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#1
11-14-2008, 07:19 AM
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11/14: Fair Grounds (7th-10th)
Fair Grounds and NOLA returns to the racing landscape today, and its' widespread ADW availability on Xpressbet, TwinSpires and YouBet comes at a perfect time. With Churchill and Hollywood largely unavailable, Fair Grounds stands to be a beneficiary of horseplayers' attention. On this topic, as I wrote this morning at Derby Trail, do not miss Matt Hegarty's take on latest ADW developments...
http://www.drf.com/news/article/99904.html If the THG (Thoroughbred Horsemen's Group) and TrackNet reach a long term accord, TVG is a chicken-in-a-pot. TrackNet must finally have gotten the green light from CDI to talk to THG after nearly a year of standoffishness by Louisville. If it comes off, the THG has proven for horsemen and owners that there was indeed strength in numbers and solidarity to be had by standing together.. Not to throw TVG under the bus, but a TrackNet-THG accord would go a long way towards solving the frequent stalemates the platforms have had the last 36 months. There is still the matter, as Hegarty touches upon, of the state statutes that inhibit equitable deal-making for the parties, but that has to be addressed seperately. As to today, racing at the Fair Grounds is unique, much like New Orleans itself. Exceptionally long stretch runs on the main and grass course provide closers the best opportunity anywhere to make up margins. Bob Fortus of the Times-Picayune offered this FG Preview this week: http://www.nola.com/sports/t-p/horse...920.xml&coll=1 FAIR GROUNDS PRE-SCRATCHES 7th: OC/N2X, 3+, 1m (.50 P4, Super) Most Likely: #2 Tend 3-1 Best Value: #7 Gowden Mile 8-1 Next Best: #3 Southern Style 8-1 Exotics Use: #10 Inner Light 4-1 8th: Blushing K. D. Handicap, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P3, Super) #8 Tears I Cry is the utter definition of a key horse. Priced delightully and every bit as eligible as the top choices to win.. Favored Stormy West has run exactly ONE race in her career that is fast enough to win clear here: Use her in exotics and multis because she can win, but she could just as easily run well and be 5th.. Best Value: #8 TEARS I CRY 8-1 Next Best: #11 Tortuga Flats 6-1 Exotics Use: #5 Love to Tell 15-1 Super Add: #3 Barbette 12-1 .10 SUPER PLAY: Key 8 1st/2nd/3rd with 2-3-5-7-11 (1x5x4x3 = 60 x 3 = 180 x .10 = $18.00) 9th: Si Cima, F&M-3+, 8.5f (DD, Super) Most Likely: #1 Lew's Grey 3-1 Best Value: #8 Go Atm 8-1 Next Best: #2 Collectzcat 9-5 Exotics Use: #7 Cutie Sabrina 12-1 10th: MSW, 3-5yo, 8.5f-T (Super) Most Likely: #2 Holy Humor 9-2 Best Value: #10 Joe's Irish Outlaw 10-1 Next Best: #7 Sir Mott 4-1 Exotics Use: #12 Isle of Giant's 7-2 <$75 P4 Play: 7: 2-3-7 8: 8-11 9: 1-2-8 10: 2-7-10-12 3x2x3x4 = $72 (or $36 for .50) Good luck! Steve
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984. 
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#2
11-14-2008, 08:06 AM
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Steve-
We can only hope that they stay on the turf as LOVE TO TELL is a solid play at or around the morning line. She ran a much harder race in the River Cities than it looks and I can tell you Mike Burgess was very disappointed when they came off the track. He thought the ride was a tad impatient and that the post hurt. NT
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#3
11-14-2008, 09:57 AM
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Steve,
Taking your selections with me, thanks, haven't even looked at the pp's yet..  but very excited for opening day. Almost 400k up for grabs today. Have had intermittent showers this am, probably not enough to take us off the turf unless it rains alot more...70 degrees and pleasant. Scattered showers predicted during the day, but it's not heavy rain yet. Good luck to those playing...I'm off to the track!! 
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#4
11-14-2008, 10:46 AM
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Quote:
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#5
11-14-2008, 11:04 AM
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Race 7 - SCRATCH #9 British Medium
Race 8 - No changes Race 9 - SCRATCHES #4 Royal Madame, #9 My Friend Bele Race 10 - No changes
__________________
All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command. ~ George Orwell, 1984.
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