First set of KY Derby odds from Battaglia

[whodey17]

Curlin 7-2
Street Sense 4-1
Circular Quay 8-1
Nobiz Like Shobiz 8-1
Scat Daddy 10-1
Any Given Saturday 12-1
Hard Spun 15-1
Great Hunter 15-1
Tiago 15-1
Sam P. 20-1
Cowtown Cat 20-1
Dominican 20-1
Liquidity 30-1
Storm in May 30-1
Teuflesberg 30-1
Zanjero 30-1
Stormello 30-1
Sedgefield 50-1
Bwana Bull 50-1
Imawildandcrazyguy 50-1

[Cajungator26]

I can only hope that Scat Daddy is 10-1. *Fingers crossed.*

[Scurlogue Champ]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

I can only hope that Scat Daddy is 10-1. *Fingers crossed.*

Likewise

[jpops757]

No biggie . I wonder the big differance between AGS and SS. I think most of the 10-15/1s will drop a little and the 2 shorter odds colts will creep up. Maybe I give AGS to much credit for his stretch duel with SS.

[randallscott35]

Cajun, you will get your 10-1. Maybe 15-1. Trust me.

[cakes44]

The biggest differences between SS and AGS will be post position and SS's affinity for Churchill.

[Buffymommy]

Originally Posted by Cajungator26

I can only hope that Scat Daddy is 10-1. *Fingers crossed.*

I was thinking the same thing!

I am also liking Zanjero at 30-1!

[Buffymommy]

Originally Posted by cakes44

The biggest differences between SS and AGS will be post position and SS's affinity for Churchill.

It would be kinda nice to have an Affirmed/Alydar rivialry again huh?

[brianwspencer]

Maybe Dunbar can comment, and maybe I'm nitpicking, or maybe my math is wrong -- but doesn't this line have a takeout of over 30%?

[LARHAGE]

I love Hard Spun at 15-1!!!!!

[ArlJim78]

Originally Posted by Cardus

For mathematical reasons, I don't get too involved thinking about the morning line, but if Great Hunter is at a fat price on Saturday... he looked really good in his three-year-old comebacker and throw out the Polytrack result.

I see some value to that angle, not a bad play.

[Fuofa]

Hard Spun at 15-1 looks like a good price. If T-Berg can set some nice fractions I am going to put together a trifecta wheel with Hard Spun on top and Cq/Tiago/C Cat/Great Hunter to fill out the rest, and hope for the best. If Curlin is a freak, I am going to lose some money.

[hockey2315]

These odds will change drastically when the pools open in my opinion. . .

[Scurlogue Champ]

Originally Posted by cakes44

The biggest differences between SS and AGS will be post position and SS's affinity for Churchill.

Another difference is that AGS is a one-paced dog and will get 10th and Borel will get Street Sense on the outside of horses where he will hang in the stretch and finish 6th by a nose.

[sumitas]

I'm liking Scat Daddy at 10-1 and NBLSB.

[brianwspencer]

Originally Posted by Cardus

This concept was discussed a couple of weeks ago, I believe. My feeling was that the morning line odds of each race's entrants should equal 100 percent plus the takeout. Another poster had a similar thought, but the total might have been higher.

In either event, I don't think oddsmakers think this way.

Gotcha. I sort of followed that conversation, but wasn't sure what the general consensus was about it.