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Old 03-28-2010, 10:42 PM
The Indomitable DrugS's Avatar
The Indomitable DrugS The Indomitable DrugS is offline
Flemington
 
Join Date: Dec 2006
Posts: 11,007
Default The true graveyard of Favorites

Keeneland synthetic.

Since going Poly, favorites are just 9-for-66 in stakes races and 3-for-38 in stakes routes.

You have to be out of your mind to take a short price on something unless it's proven to produce its best form over this track. The record of So. Cal synthetic specialists who ship in and get bet is pretty dreadful.

The type of favorite you might not want to try as hard to beat is the debuting favorite in one of those 4.5f baby races. They have won 11 of 19 since 2008 .. for a 58% win rate.

Also 38 for 85 (45% wins) in 4.5f races this past decade when it was a dirt track.
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