8/13: Saratoga (Day 25; $158k P6 C/O)

[Kasept]

SARATOGA


POST-SCRATCHES


3rd: NY-MSW, 2yo-F, 8.5f-Inner (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 My Devine One 9-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 Rizz 5-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Princess Celine 7-2 6th
Exotics Use: #9 Rocket Robin 8-1 7th


4th: OC/N2X, 3+, 7f (P6, P3, DD)

$158,820 P6 C/O starts here..

Most Likely: #5 Gun Party 4-5: WON ($4.10) Horse to beat at short number, but hardly invincible..
Best Value: #6 Stowaway 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #3 Eliminate 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #1 Drake's Passage 3-1 3rd


5th: CLM, 3+, 7f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Both entries have merit, but Fromanothamutha turns back off the claim while adding blinks. Lots to like at 9/2..

Best Value: #3 Fromanothamutha 9-2 6th
Next Best: #2b Breslau 7-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Call Me Fast 7-2 3rd


6th: NY-MCLM, 3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Out of the Fog 9-2 2nd ~ DePaula Play of the Day
Next Best: #5 Pandemic Hero 9-2 WON ($8.30)
Exotics Use: #7 Orie 2-1 4th
Super Add: #3 Pazz the Soy Sauce 8-5 3rd


P4 Grid:

3: 5-6-7 (A), 4-8-9 (B), - (C)
4: 5-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12


7th: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 6.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Melle Mel 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Next Best: #8 Spirit of Esther 7-2 5th


8th: NY Stallion Series-R, 3yo-F, 1m-Inner (DD)

Really fun group..

Best Value: #7 Blossoming Erudite 12-1 7th
Next Best: #5 Boston's Phinest 5-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Hangover Heaven 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #1 Disco Star 5-2 4th


9th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T

#12-AE Keto Drink, whom Shug expects to win, is entered back in Saturday's 6th..

Most Likely: #4 Bint Mischief 4-1: Walden (and JV) sounded excited about prospects Tuesday on ATR..
Best Value: #9 Two Bits 6-1
Next Best: #10 Lit Ship 7-2
Exotics Use: #6 Delightful Darling 3-1


P5 Grid:

4: 5-6 (A), 3 (B), - (C)
5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 6 (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), - (B), 9 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x2x3x1 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x2x2x1 = $32
Backup (AAACA): 2x2x3x1x1 = 12 x .50 = $6


P5 Grid:

5: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-7 (A), 1-3-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4 (A), 9 (B), 10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x3x6x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x2x3x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (10 in 9th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-5 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 7-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 5-6-7 (A), 1-3-8 (B), - (C)
9: 4-9 (A), - (B), 6-10 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x6x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (6-10 in 9th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve