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Old 04-15-2007, 11:58 AM
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somerfrost somerfrost is offline
Atlantic City Race Course
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Chambersburg, Pa
Posts: 4,635
Default Performance Figures for top preps

Well, there is much discussion about this weekend's races and the Beyer figures, as I have done for years, I use Dr Roman's Performance Figures (PF's) instead of Beyers as they have proven (to me at least) to be more accurate (the sheets may be best but I refuse to buy them). Crist and others have bemoaned the slow times and resulting Beyers of the major preps this year and Dr Roman's figures support the fact that so far, this class has underperformed recent crops during the preps. This of course may actually be a good thing as perhaps trainers have suddenly learned to conserve more of their horses' energy for the big race (but i doubt it). Anyway, here are the PF's for the winners of the 5 major preps...note the discrepancy between Beyer and Dr Roman regarding Dominican and Curlin:
Blue Grass (Dominican)...-54
Ark Derby (Curlin)...-43
Wood (Nobiz Like Shobiz)...-55
SA Derby (Tiago)...-45
Fla Derby (Scat Daddy)...-46
So, according to Dr Roman, Curlin's race produced the least impressive figure. All of these figures are close enough that a case can be made for any of the above, and the races were slow enough to make a case for about 15 others come Derby Day. I'm afraid the preps aren't gonna be a huge help this year!
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