 4+, 8.5f (Super, Super High 5) Most Likely: #12 Forchtenberg 9-2 8th Next Best: #10 Smarmy 7-2 4th Best Value: #5 Amanofhisword 30-1 9th Exotics Use: #11 Cabazon 12-1 3rd High 5 Play: #2 Cruzatte 5-1 2nd <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-3-6-8 8: 2-5-6 9: 3-6 10: 2-5-10-11-12 4x3x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60 Good luck! Steve
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 04-16-2010 at 04:51 PM. 
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#2
04-16-2010, 10:17 AM
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Keeneland changes- 4/16
1st Race
#1A--Tribal Strike--SCRATCH 2nd Race #3--Colors Flying--SCRATCH NO SUPERFECTA WAGERING 3rd Race #2--Turbo Justice--Jockey change to Rex Stokes III 4th Race #1--Patti's Kitten--SCRATCH #8--Chef Eric--SCRATCH 5th Race #9--Aurora Ice--SCRATCH 6th Race -- NO CHANGES 7th Race #9--Grand Reality--Will race with Lasix and Adjunct 8th Race #1--Danzon--SCRATCH #3--War Tigress--SCRATCH NO SUPERFECTA WAGERING 9th Race -- Doubledogdare (G3) #5--Unforgotten--SCRATCH #6--Starship Angel--SCRATCH NO SUPERFECTA WAGERING 10th Race #6--Brokerage House--SCRATCH #7--Royal Jabar--SCRATCH
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#4
04-16-2010, 10:33 AM
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AQU SCR/CHG'S
4TH 3 Ommadon's Angel Early 6 Best Note Early 10 Downtown Hottie Early 5TH 1A Lion's Lair Early 7 Psychotic Summer Early 8TH 3 Spring Elusion Early NO SHOW or TRIFECTA 9TH 2B Whateverittakes Early 13 Raffinator Early
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
04-16-2010, 10:53 AM
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Strong south wind today in Lexington, which has correlated to closers doing well. Keep this in mind when handicapping.
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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