This Crop

[justindew]

Do any of you think it is fair to start judging this crop of three-year-olds? It seems like three horses have clearly established themselves as the best of the group to this point, but how do they stack up against the best from previous years? And what about every horse not named Street Sense, Hard Spun, or Curlin?

My feeling is that the group as a whole is sub-par, and that could have something to do with why we have seen the same three horses complete the trifecta in the Derby and the Preakness. Furthermore, the relative mediocrity of the entire group could explain why so many historical trends were defied this year. Curlin has been able to do what he has done in such a short period of time. Street Sense was able to win the Derby with two preps, and as the BC Juvenile winner. Hard Spun has run two huge races after running fast fractions early.

Coming up, we have the Jim Dandy, the Haskell, and the Travers. At this point, it looks like Street Sense, Curlin, and Hard Spun are expected to be the main threats to win those races. Maybe Chelokee can add his name to the list, or maybe not.

Finally, just how good are the top three? Don't jump down my throat for saying this, but really good horses don't usually relinquish the lead after they get it. Steve has made good points about the fast internal fractions that Street Sense ran, but I still feel like he gave up, and it was very disappointing to me. Curlin and Hard Spun both ran great races, and I hope we get to see all three face each other again.