6/6: Belmont Stakes Festival ~ Filly & Mare Friday

[Kasept]

BELMONT STAKES RACING FESTIVAL ~ FILLY & MARE FRIDAY


POST-SCRATCHES


1st: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Munnings Express 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #7 M J's Yoshida 15-1 4th
Next Best: #5 Geopolitics 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #10 Bellacose 6-1 WON ($6.20)


2nd: MSW, 3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1a Endorse 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #7 Cara's Chianti 15-1 10th
Next Best: #11 Resurge 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Absolute Honor 15-1 8th


3rd: OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Final Verdict 4-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Works for Me 8-5 WON ($6.60)
Best Value: #1 Fore Harp 10-1 9th
Exotics Use: #5 Urban Legend 5-1 7th


4th: NY-OC/N2X, F&M-3+, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 Army Gal 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Vehemente 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #4 Jackson's Dixie 10-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Embraceable Gal 6-1 3rd


5th: OC/N1X, 3+, 9f (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Malarchuk 4-1 WON-Up via DQ ($8.40)
Best Value: #7 Dreamlike 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Strategic Focus 2-1 2nd-DQ'd from Win
Exotics Use: #10 Seeking Unity 8-1 7th


P5 Grid:

1: 5-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
2: 1 (A), 7 (B), 8-11 (C)
3: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-7 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x2x4x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (ACAAA): 3x1x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (8-11 in 2nd)


P4 Grid:

2: 1-7 (A), - (B), 8-11 (C)
3: 3-8 (A), 1 (B), - (C)
4: 5-7 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (CAAA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (8-11 in 2nd)


6th: Bed O' Roses (G2), F&M-4+, 7f (2-day .20 P6, P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #3 Ways and Means 6-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #1 Irish Maxima 6-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Jody's Pride 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Scylla 5-2 2nd


7th: OC/N1X, F&M-3+, 8.5f-Inner (Must Pay P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Royalty Rate 8-1 4th
Best Value: #1 Hope Mission 15-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Louise Procter 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Mystifying 2-1 12th


P5 Grid:

3: 3-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
4: 5-7 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-3 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24
Backup (AAAAC): 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (3-7 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

4: 5-7 (A), 2-4 (B), - (C)
5: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-3 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-7 in 7th)


8th: MSW, 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Asbury Park 6-5 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #7 Inwood Drive 12-1 11th
Next Best: #11 Kulapat 8-1 9th
Exotics Use: #9 Solutions 12-1 10th


9th: Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-4+, 9f ($1 P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Randomized 9-2 5th
Next Best: #4 Raging Sea 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Dazzling Move 15-1 2nd
Super Add: #1 Dorth Vader 10-1 WON ($19.60)


2-day .20 All Dirt P6 Grid:

FR 6: 3-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
FR 9: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
SA 7: 4-5-6 (A), - (B), - (C)
SA 8: 1-4 (A), - (B), - (C)
SA 11: 1-2 (A), 5-10 (B), - (C)
SA 13: 2-6-7 (A), 3 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x2x4x4 = 768 x .20 = $153.60
All A's: 2x2x3x2x2x3 = 144 x .20 = $28.80


Must Pay P5 Grid:

5: 2-6-7 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 3 (A), 1-4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
8: 1-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x3x4 = 216 x .50 = $108
All A's: 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AACAA): 3x1x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-7 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-3 (A), 4 (B), - (C)
7: 1-4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
8: 1-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (ACAA): 2x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-7 in 7th)


10th: Belmont Gold Cup (G2), 4+, 14f-OFF (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Curbstone 12-1 5th
Exotics Use: #11 Yo Daddy 5-1 2nd


11th: Acorn (G1), 3yo-F, 9f ($5 Acorn-Belmont DBL, P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 Good Cheer 1-2 5th
Next Best: #3 La Cara 10-1 WON ($17.40)
Exotics Use: #5 Bless the Broken 10-1 4th


P5 Grid:

7: 1-4 (A), - (B), 3-7 (C)
8: 1-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
10: 1-3 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C)
11: 2 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x3x4x4x1 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (CAAAA): 2x3x2x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-7 in 7th)


P4 Grid:

8: 1-7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 4-7 (A), 1-2 (B), - (C)
10: 1-3 (A), 5-7 (B), - (C) ALL (4)
11: 2-3 (A), - (B), 5-6 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x2 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AAAC): 3x2x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-5 in 11th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (1/8/14/15-1-ALL-3) Paid $113.37 x 4 = $453.48


12th: New York (G1), F&M-4+, 9.5f-T (2-day .50 All Turf P5, $5 NY-Belmont DBL, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 She Feels Pretty 3-5 WON ($3.00)
Best Value: #1 Forever After All 10-1 4th
Next Best: #3 Gimme a Nother 7-2 7th
Exotics Use: #6 Bellezza 10-1 3rd


2-day .50 All Turf P4 Grid:

FR 12: 8 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
FR 13: 1-2-3-8 (A), 9-10 (B), 5-7 (C)
SA 9: 2-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
SA 10: 1-5 (A), 2-7 (B), - (C)
SA 12: 2-3-4-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x6x2x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A's: 1x4x2x2x4 = 64 x .50 = $32
Backups (CAAAA + ACAAA): 1x4x2x2x4 = 64 x .50 = $32 (1 in Leg A) + 1x2x2x2x4 = 32 x .50 = $16 (5-7 in Leg B)

50CENTPickFive ((2-DAY)2/8-1-ALL-ALL-ALL) 5 Correct Paid $8.70 x 32 = $278.40


13th: Just a Game (G1), F&M-4+, 1m-Inner (2-day .50 P4, DD)

Best Value: #2 Special Wan 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Excellent Truth 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Segesta 15-1 6th
Super Add: #1 Dynamic Pricing 12-1 WON ($22.00)


2-day .50 P4 Grid:

FR 13: 2-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
FR 14: 1-2-12/SCR (A), - (B), - (C)
SA 1: 1-4 (A), - (B), 2 (C)
SA 2: 4-6 (A), 8-10 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x2x4 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x3x2x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 2x3x1x2 = 12 x .50 = $6


14th: NY-MSW, 3+, 7f

Best Value: #2 Undisputed 8-1 4th
Next Best: #1e Broman entry 2-1 2nd/3rd
Exotics Use: #6 Hit the Post 15-1 WON ($28.20)
Super Add: #5 Mozambique 10-1 -


P5 Grid:

10: 7-11 (A), - (B), - (C)
11: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 2-8 (A), 1-3 (B), - (C)
14: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x2x4x3 = 96 x .50 = $48
All A's: 2x2x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24


P4 Grid:

11: 2-3 (A), - (B), - (C)
12: 1-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
13: 2-3-8 (A), 1-9-10 (B), - (C)
14: 1-2-6 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x2x6x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick 4 (3/2,8/1/6) Paid $1,391.75


Let's get lucky!
Steve