6/18: Hollywood ($125k C/O)

[Kasept]

Was rolling through the Belmont card adroitly Wednesday before the tricky 7th (Titan of Industry) stopped my run. Previously though, the $240+ early P4 was a winner for $48 which more or less guaranteed a profit for the afternoon. The P4 was nearly a bigger score with 2nd choice (Best Value) Thunder Minister coming agonizingly close to catching top tab (Most Likely) Lemon Shore. Thunder Minister was 18-1 and would have tripled the Quad payout. The $56 exacta ($1) was OK.

Tagg-Lael's Rollers, in whom I had no interest, blew out the feature, recapturing some of his lost luster from recent outings. The nightcap saw top pick (Most Likely) Chick in Slacks taken down in favor of the third choice (Next Best) Pea Stone from Bruce Levine and prominent Albany, NY area owner Roddy Valente. Behind those two came Nurse Kiki (Super Add) and American Prayer (Best Value as 1st time turf from Tom Bush), for all the necessary elements of the $381 Super ($1).

Hope you did well Wednesday... $125k Carryover at Hollywood this afternoon as weather turns nasty in the Eastern half of the country for the duration of the week (!).


HOLLYWOOD PARK


PRE-SCRATCHES


3rd: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Smooth Performer 3-1: Likely fastest if set off break.. 5th
Best Value: #3 Life by R R 6-1: 3rd off break; Note MDN win this oval.. 4th
Next Best: #6 Birdie Birdie 2-1: Canani miss exits hot set; Must improve.. 6th
Exotics Use: #7 Tidal Dance 15-1: 2nd/layoff; Fast CRC races noted.. WON


4th: Cal-MDN CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #8 Papoose La Moose 4-1 7th
Best Value: #7 Al N Con 5-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Practical Magic 7-2 5th
Super Add: #1 Free Lunch 12-1 4th


5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #6 Dailies 4-1: Walsh moves improving Arch filly up again.. 6th
Best Value: #1 Andalacia 12-1: Gallagher good 2nd Lasix with imports.. 2nd
Next Best: #8 Hameilaeme 5-2 WON
Super Add: #3 Always Auditioning 3-1 4th


6th: S/ALW, F&M-3+, 6f (P3, DD, Super)

Most Likely: #9 Spacy Tracy 9-2: Aced diploma with big fig off long break.. 2nd
Next Best: #1 Sweetpea 5-2: Mullins miss got rest off blowout MDN score.. WON
Best Value: #5 Martini Mixer 8-1 4th
Super Add: #2 Joint Agreement 8-1 5th


7th: Robert Kerlan Memorial H., 3+, 6f-T (DD, Super)

Terrific minor stake as feature with well-matched cast of characters; Look for prices in the exotics mix..

Most Likely: #2 Delta Storm 3-1: Working sharp for seasonal debut.. WON
Best Value: #4 Wild Diplomat 15-1: Overlaid gelding can stalk and go.. 4th
Next Best: #5 Candy Pull 12-1: Better on Holly lawn than down SA hill.. 3rd
Super Add: #6 Nericon King 20-1: Aussie invader in care of slickster.. 8th


8th: CLM/N2L, 3+, 6f (Super, Super High 5)

Most Likely: #15 Senor Afortunado 3-1 WON
Best Value: #12 Flatter Me Again 20-1
Next Best: #6 Magna Cum Laude 8-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #7 All Money No Love 5-2
High 5 Play: #9 Don't Forget Muq 12-1 3rd


<$300 P6 Play:

3: 2-3-4-5-6-7
4: 7-8
5: 1-6
6: 1-9
7: 2
8: 6-12-15

6x2x2x2x1x3 = 144 x $2 = $288


<$75 P4 Play:

5: 1-3-6-8
6: 1-9
7: 2-4-5
8: 6-12-15

4x2x3x3 = $72 $1 Pick 4 (8/1,6/2/4,15,16) Paid $113.50


Good luck!
Steve