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#1
11-22-2009, 06:58 AM
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11/22: Aqueduct ($44k C/O)
Took offbeat approaches to the P4 opps Saturday, and bad structure cost me a particularly big payoff at Aqueduct. There were a few premises going into the sequence including seeming certainty Academy Run in the 9th, a likely winner in the Discovery in Gone Astray, a wide open turf ALW in the 7th and a confusing MSW in the 6th.
Tried a $2 6x6x1x1 gambit looking to survive the 6th and catch a price in the 7th. But the MSW turned out to be straightforward, and going wide there proved costly when plausible Haynesfield upset Gone Astray in the feature. Codeword ($40) had ideally juiced up the skien in 7th, so when Academy Run came through to end the day, a $2,276 Pick 4 prize was waiting for game gauntlet goers. That was a fine reward for the sequence. At Churchill, the AE draw-in upsetter Flavor ($39.60) quashed my pressing try of what looked like a very chalky quartet. To be honest, at least to me, the $444 P4 return doesn't seem worth the kind of investment it would have taken to get the Joe Woodard trainee on your ticket after $5 Jackpot Joanie, $3.40 Custom for Carlos and $9.40 Acoma. So all in all, a frustrating Saturday... Hope you did OK despite my miscues. $44,700 carryover at the Big A Sunday which is my focus... There is a $21k sextet pot building at Churchill too. AQUEDUCT PRE-SCRATCHES 4th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P6, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #3 Wild News 9-5 WON ($2.90) Best Value: #6 Victoria Lynn 12-1 6th Next Best: #2 Capitalism at Risk 4-1 7th Super Add: #4 Seville 6-1 8th 5th: NYB-MDN CLM, F&M-3+, 6f (G/S, P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #10 Idle Gossip 8-5 WON ($2.70) Best Value: #5 Triple Double Kidd 12-1 5th Next Best: #8 Picnic Rock 3-1 7th Super Add: #11 Out Nice Them 5-1 5th 6th: NYB-MSW, 2yo, 6f (P4, P3, DD) Best Value: #5 Early Argument 6-1 6th Most Likely: #4 Thousand Excuses 5-1 5th Next Best: #10 One Nice Cat 3-1 WON ($9.90) Exotics Use: #12 Johannesburg Smile 8-1 4th 7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 8.5f-T (P3, DD, Super) Most Likely: #4 Paniolo 5-1 7th Best Value: #2 See the U.S.A. 10-1 9th Next Best: #1 Trippo 3-1 2nd Super Add: #9 Mr. Vegas 15-1 WON ($19.20) 8th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (DD, Super) Most Likely: #8 Stevil 3-1 5th Best Value: #7 East End Trap 20-1 3rd Next Best: #5 Brady Baby 7-2 2nd Super Add: #4 Free Country 5-1 9th 9th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 1m-T (Super) Most Likely: #3 Lady's Wish 3-1 WON Next Best: #6 Dr Paula Moynahan 5-1 Exotics Use: #1e Rice entry 2-1 2nd Best Value: #10 Mynia 15-1 <$200 P6 Play: 4: 3 5: 10 6: 3-4-5-6-10-12 7: 2-4 8: 7-8 9: 1-3-6-10 1x1x6x2x2x4 = 96 x $2 = $192 <$75 P4 Play: 6: 4-5-10-12 7: 2-4 8: 7-8 9: 1-3-6-10 4x2x2x4 = $64 Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. Last edited by Kasept : 11-22-2009 at 03:16 PM. 
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#2
11-22-2009, 10:27 AM
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AQU ACR/CHG'S:
http://www.equibase.com/premium/changes/AQU-changes.asp FAST & SOFT 5TH 13 Jen's Dream Early 14 Big City Woman Early 15 Green Arrows Early 16 Mia's Blaze Early 6TH 1 (poe) Long Island Louie Early 2 Artifice Early 9 My Friend Sandy Early 7TH 1A Golly Day Early 7 Idol Image Early 11 Middle of the Nite Early 9TH 2B Worth a Shot Early 11 Lovely Promise Early 12 Maria's Moon Early 13 Dear Contender Early 14 Stayawaystella Early
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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#5
11-22-2009, 12:51 PM
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pic 6 on the cheap
3/10/6,10/1,4/5,8/3,6
gl all
__________________
Ron Thompson   Avatar is Invasor in his stall/Post Classic taken by my trusty cell phone camera. Last edited by Handicappy : 11-22-2009 at 03:54 PM.
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#7
11-22-2009, 05:42 PM
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#8
11-22-2009, 07:24 PM
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#9
11-23-2009, 04:05 AM
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Linear Mode
