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  #1  
Old 06-11-2008, 10:31 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
Churchill Downs
 
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Default Pick 4

I think im going to go pick 4 crazy untill i hit one, i just got done handicapping and here is what i have for thursday... good luck everyone

Belmont

early.......2,3,4/2,6/2,3/1,6,9......$36
late........3,4,5/5/2,4,7,9/2,6,8.......$36

Churchill

early.....1,4/1,2,6/2,3/6.....$12
late......6,7,8/4,5,6/1/2,5,8,10.........$36
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  #2  
Old 06-11-2008, 10:40 PM
Scav Scav is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jcs11204
I think im going to go pick 4 crazy untill i hit one, i just got done handicapping and here is what i have for thursday... good luck everyone

Belmont

early.......2,3,4/2,6/2,3/1,6,9......$36
late........3,4,5/5/2,4,7,9/2,6,8.......$36

Churchill

early.....1,4/1,2,6/2,3/6.....$12
late......6,7,8/4,5,6/1/2,5,8,10.........$36
If you typed/acted like this more often, you would get some credibility...good job
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  #3  
Old 06-11-2008, 10:45 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Scav
If you typed/acted like this more often, you would get some credibility...good job
thanks man, im just trying to become a better handicapper.
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  #4  
Old 06-12-2008, 12:28 AM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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I recommend watching the board in the 2nd before deciding on what firsters to use. . .
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  #5  
Old 06-12-2008, 12:31 AM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
I recommend watching the board in the 2nd before deciding on what firsters to use. . .
i know what your saying, but sometimes that works against you. there have been plenty of times, especially at the spa, where i have liked horses, changed because of odds, and lost. the original horse you like seems to win, im happy with my 3, plus i cant wait and see the odds, i have a meeting tomorrow at work, i have to put these all in around noon.
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  #6  
Old 06-12-2008, 12:33 AM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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why are you awake at 133 am ?
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  #7  
Old 06-12-2008, 12:34 AM
hockey2315 hockey2315 is offline
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I don't sleep much and I don't have to get up early. . .
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  #8  
Old 06-12-2008, 12:36 AM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by hockey2315
I don't sleep much and i'm not working right now. . .
i should be sleeping, but i bought into a tourny on pokerstars.com at 11, and im still in, not even in the money yet though.
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  #9  
Old 06-12-2008, 12:43 AM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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now im out, kings cracked... jacks.. JOKE
GOODNIGHT AND GOOD LUCK TOMORROW
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  #10  
Old 06-12-2008, 05:29 AM
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zippyneedsawin zippyneedsawin is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jcs11204
i know what your saying, but sometimes that works against you. there have been plenty of times, especially at the spa, where i have liked horses, changed because of odds, and lost. the original horse you like seems to win, im happy with my 3, plus i cant wait and see the odds, i have a meeting tomorrow at work, i have to put these all in around noon.
I understand what you mean, but if a horse you don't have gets pounded down to even money, I know I would be second guessing myself if I don't have the horse.
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  #11  
Old 06-12-2008, 07:42 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by jcs11204
I think im going to go pick 4 crazy untill i hit one, i just got done handicapping and here is what i have for thursday... good luck everyone

Belmont

early.......2,3,4/2,6/2,3/1,6,9......$36
late........3,4,5/5/2,4,7,9/2,6,8.......$36

Churchill

early.....1,4/1,2,6/2,3/6.....$12
late......6,7,8/4,5,6/1/2,5,8,10.........$36
Word of advice, especially after yesterday... it is VERY difficult to hit P4's on a $36 budget. Why not take the $120 you have here and play it on the one you like best of the four? For example, you caught a nice bomb in the first leg of the P4 yesterday, but were too thin to complete the sequence which cost dearly.

Quote:
Originally Posted by zippyneedsawin
I understand what you mean, but if a horse you don't have gets pounded down to even money, I know I would be second guessing myself if I don't have the horse.
I like JCS' strategy here on firsters. If I like a firster and he drifts up, especially from lesser connections, I wouldn't take him out of my play. If a Pletcher firster I don't necessarily like gets pounded to 6/5 I'm not going to add him just because of that.

The one thing I'll add to that is if a firster from very obscure connections gets hammered I'll rethink to add. Once or twice a year at SAR some Finger Lakes based trainer will get a hot NYB.
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  #12  
Old 06-12-2008, 10:01 AM
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Bigsmc Bigsmc is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by philcski
I like JCS' strategy here on firsters. If I like a firster and he drifts up, especially from lesser connections, I wouldn't take him out of my play. If a Pletcher firster I don't necessarily like gets pounded to 6/5 I'm not going to add him just because of that.

The one thing I'll add to that is if a firster from very obscure connections gets hammered I'll rethink to add. Once or twice a year at SAR some Finger Lakes based trainer will get a hot NYB.
My strategy to a T. I do not allow myself to get swayed off a firster I like.

Because I almost exclusively play horozontally, I rarely check the win odds. I often find myself scrambling to find win odds mid-race because I never took the time to look between races.

Advice to JCS, if you are having that much difficulty with P4's, scale it back to P3's and DD's. It almost seems like you have jumped in the deep end before you learned to swim. If you are looking for books other than Christ's to help formulate tickets, it's time to take a step back and hit the basics of handicapping. String together some good days hitting DD's and P3's before jumping at every P4 that comes down the pike.
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  #13  
Old 06-12-2008, 12:54 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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ok, maybe im missing something here, but i am shocked that gold and rosses is 5-1 with 11 min to post... he should get a amazing setup and since im done in the pick 4.... i put a pick 3 in

$2 pick 3 wheel

2/1,2,3,9/1,6,9......$24 total good luck
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  #14  
Old 06-12-2008, 01:06 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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ok now im done.. i will just let my other plays ride... good luck everyone
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  #15  
Old 06-12-2008, 02:44 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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def. chasing a bit now...
belmont 7th

3$ pick 3 wheel

5/2,4,7,9/2,6,8
36 total good luck
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  #16  
Old 06-12-2008, 03:54 PM
jcs11204 jcs11204 is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I know you don't want to hear this, but maybe it's time for a break. Or at the least take the very good advice that Phil gave you. But a break might be better.
your right, i have a lot of other **** going on and im betting, and getting knocked out, and then betting more.
i am going to take my time and re-read the book and break for a week or whatever
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  #17  
Old 06-12-2008, 04:22 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Nice restraint on my part, staying away from Tessitura.

Once was enough with her.
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  #18  
Old 06-12-2008, 04:22 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Are they ever going to run a turf sprint at Belmont one of these days?
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  #19  
Old 06-12-2008, 04:25 PM
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the_fat_man the_fat_man is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ateamstupid
Are they ever going to run a turf sprint at Belmont one of these days?
They can keep running all the 6F races they want. I just wish that Campo hadn't thrown in all those impossible 7F races.

I need an editor.
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  #20  
Old 06-12-2008, 04:25 PM
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ateamstupid ateamstupid is offline
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Quote:
Originally Posted by the_fat_man
There can keep running all the 6F races they want. I just wish that Campo hadn't made it that much harder by throwing in all those 7F races.
I know, I'm not exactly complaining, it just seems excessive.
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