3/15: Gulfstream (Carryover)

[Kasept]

Bizarre afternoon Wednesday at Aqueduct with the first half of the card producing a wipeout and the second half four straight on-top winners. The P4paid next to nothing, but a superfecta score in the nightcap helped the bankroll. Hope you did OK...

$54k carryover at Gulfstream Thursday.. the Ides of March.

GULFSTREAM

POST-SCRATCHES.. SUPERS IN ALL RACES..

4th: CLM/N2L, 4+, 6f (DD, P3, P6)

1. #4 Makers On My Mind 3-1: Great meet for Pecararo
2. #2 D. J. Best 6-1: Back figs and Plesa strong with comebackers WON
A. #5 Eager Genius 5-1: Cuts back with Corny; 1st off claim
B. #1 Ultimate 5-2: Goes first tag for Salinas 2nd

$2 Exacta 2-1 $64.80


5th: MDN CLM, 4yo, 8.5f-T (DD, P3)

Not utilizing Pletcher (#10) in picks, but be aware of him as you may need to include in multis..

1. #1 Affect 6-1: Mott adds Cruz (40% meet)
2. #12 John's Song 4-1: Best tries have been on lawn; Edgar jumps on
A. #9 Coburn 8-1: Edgar exits for the #12, but Motion FR-bred intrigues
B. #5 Judd 7-2: Reaction candidate but respect Margolis & 'Fast Eddie'

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #7 Festival Hall: Famed goofball horse from Russo's Saratoga shedrow


6th: CLM, 4+, 6f (DD, P#, P4)

1. #3 Island Sky 6-1: Pilotti gelding ran big two back WON
2. #7 SCRATCHED
A. #5 Somethingdangerous 3-1: Vies for lead with 'Miami'
B. #4 Spirit of Miami 8-1: Graci-Cruz hit board regularly with prices


7th: ALW/N3X, 4+, 1m-T (DD, P3)

1. #6 Sinkwich 5-1: Alexander always a threat; Stretches with JV
2. #2 Amenable 4-1: Goldberg's Swain bay can sit trip 3rd/layoff
A. #4 Baron Von Tap 3-1: Tesher PTap 6yo chased TBD stakes foes
B. #3 Lewis Michael 2-1: Sure to be overbet and no better than several WON


8th: CLM, 3yo-F, 6.5f (DD)

1. #3 Unbiased 9-5: Hard to find fault with Capuano Brahms miss
2. #7 Snow Way 8-1: Rogers runners have been solid all meet; Jara sticks 2nd
A. #8 Swing Lane 6-1: Will get front end company from rail red 3rd
B. #5 Appealing Runner 5-1: Moderatly appealing anyway 4th


9th: CLM, 4+, 9f-T

1. #8 Mystery Prospect 4-1: Seems intended to break Oliveres' 0-fer
2. #4 Grand Heritage 3-1: 3 for 7 over course and Bejarano knows him WON
A. #10 Verdant Springs 6-1: Return to lawn and Edgar woke him up 2nd
B. #1 Roll Your Own 5-1: Consistant 6yo from Lake saves the ground

LONGSHOT/EXOTICS ADD: #6 Wilentz 10-1: Orseno gelding fast enough if lawn to his liking


<$150 P6 Play:

4: 1-2-4
5: 1-5-12
6: 3
7: 2-3-4-6
8: 3-7
9: 8

3x3x1x4x2x1 = 72 x $2 = $144


<$50 P4 Play:

6: 3-5
7: 2-3-4-6
8: 3-7
9: 1-8-10

2x4x2x3 = $48


Good luck!
Steve

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by Kasept

7th: ALW/N3X, 4+, 1m-T (DD, P3)

1. #6 Sinkwich 5-1: Alexander always a threat; Stretches with JV
2. #2 Amenable 4-1: Goldberg's Swain bay can sit trip 3rd/layoff
A. #4 Baron Von Tap 3-1: Tesher PTap 6yo chased TBD stakes foes
B. #3 Lewis Michael 2-1: Sure to be overbet and no better than several

Regardless of how much I love any horse in this family -- I think Lewis Michael is a big stand-against today in most wagers except wider multi-race wagers.

He's got the class to dispatch these, but a look back at his turf form only lands him a slice on the lower rungs. Perhaps his class will carry him here, and he's tractable enough, but I don't like him in this spot one bit.

Put it on the dirt and he romps.

[Hickory Hill Hoff]

7th: ALW/N3X, 4+, 1m-T (DD, P3)

1. #6 Sinkwich 5-1: Alexander always a threat; Stretches with JV
2. #2 Amenable 4-1: Goldberg's Swain bay can sit trip 3rd/layoff
A. #4 Baron Von Tap 3-1: Tesher PTap 6yo chased TBD stakes foes
B. #3 Lewis Michael 2-1: Sure to be overbet and no better than several

Kinda like the #1 Classic Fran a bit..."Baron" showed a new running style in last, but two of his three lifetime victories are at the Spa.
Will be using the #2 and #3 also

[hockey2315]

Steve how do you feel about Trippi's Storm in the 5th?

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Steve how do you feel about Trippi's Storm in the 5th?

Hock..

Funny anout him.. This is an odd and difficult race and I looked long and hard at Trippi's Storm here as a possible alternative. First, Trippi's don't turf much or well, and Hough is dreadful moving horses over from the main. (Though hw has been working him on the lawn since his last effort and must like what he sees). But add in the stretchout and there was a lot not to like.

Early on when I started getting into horses, someone told me or I read that it's a caution to bet on horses being asked to do something for the first time. It has always stayed with me and it applies in this case. While not without a chance to do something here, we'd be asking Trippi's Storm to do some things he's never demonstrated he can do before and the odds we get for doing so appear short versus several other options...

[hockey2315]

Thanks for the input. . .

[Kasept]

Gulf Changes..

-----RACE ----HORSE ------

1 SCR. #4 SENSATIONAL NOTE
1 #5 FIRST TIME LASIX

5 SCR. #13 SILVER HEIST
5 SCR. #14 MAYBE YES MAYBE NO

6 SCR. # 7 G P'S BLACK KNIGHT

8 SCR. #1 HONEY DO THIS

9 SCR. #5 THE MOVE MAN
9 SCR. # 11 THANKUBELLAGIO
9 JOCKEY # 12 TRUJILLO, E.

[brianwspencer]

I like Right Hand Red in there at what might be a pretty sweet double-digit price.

He's a half to Foxzy Lady who was an 11-time winner, and sire Crowd Pleaser was pretty imposing on the grass himself.

Sheppard has palatable stats with firsters, and some good numbers in the five times he's asked Trujillo to ride.

Wouldn't be surprised to see him need a race or two, but I figure there could be some decent value on him and he could very well make an impact here.

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Steve how do you feel about Trippi's Storm in the 5th?

LOL.. Unbelievable.. Easily the best. Hope I didn't ward you off him...

[hockey2315]

Good thing I'm stubborn. . . played him the same way I originally planned on. .

[Kasept]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Good thing I'm stubborn. . . played him the same way I originally planned on. .

Good work! And now I can envision getting the next 4 in P6 and being sick you didn't motivate me to use him...

[pmacdaddy]

Nice work in the 5th Hockey.

Now let's get this late pick4...

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by hockey2315

Good thing I'm stubborn. . . played him the same way I originally planned on. .

Good for you! Nice hit.

The talent was there from back when that one was racing, but there were a ton of questions as Steve pointed out.

Great way to stick to your original instinct.

[Grits]

Originally Posted by Kasept

LOL.. Unbelievable.. Easily the best. Hope I didn't ward you off him...

I'm laughing at this because I have a thing for Trippis. I have them in my stable alert eveyday. Only sire in my stable alert--all trainers, otherwise.

[hockey2315]

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

Regardless of how much I love any horse in this family -- I think Lewis Michael is a big stand-against today in most wagers except wider multi-race wagers.

He's got the class to dispatch these, but a look back at his turf form only lands him a slice on the lower rungs. Perhaps his class will carry him here, and he's tractable enough, but I don't like him in this spot one bit.

Put it on the dirt and he romps.

I can't believe the public is being smart enough to stay away from this one a little bit. . . If anyone was going to get bet down to 3/5 I'd expect it to be him (even though BVT is the deserving fave)

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by brianwspencer

Regardless of how much I love any horse in this family -- I think Lewis Michael is a big stand-against today in most wagers except wider multi-race wagers.

He's got the class to dispatch these, but a look back at his turf form only lands him a slice on the lower rungs. Perhaps his class will carry him here, and he's tractable enough, but I don't like him in this spot one bit.

Put it on the dirt and he romps.

Figures. Just watched the replay too -- and he did it with something to spare late which was good to see. Nobody was coming for him until Douglas held him up.