4/16: Keeneland (P4); Santa Anita (C/O)

[Kasept]

Thought I was on to a potentially nice P4 run Wednesday at KEE when wide net in the opener caught one of several several big prices on the afternoon. But the tricky sequence dashed hopes immediately after, and lone solace was the 6th race exotics. Hope you did OK. Trying again today, plus there is a nice Carryover to attack at Santa Anita...


KEENELAND


PRE-SCRATCHES


6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 7f (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #5 Waccamaw 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #8 I'm From Dixie 5-1 3rd
Best Value: #3 Nicole's Passion 10-1 9th
Super Add: #11 She's From Queens 6-1 7th


7th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 9f (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #4 Syriana's Song 5-1 2nd
Most Likely: #2 Venetian Causeway 5-2 WON
Next Best: #1 Dress Parade 5-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Sweet Tune 6-1 6th


8th: 21st Appalachian (Gr. III), 3yo-F, 1m-T (DD, Super)

Terrific betting race..

Best Value: #9 Obsequious 6-1 7th
Most Likely: #10 SCR
Next Best: #7 Simplify 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Hot Cha Cha 8-1 2nd
Super Add: #5 Abbott Hall 8-1 5th


9th: MDN CLM, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #1 Sharpsburg Shuffle 3-1 WON
Best Value: #9 Prime Choice 15-1 3rd
Next Best: #7 Safety Call 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #3 Forest Tour 5-1 8th
High 5 Play: #10 Cowboy at Heart 6-1 4th


<$75 P4 Play:

6: 5-8
7: 1-2-3-4-7
8: 4-5-7-9-10
9: 1-7-9

2x5x5x3 = 150 x .50 = $75



SANTA ANITA


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: CLM, 3yo, 6f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Omega Minister 5-2 WON
Best Value: #7 Coastal Souvenir 6-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Mt. Davidson 6-1 5th


4th: CLM, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Satellite 3-1 WON
Best Value: #7 Spot the Diplomat 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #2 My Friend Luis 7-2 4th

$1 Exacta (3-7) Paid $26.20


5th: CLM, F&M-4+, 6.5f-DHT (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #3 Pat the Cool Cat 5-2 WON
Best Value: #4 SCR
Next Best: #5 That's Hot 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #8 SCR


6th: CLM, F&M-4+, 1m (P3, DD, Super)

Best Value: #3 Zaya 10-1 4th
Most Likely: #7 Mud Sweat 'n Tears 2-1 7th
Next Best: #4 Sam's Queen 5-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Red Neck Gal 6-1 3rd


7th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 6.5f-DHT (DD)

Most Likely: #7 ON APPROVAL 7-2 4th
Best Value: #2 Wind Caper 15-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Starlarks 5-2 2nd


8th: MDN CLM, 3yo, 1m (Super High 5)

Most Likely: #4 Afleet Magic 8-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Action in May 7-2 6th
Best Value: #10 Astoria Renter 15-1 10th
Exotics Use: #1 Sunday Paper 10-1 9th
High 5 Play: #2 Manifest Destiny 6-1 4th


<$300 P6 Play:

3: 5-6-7
4: 2-3-7
5: 3-4/SCR
6: 3-7
7: 7
8: 4-8

3x3x(1+SCR)x2x1x2 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 3-(4/SCR)-5
6: 1-3-4-7
7: 2-7
8: 4-8-10

2x4x2x3 = $48


Good luck!
Steve